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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Ekstraklasa
  3. Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia

Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia

Result • Ekstraklasa·Lech Poznan·Arka Gdynia

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
May 8, 2026
18:30
high Confidence
DRAW
Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.30
X5.25
27.00
Stadium
Enea Poznań
high Confidence
DRAW
Arka Gdynia

Arka Gdynia

Away
Odds
11.30
X5.25
27.00
Stadium
Enea Poznań
Win Probabilities
63%
Lech Poznan
24%
Draw
13%
Arka Gdynia
Home1.3063%
Draw5.2524%
Away7.0013%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Lech Poznan's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Arka Gdynia, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Lech Poznan and Arka Gdynia using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lech Poznan a 63% win probability, a 24% chance of a draw, and Arka Gdynia a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. 22'
    Yellow Card: D. GojnyArka Gdynia
    Yellow Card: D. Gojny
  2. 25'
    Substitution: M. RzuchowskiArka Gdynia · Out: L. Perea
    Substitution: M. RzuchowskiOut: L. Perea
  3. Substitution: R. GumnyOut: A. Milic
    46'
    Substitution: R. GumnyLech Poznan · Out: A. Milic
  4. Substitution: F. JagielloOut: T. Ouma
    46'
    Substitution: F. JagielloLech Poznan · Out: T. Ouma
  5. 52'
    Goal: K. HermosoArka Gdynia
    Goal: K. Hermoso
  6. Goal: L. PalmaAssist: M. Ishak
    57'
    Goal: L. PalmaLech Poznan · Assist: M. Ishak
  7. 61'
    Substitution: N. RusynArka Gdynia · Out: O. Kubiak
    Substitution: N. RusynOut: O. Kubiak
  8. 61'
    Substitution: E. D. Espiau HernandezArka Gdynia · Out: V. Gutkovskis
    Substitution: E. D. Espiau HernandezOut: V. Gutkovskis
  9. Substitution: P. RodriguezOut: L. Bengtsson
    64'
    Substitution: P. RodriguezLech Poznan · Out: L. Bengtsson
  10. 65'
    Yellow Card: D. ZatorArka Gdynia
    Yellow Card: D. Zator
  11. Substitution: Y. AgneroOut: A. Kozubal
    82'
    Substitution: Y. AgneroLech Poznan · Out: A. Kozubal
  12. Substitution: D. HakansOut: L. Palma
    82'
    Substitution: D. HakansLech Poznan · Out: L. Palma
  13. 85'
    Substitution: P. SzyszArka Gdynia · Out: S. Kerk
    Substitution: P. SzyszOut: S. Kerk
  14. 85'
    Substitution: D. KocylaArka Gdynia · Out: D. Abramowicz
    Substitution: D. KocylaOut: D. Abramowicz
  15. Yellow Card: R. Gumny
    88'
    Yellow Card: R. GumnyLech Poznan
  16. 90+4'
    Yellow Card: J. GrobelnyArka Gdynia
    Yellow Card: J. Grobelny
  17. 90+8'
    Yellow Card: N. RusynArka Gdynia
    Yellow Card: N. Rusyn
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Ishak vs Arka defense: The top scorer faces a vulnerable backline, likely to exploit gaps.
2S. Kerk vs Lech midfield: Arka's playmaker must overcome Lech's strong midfield to create chances.
3L. Palma vs Arka full-backs: Palma's dribbling and crossing could be decisive.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lech Poznan

  • Strong attack averaging 2.0 goals per game
  • Excellent defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • H2H record shows vulnerability against Arka
  • Occasional draws in recent form

Arka Gdynia

  • H2H advantage with 3 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Key playmaker S. Kerk with 7 assists
  • Poor form with 2 consecutive losses
  • Leaky defense conceding 2.6 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
63%
API-Football
45%
54%
Lech Poznan533512

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (54%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Lech Poznan is predicted to win against Arka Gdynia based on overwhelming data.

Form Analysis: Lech Poznan is unbeaten in 5 matches (WWWDD), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, with 3 clean sheets. Arka Gdynia has lost 2 consecutive matches (LLDWL), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded, with 0 clean sheets.

Key Factors: Lech Poznan leads the league with 55 points (+15 GD), while Arka Gdynia is 17th with 34 points (-23 GD). The home team has a strong attack (63%) and defense (76%) per API comparison. H2H is balanced (2 wins each, 2 draws), but current form heavily favors Lech.

