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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. GIL Vicente vs Arouca

GIL Vicente vs Arouca

Result • Primeira Liga·GIL Vicente·Arouca

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
May 11, 2026
19:15
high Confidence
GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente

Home
Final Score
1-3
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-3
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.65
X3.90
25.00
Stadium
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
high Confidence
WINNER
Arouca

Arouca

Away
Odds
11.65
X3.90
25.00
Stadium
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Win Probabilities
52%
GIL Vicente
27%
Draw
21%
Arouca
Home1.6552%
Draw3.9027%
Away5.0021%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees GIL Vicente's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Arouca, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Primeira Liga fixture between GIL Vicente and Arouca using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns GIL Vicente a 52% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Arouca a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: A. Moreira
    22'
    Yellow Card: A. MoreiraGIL Vicente
  2. 43'
    Yellow Card: J. FontanArouca
    Yellow Card: J. Fontan
  3. Substitution: J. FernandesOut: A. Moreira
    46'
    Substitution: J. FernandesGIL Vicente · Out: A. Moreira
  4. Substitution: F. CaseresOut: Ze Carlos
    46'
    Substitution: F. CaseresGIL Vicente · Out: Ze Carlos
  5. 61'
    Goal: B. KuipersArouca · Assist: J. Sanchez
    Goal: B. KuipersAssist: J. Sanchez
  6. Goal: L. EstevesAssist: G. Varela
    63'
    Goal: L. EstevesGIL Vicente · Assist: G. Varela
  7. Substitution: H. HernandezOut: G. Varela
    64'
    Substitution: H. HernandezGIL Vicente · Out: G. Varela
  8. Substitution: M. FernandezOut: S. Garcia
    64'
    Substitution: M. FernandezGIL Vicente · Out: S. Garcia
  9. 67'
    Goal: I. BarberoArouca · Assist: P. Gozalbez
    Goal: I. BarberoAssist: P. Gozalbez
  10. 76'
    Substitution: M. FloresArouca · Out: A. Trezza
    Substitution: M. FloresOut: A. Trezza
  11. 82'
    Substitution: D. NandinArouca · Out: I. Barbero
    Substitution: D. NandinOut: I. Barbero
  12. 82'
    Goal: T. FukuiArouca · Assist: D. Nandin
    Goal: T. FukuiAssist: D. Nandin
  13. Substitution: Carlos EduardoOut: G. Konan
    83'
    Substitution: Carlos EduardoGIL Vicente · Out: G. Konan
  14. Yellow Card: H. Hernandez
    89'
    Yellow Card: H. HernandezGIL Vicente
  15. 90+2'
    Substitution: B. MansillaArouca · Out: P. Gozalbez
    Substitution: B. MansillaOut: P. Gozalbez
  16. 90+2'
    Substitution: J. SilvaArouca · Out: N. Djouahra
    Substitution: J. SilvaOut: N. Djouahra
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Murilo vs Arouca defense: GIL Vicente's top scorer faces a weak defense.
2Pablo vs Arouca midfield: Pablo's creativity and goalscoring threat.
3A. Trezza vs GIL Vicente defense: Arouca's main attacking threat against a strong defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

GIL Vicente

  • Strong defense (64% rating)
  • Home advantage
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Recent loss streak

Arouca

  • Recent win streak
  • Away team has attacking threat from Trezza
  • Weak defense (36% rating)
  • Poor league position

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
52%
API-Football
35%
44%
GIL Vicente443126

Moderate agreement on home win (44%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

GIL Vicente is predicted to win based on strong odds and home advantage.

Form Analysis: GIL Vicente (DWLDW) has a 53% form rating vs Arouca's 47%. Arouca has a recent win but GIL Vicente has better overall form and league position.

Key Factors: GIL Vicente's defense (64% rating) is superior to Arouca's attack (50%). Arouca's defense is weak (36%). Home advantage and standings gap (6th vs 11th) favor GIL Vicente.

Conclusion: GIL Vicente's defensive solidity and home form should secure a win against a weaker Arouca side.

Statistical ContextGIL Vicente

Double chance : GIL Vicente or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
GIL VicenteArouca
53%Strength47%
50%Attacking Potential50%
64%Defensive Potential36%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
36%H2H Strength64%
40%Goals H2H60%
53%Wins the Game47%
Head-to-head →Injuries · GIL VicenteInjuries · AroucaLive scores →

Statistical Context

GIL Vicente

DLLDW
  • DSep 19, 26H · Maritimo1-1
  • LSep 13, 26A · Benfica3-1
  • LSep 6, 26H · Academico Viseu0-1
  • DAug 30, 26A · Famalicao0-0
  • WAug 24, 26H · Casa Pia2-0

Arouca

DLDWL
  • DSep 19, 26A · Sporting CP2-2
  • LSep 13, 26H · Santa Clara1-2
  • DSep 7, 26A · Estoril0-0
  • WAug 29, 26H · Maritimo2-1
  • LAug 23, 26A · FC Porto2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Santa Clara6+714WWDWW
5Arouca7+311DLDWL
6Estrela6+210DWDWD
7SC Braga5+210WLWWD
8GIL Vicente608DLLDW
9Academico Viseu6-28WWLDL

Head to Head

0
GIL Vicente
6
Draws
4
Arouca
  • Dec 28, 25Arouca – GIL Vicente2-2
  • May 10, 25GIL Vicente – Arouca1-1
  • Dec 27, 24Arouca – GIL Vicente1-1
  • Apr 26, 24GIL Vicente – Arouca2-2
  • Dec 16, 23Arouca – GIL Vicente3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

GIL VicenteArouca
Played56
Goals Scored48
Goals Conceded45
Avg Scored0.81.3
Avg Conceded0.80.8
Clean Sheets33

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

GIL VicenteArouca
Over 2.5 Goals3/10—
Both Teams Scored3/10—
Clean Sheets6/10—

GIL Vicente vs Arouca — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees GIL Vicente's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Arouca, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

GIL Vicente is predicted to win based on strong odds and home advantage.

Form Analysis: GIL Vicente (DWLDW) has a 53% form rating vs Arouca's 47%. Arouca has a recent win but GIL Vicente has better overall form and league position.

Key Factors: GIL Vicente's defense (64% rating) is superior to Arouca's attack (50%). Arouca's defense is weak (36%). Home advantage and standings gap (6th vs 11th) favor GIL Vicente.

Conclusion: GIL Vicente's defensive solidity and home form should secure a win against a weaker Arouca side.

Win Probabilities: GIL Vicente: 52% · Draw: 27% · Arouca: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: GIL Vicente wins: 0 · Draws: 6 · Arouca wins: 4

Form (latest first): GIL Vicente: DLLDW · Arouca: DLDWL

  • Murilo vs Arouca defense: GIL Vicente's top scorer faces a weak defense.
  • Pablo vs Arouca midfield: Pablo's creativity and goalscoring threat.
  • A. Trezza vs GIL Vicente defense: Arouca's main attacking threat against a strong defense.

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal9 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Moreirense
Oct 917:45
GIL Vicente
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
Primeira LigaPortugal
SC Braga
Oct 919:15
Sporting CP
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Oct 1014:30
Santa Clara
Early projection
112.508%
X7.6913%
21.2779%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Oct 1017:00
FC Porto
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.2516%
21.3972%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Oct 1019:30
Estoril
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Oct 1114:30
Nacional
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Oct 1117:00
Vitória SC
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Oct 1119:30
Estrela
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Famalicao
Oct 1219:15
Alverca
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%

Betting Tips

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