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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Sporting CP vs Arouca

Sporting CP vs Arouca

Prediction • Primeira Liga·Sporting CP·Arouca

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Sep 20, 2026
15:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Arouca

Arouca

Away
Win Probabilities
77%
Sporting CP
13%
Draw
10%
Arouca
Home1.3077%
Draw7.6913%
Away10.0010%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Sporting CP are clear favourites, backed by a strong home record and a dominant head-to-head history against Arouca. The main risk is Arouca's impressive defensive form, which could keep the score close.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0Sporting CP
/10
8.0Arouca
Sporting CP
FormLatest first
WDWWW
Win Rate80%
Arouca
FormLatest first
WWWWD
Win Rate80%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Sporting CP
Home

Sporting CP

Form
DW
Latest first
1
Pos
82
Pts
+1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 2 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff+1
  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • High average goals scored (3.6 per game)
  • Strong head-to-head record against Arouca

Head to Head

Last 10
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
7Wins
2
Draws
Arouca
1Wins
Arouca
70%20%10%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan242026
AroucaArouca
1-2
Win
Sporting CPSporting CP
Aug172025
Sporting CPSporting CP
6-0
Win
AroucaArouca
Feb152025
Sporting CPSporting CP
2-2
Draw
AroucaArouca
Sep132024
AroucaArouca
0-3
Win
Sporting CPSporting CP
Mar102024
AroucaArouca
0-3
Win
Sporting CPSporting CP
Oct82023
Sporting CPSporting CP
2-1
Win
AroucaArouca
Apr162023
Sporting CPSporting CP
1-1
Draw
AroucaArouca
Jan242023
AroucaArouca
1-2
Win
Sporting CPSporting CP
Oct292022
AroucaArouca
1-0
Loss
Sporting CPSporting CP
Mar52022
Sporting CPSporting CP
2-0
Win
AroucaArouca

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting CP

Jan 24, 2026

7% / 16% / 77%

Sporting CP4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1AroucaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

AroucaArouca4-2-3-1
Sporting CPSporting CP4-2-3-1
AroucaBenchArouca7
Sporting CPBenchSporting CP7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Primeira Liga

League Statistics

Primeira Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Arouca
AroucaAway
220050+56
2
FC Porto
FC Porto
220040+46
3
Maritimo
Maritimo
220031+26
4
Benfica
Benfica
211092+74
5
Nacional
Nacional
211042+24
6
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
211032+14
7
Sporting CP
Sporting CPHome
211054+14
8
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
110010+13
9
Estrela
Estrela
20204402
10
SC Braga
SC Braga
10102201
11
Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu
201123-11
12
Famalicao
Famalicao
201123-11
13
Estoril
Estoril
201113-21
14
Alverca
Alverca
201124-21
15
Moreirense
Moreirense
201126-41
16
Vitória SC
Vitória SC
200224-20
17
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
200203-30
18
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
200208-80
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Sporting CP

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

77%Sporting CP
13%Draw
10%Arouca

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Sep 20 · 15:00
League StatsPrimeira Liga

Statistical Context

Sporting CP

WDWWW
  • WAug 14, 26H · Vitória SC3-2
  • DAug 8, 26A · Estrela2-2
  • WMay 16, 26H · GIL Vicente3-0
  • WMay 11, 26A · Rio Ave1-4
  • WMay 4, 26H · Vitória SC5-1

Arouca

WWWWD
  • WAug 16, 26H · Moreirense4-0
  • WAug 8, 26A · Vitória SC0-1
  • WMay 16, 26H · Tondela3-1
  • WMay 11, 26A · GIL Vicente1-3
  • DMay 2, 26H · Santa Clara2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Arouca2+56WW
2FC Porto2+46WW
3Maritimo2+26WW
4Benfica2+74WD
5Nacional2+24WD
6Santa Clara2+14WD
7Sporting CP2+14WD
8GIL Vicente1+13W

Head to Head

7
Sporting CP
2
Draws
1
Arouca
  • Jan 24, 26Arouca – Sporting CP1-2
  • Aug 17, 25Sporting CP – Arouca6-0
  • Feb 15, 25Sporting CP – Arouca2-2
  • Sep 13, 24Arouca – Sporting CP0-3
  • Mar 10, 24Arouca – Sporting CP0-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Sporting CPArouca
Played22
Goals Scored55
Goals Conceded40
Avg Scored2.52.5
Avg Conceded2.00.0
Clean Sheets02

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Sporting CPArouca
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Sporting CP

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 1GRui Silva
  2. 55DIbrahima Ba
  3. 6DZ. Debast
  4. 50DRodrigo Dias
  5. 22DIván Fresneda
  6. 5MSergi Altimira
  7. 4MS. Andersen
  8. 77MI. Doumbia
  9. 73MEduardo Felicíssimo
  10. 58MFlávio Gonçalves
  11. 28AJ. Derry

Coach: Rui Borges

Arouca

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 12GI. de Arruabarrena
  2. 37DMario Climent
  3. 3DJosé Fontán
  4. 18DO. Lebedenko
  5. 5DB. Popović
  6. 21MMateo Flores
  7. 8MT. Fukui
  8. 10MPablo Gozálbez
  9. 14MLee Hyun-Ju
  10. 89MPedro Santos
  11. 24AB. Mansilla

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Sporting CP vs Arouca — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Sporting CP are clear favourites, backed by a strong home record and a dominant head-to-head history against Arouca. The main risk is Arouca's impressive defensive form, which could keep the score close.

Sporting CP are clear favourites for this Primeira Liga clash, with the data pointing to a comfortable home victory. The team-strength model gives them a dominant edge, and while the API-Football model suggests a more even contest, the overall comparison still favours the home side.…

Win Probabilities: Sporting CP: 77% · Draw: 13% · Arouca: 10%

H2H: Sporting CP wins: 7 · Draws: 2 · Arouca wins: 1

Form (latest first): Sporting CP: WDWWW · Arouca: WWWWD

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Aug 2214:30
Academico Viseu
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Aug 2217:00
Rio Ave
12.0449%
X3.3330%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Sporting CP
Aug 2219:30
Alverca
11.2282%
X7.1414%
225.004%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Vitória SC
Aug 2314:30
Nacional
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Santa Clara
Aug 2317:00
Famalicao
12.3842%
X3.1332%
23.8526%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
FC Porto
Aug 2319:30
Arouca
11.2381%
X6.6715%
225.004%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Aug 2419:15
Casa Pia
11.9252%
X3.2331%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Aug 2819:15
Sporting CP
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Aug 2914:30
Maritimo
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Aug 2914:30
Santa Clara
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Aug 2917:00
FC Porto
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Aug 3014:30
Estrela
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Aug 3017:00
Moreirense
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Famalicao
Aug 3019:30
GIL Vicente
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Aug 3117:45
Estoril
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access