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  1. Home
  2. Ekstraklasa
  3. Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin

Result • Ekstraklasa·Lechia Gdansk·Pogon Szczecin

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
Mar 21, 2026
16:30
low Confidence
WINNER
Lechia Gdansk

Lechia Gdansk

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.40
X3.40
22.60
Stadium
Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk
low Confidence
Pogon Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin

Away
Odds
12.40
X3.40
22.60
Stadium
Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk
Win Probabilities
38%
Lechia Gdansk
27%
Draw
35%
Pogon Szczecin
Home2.4038%
Draw3.4027%
Away2.6035%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Lechia Gdansk's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Pogon Szczecin, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Lechia Gdansk and Pogon Szczecin using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lechia Gdansk a 38% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Pogon Szczecin a 35% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. Goal: B. PllanaAssist: I. Zhelizko
    11'
    Goal: B. PllanaLechia Gdansk · Assist: I. Zhelizko
  2. 37'
    Goal: P. MukairuPogon Szczecin · Assist: F. Ulvestad
    Goal: P. MukairuAssist: F. Ulvestad
  3. Yellow Card: M. Vojtko
    43'
    Yellow Card: M. VojtkoLechia Gdansk
  4. Goal: T. NeugebauerAssist: A. Cirkovic
    55'
    Goal: T. NeugebauerLechia Gdansk · Assist: A. Cirkovic
  5. 61'
    Substitution: K. AngielskiPogon Szczecin · Out: F. Cuic
    Substitution: K. AngielskiOut: F. Cuic
  6. 62'
    Substitution: K. GrosickiPogon Szczecin · Out: N. Lawa
    Substitution: K. GrosickiOut: N. Lawa
  7. 62'
    Substitution: J. PozoPogon Szczecin · Out: K. Acosta
    Substitution: J. PozoOut: K. Acosta
  8. Substitution: D. KurminowskiOut: T. Wojtowicz
    65'
    Substitution: D. KurminowskiLechia Gdansk · Out: T. Wojtowicz
  9. 70'
    Substitution: S. GreenwoodPogon Szczecin · Out: M. Agger
    Substitution: S. GreenwoodOut: M. Agger
  10. Substitution: B. ViunnykOut: T. Neugebauer
    71'
    Substitution: B. ViunnykLechia Gdansk · Out: T. Neugebauer
  11. 77'
    Substitution: L. KoutrisPogon Szczecin · Out: D. Loncar
    Substitution: L. KoutrisOut: D. Loncar
  12. Substitution: M. GlogowskiOut: A. Cirkovic
    90+2'
    Substitution: M. GlogowskiLechia Gdansk · Out: A. Cirkovic
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1T. Bobček vs Pogon Szczecin defense: Lechia's top scorer against a defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games.
2K. Grosicki vs Lechia Gdansk midfield: Away team's key attacker facing a midfield that concedes 1.6 goals on average.
3Midfield battle in 4-2-3-1 setups: Both teams use similar formations, making midfield control crucial for match outcome.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lechia Gdansk

  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Top scorer T. Bobček with 13 goals and 4 assists
  • Inconsistent form with LWDLW in last 5 matches
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games

Pogon Szczecin

  • Strong defensive form with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Current win streak and better recent form (WLWWW)
  • Lower average goals scored at 1.0 per match
  • Negative goal difference in standings (-3 GD)
Head-to-head →Injuries · Lechia GdanskInjuries · Pogon SzczecinLive scores →

Statistical Context

Lechia Gdansk

LLLLL
  • LMay 23, 26A · Nieciecza3-2
  • LMay 17, 26H · Legia Warszawa1-2
  • LMay 9, 26A · Widzew Łódź3-1
  • LMay 4, 26A · Radomiak Radom3-1
  • LApr 25, 26H · Raków Częstochowa1-2

Pogon Szczecin

WDDDW
  • WSep 13, 26H · Wieczysta Kraków2-0
  • DSep 7, 26H · Wisla Plock1-1
  • DAug 29, 26A · Zaglebie Lubin0-0
  • DAug 23, 26H · Wisla Krakow2-2
  • WAug 8, 26H · Motor Lublin3-1

Head to Head

2
Lechia Gdansk
2
Draws
6
Pogon Szczecin
  • Sep 21, 25Pogon Szczecin – Lechia Gdansk3-4
  • May 17, 25Pogon Szczecin – Lechia Gdansk3-3
  • Nov 23, 24Lechia Gdansk – Pogon Szczecin0-3
  • Apr 15, 23Lechia Gdansk – Pogon Szczecin0-1
  • Oct 1, 22Pogon Szczecin – Lechia Gdansk2-1

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

Lechia GdanskPogon Szczecin
Played337
Goals Scored6010
Goals Conceded625
Avg Scored1.81.4
Avg Conceded1.90.7
Clean Sheets33

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Lechia Gdansk's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Pogon Szczecin, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, the match is predicted to be a draw, as both market and model probabilities show no clear favorite, with the model strongly favoring a draw or away win.

Form Analysis: Lechia Gdansk has a form of LWDLW with 1.6 goals scored and conceded per match on average, and 1 clean sheet in the last 5 games. Pogon Szczecin has a form of WLWWW with 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match on average, and 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, indicating better defensive performance.

Key Factors: 1. Pogon Szczecin's strong defensive form with 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games. 2. Lechia Gdansk's inconsistent scoring, having failed to score in 2 of the last 5 games. 3. The model prediction advises a double chance for draw or Pogon Szczecin, aligning with their recent momentum.

Conclusion: The data suggests a closely contested match, with a slight edge to Pogon Szczecin due to defensive solidity, but the market indicates a balanced outcome, leading to a draw prediction.

Win Probabilities: Lechia Gdansk: 38% · Draw: 27% · Pogon Szczecin: 35%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Lechia Gdansk wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · Pogon Szczecin wins: 6

Form (latest first): Lechia Gdansk: LLLLL · Pogon Szczecin: WDDDW

  • T. Bobček vs Pogon Szczecin defense: Lechia's top scorer against a defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games.
  • K. Grosicki vs Lechia Gdansk midfield: Away team's key attacker facing a midfield that concedes 1.6 goals on average.
  • Midfield battle in 4-2-3-1 setups: Both teams use similar formations, making midfield control crucial for match outcome.

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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa

Poland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EkstraklasaPoland
Korona Kielce
Sep 1912:45
Raków Częstochowa
12.3842%
X3.4529%
23.4529%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Sep 1915:30
Cracovia Krakow
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
EkstraklasaPoland
Motor Lublin
Sep 1918:15
Gornik Zabrze
13.4529%
X3.5728%
22.3343%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Sep 2010:15
Pogon Szczecin
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
EkstraklasaPoland
Zaglebie Lubin
Sep 2012:45
Wisla Plock
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Sep 2015:30
Legia Warszawa
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
EkstraklasaPoland
Lech Poznan
Sep 2018:15
Radomiak Radom
11.4569%
X5.0020%
29.0911%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wieczysta Kraków
Oct 916:00
Wisla Plock
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Raków Częstochowa
Oct 918:30
GKS Katowice
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Oct 1012:45
Zaglebie Lubin
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
EkstraklasaPoland
Slask Wroclaw
Oct 1015:30
Lech Poznan
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Oct 1018:15
Gornik Zabrze
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Oct 1112:45
Widzew Łódź
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
EkstraklasaPoland
Pogon Szczecin
Oct 1115:30
Korona Kielce
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Legia Warszawa
Oct 1118:15
Wisla Krakow
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%

Betting Tips

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