Conclusion: With dominant form, league position, and statistical superiority, Lech Poznan should secure a comfortable victory.

Statistical ContextLech Poznan

Double chance : Lech Poznan or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Lech PoznanArka Gdynia
60%Strength39%
63%Attacking Potential38%
76%Defensive Potential24%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
33%Goals H2H67%
60%Wins the Game39%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Lech PoznanInjuries · Arka GdyniaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Lech Poznan

LLWWW
  • LSep 17, 26A · Crystal Palace4-0
  • LSep 12, 26A · Gornik Zabrze2-1
  • WSep 6, 26H · Raków Częstochowa1-0
  • WSep 3, 26H · Jagiellonia2-1
  • WAug 30, 26A · Widzew Łódź2-3

Arka Gdynia

LLDLL
  • LMay 23, 26A · Raków Częstochowa3-0
  • LMay 18, 26H · Nieciecza2-3
  • DMay 13, 26H · Gornik Zabrze0-0
  • LApr 27, 26A · Piast Gliwice4-1
  • LApr 19, 26H · Jagiellonia0-3

Head to Head

2
Lech Poznan
2
Draws
3
Arka Gdynia
  • Nov 9, 25Arka Gdynia – Lech Poznan3-1
  • Dec 7, 23Arka Gdynia – Lech Poznan0-1
  • Jul 9, 21Lech Poznan – Arka Gdynia0-2
  • Dec 19, 19Lech Poznan – Arka Gdynia1-1
  • Aug 17, 19Arka Gdynia – Lech Poznan0-0

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

Lech PoznanArka Gdynia
Played433
Goals Scored1534
Goals Conceded258
Avg Scored3.81.0
Avg Conceded0.51.8
Clean Sheets37

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Lech PoznanArka Gdynia
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Lech Poznan's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Arka Gdynia, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Lech Poznan is predicted to win against Arka Gdynia based on overwhelming data.

Form Analysis: Lech Poznan is unbeaten in 5 matches (WWWDD), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, with 3 clean sheets. Arka Gdynia has lost 2 consecutive matches (LLDWL), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded, with 0 clean sheets.

Key Factors: Lech Poznan leads the league with 55 points (+15 GD), while Arka Gdynia is 17th with 34 points (-23 GD). The home team has a strong attack (63%) and defense (76%) per API comparison. H2H is balanced (2 wins each, 2 draws), but current form heavily favors Lech.

Conclusion: With dominant form, league position, and statistical superiority, Lech Poznan should secure a comfortable victory.

Win Probabilities: Lech Poznan: 63% · Draw: 24% · Arka Gdynia: 13%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Lech Poznan wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · Arka Gdynia wins: 3

Form (latest first): Lech Poznan: LLWWW · Arka Gdynia: LLDLL

  • M. Ishak vs Arka defense: The top scorer faces a vulnerable backline, likely to exploit gaps.
  • S. Kerk vs Lech midfield: Arka's playmaker must overcome Lech's strong midfield to create chances.
  • L. Palma vs Arka full-backs: Palma's dribbling and crossing could be decisive.

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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa

Poland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EkstraklasaPoland
Korona Kielce
Sep 1912:45
Raków Częstochowa
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Sep 1915:30
Cracovia Krakow
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
EkstraklasaPoland
Motor Lublin
Sep 1918:15
Gornik Zabrze
13.4529%
X3.5728%
22.3343%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Sep 2010:15
Pogon Szczecin
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
EkstraklasaPoland
Zaglebie Lubin
Sep 2012:45
Wisla Plock
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Sep 2015:30
Legia Warszawa
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
EkstraklasaPoland
Lech Poznan
Sep 2018:15
Radomiak Radom
11.4569%
X5.0020%
29.0911%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wieczysta Kraków
Oct 916:00
Wisla Plock
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Raków Częstochowa
Oct 918:30
GKS Katowice
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Oct 1012:45
Zaglebie Lubin
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
EkstraklasaPoland
Slask Wroclaw
Oct 1015:30
Lech Poznan
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Oct 1018:15
Gornik Zabrze
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Oct 1112:45
Widzew Łódź
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
EkstraklasaPoland
Pogon Szczecin
Oct 1115:30
Korona Kielce
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Legia Warszawa
Oct 1118:15
Wisla Krakow
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%

Betting Tips

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