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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. FC Porto vs Arouca

FC Porto vs Arouca

Prediction • Primeira Liga·FC Porto·Arouca

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Aug 23, 2026
15:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
FC Porto

FC Porto

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Arouca

Arouca

Away
Win Probabilities
45%
FC Porto
24%
Draw
31%
Arouca
Home2.2245%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.2331%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

FC Porto are clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior league position, while Arouca have failed to score in three of their last five matches. The main risk is Porto's occasional defensive lapses, which could allow Arouca to snatch a goal and make the match tighter.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0FC Porto
/10
6.0Arouca
FC Porto
FormLatest first
WLWWW
Win Rate80%
Arouca
FormLatest first
WWDLW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageFC Porto+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

FC Porto
Home

FC Porto

Form
WWWLW
Latest first
3
Pos
71
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Strong home record
  • Dominant head-to-head history
  • Solid defensive form with two clean sheets in last five

Head to Head

Last 10
FC Porto
FC Porto
8Wins
1
Draws
Arouca
1Wins
Arouca
80%10%10%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb272026
FC PortoFC Porto
3-1
Win
AroucaArouca
Sep292025
AroucaArouca
0-4
Win
FC PortoFC Porto
Mar12025
AroucaArouca
0-2
Win
FC PortoFC Porto
Sep292024
FC PortoFC Porto
4-0
Win
AroucaArouca
Feb122024
AroucaArouca
3-2
Loss
FC PortoFC Porto
Sep32023
FC PortoFC Porto
1-1
Draw
AroucaArouca
May82023
AroucaArouca
0-1
Win
FC PortoFC Porto
Jan112023
FC PortoFC Porto
4-0
Win
AroucaArouca
Dec282022
FC PortoFC Porto
5-1
Win
AroucaArouca
Feb62022
AroucaArouca
0-2
Win
FC PortoFC Porto

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

FC Porto 3 - 1 Arouca

Feb 27, 2026

75% / 20% / 5%

FC Porto4-3-3vs4-3-3AroucaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

AroucaArouca4-3-3
FC PortoFC Porto4-3-3
AroucaBenchArouca7
FC PortoBenchFC Porto7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Primeira Liga

League Statistics

Primeira Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Estrela
Estrela
00000000
2
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
00000000
3
Estoril
Estoril
00000000
4
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
00000000
5
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
00000000
6
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
00000000
7
Moreirense
Moreirense
00000000
8
FC Porto
FC PortoHome
00000000
9
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
00000000
10
Benfica
Benfica
00000000
11
Maritimo
Maritimo
00000000
12
SC Braga
SC Braga
00000000
13
Nacional
Nacional
00000000
14
Arouca
AroucaAway
00000000
15
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
00000000
16
Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu
00000000
17
Alverca
Alverca
00000000
18
Famalicao
Famalicao
00000000
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

FC Porto

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

45%FC Porto
24%Draw
31%Arouca

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Aug 23 · 15:00
League StatsPrimeira Liga

Statistical Context

FC Porto

WLWWW
  • WMay 16, 26H · Santa Clara1-0
  • LMay 10, 26A · AVS3-1
  • WMay 2, 26H · Alverca1-0
  • WApr 26, 26A · Estrela1-2
  • WApr 19, 26H · Tondela2-0

Arouca

WWDLW
  • WMay 16, 26H · Tondela3-1
  • WMay 11, 26A · GIL Vicente1-3
  • DMay 2, 26H · Santa Clara2-2
  • LApr 24, 26A · Alverca2-1
  • WApr 19, 26H · Estrela1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Moreirense000—
8FC Porto000—
9Sporting CP000—
10Benfica000—
11Maritimo000—
12SC Braga000—
13Nacional000—
14Arouca000—
15Casa Pia000—

Head to Head

8
FC Porto
1
Draws
1
Arouca
  • Feb 27, 26FC Porto – Arouca3-1
  • Sep 29, 25Arouca – FC Porto0-4
  • Mar 1, 25Arouca – FC Porto0-2
  • Sep 29, 24FC Porto – Arouca4-0
  • Feb 12, 24Arouca – FC Porto3-2

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FC PortoArouca
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

FC Porto vs Arouca — Expert Prediction & Analysis

FC Porto are clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior league position, while Arouca have failed to score in three of their last five matches. The main risk is Porto's occasional defensive lapses, which could allow Arouca to snatch a goal and make the match tighter.

FC Porto enter this Primeira Liga clash as clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior league position. The home side have won eight of the last ten meetings against Arouca, with only one defeat, giving them a significant psychological edge.…

Win Probabilities: FC Porto: 45% · Draw: 24% · Arouca: 31%

H2H: FC Porto wins: 8 · Draws: 1 · Arouca wins: 1

Form (latest first): FC Porto: WLWWW · Arouca: WWDLW

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Aug 719:15
Famalicao
13.7027%
X3.1332%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Aug 814:30
Casa Pia
13.0333%
X3.2331%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Guimaraes
Aug 817:00
Arouca
12.0449%
X3.2331%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estrela
Aug 819:30
Sporting CP
116.676%
X4.7621%
21.3773%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
FC Porto
Aug 917:00
Alverca
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Aug 919:30
Academico Viseu
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Moreirense
Aug 919:30
SC Braga
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Aug 919:30
Rio Ave
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Santa Clara
Aug 1019:15
Nacional
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Sporting CP
Aug 1419:15
Guimaraes
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Aug 1514:30
Estrela
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Aug 1517:00
Santa Clara
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Aug 1519:30
FC Porto
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Aug 1614:30
Estoril
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Aug 1617:00
Moreirense
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access