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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Estoril vs Rio Ave

Estoril vs Rio Ave

Result • Primeira Liga·Estoril·Rio Ave

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Aug 22, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
Estoril

Estoril

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.97
X3.50
23.60
Stadium
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
high Confidence
WINNER
Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Away
Odds
11.97
X3.50
23.60
Stadium
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Win Probabilities
49%
Estoril
30%
Draw
21%
Rio Ave
Home1.9749%
Draw3.5030%
Away3.6021%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Estoril are clear favourites, backed by a superior head-to-head record and Rio Ave's two-game losing streak. The main risk is Estoril's own scoring struggles, which could lead to a tight, low-scoring affair.

Our AI model analyzes this Primeira Liga fixture between Estoril and Rio Ave using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Estoril a 49% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Rio Ave a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 49%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 49%

Match Events

  1. 15'
    Goal: J. BlesaRio Ave · Assist: Diogo Bezerra
    Goal: J. BlesaAssist: Diogo Bezerra
  2. 52'
    Substitution: A. NtoiRio Ave · Out: R. Galcik
    Substitution: A. NtoiOut: R. Galcik
  3. 53'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideRio Ave · J. Blesa
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideJ. Blesa
  4. Yellow Card: F. Medrano
    67'
    Yellow Card: F. MedranoEstoril
  5. Substitution: F. GarciaOut: T. Brito
    68'
    Substitution: F. GarciaEstoril · Out: T. Brito
  6. Substitution: P. CarvalhoOut: R. Sanchez
    69'
    Substitution: P. CarvalhoEstoril · Out: R. Sanchez
  7. Substitution: T. ParenteOut: F. Medrano
    69'
    Substitution: T. ParenteEstoril · Out: F. Medrano
  8. 72'
    Goal: TambleRio Ave · Assist: J. Blesa
    Goal: TambleAssist: J. Blesa
  9. Substitution: J. ArnolinOut: A. Tsoungui
    76'
    Substitution: J. ArnolinEstoril · Out: A. Tsoungui
  10. Substitution: PeixinhoOut: R. Guitane
    76'
    Substitution: PeixinhoEstoril · Out: R. Guitane
  11. 76'
    Substitution: M. VrousaiRio Ave · Out: N. Abbey
    Substitution: M. VrousaiOut: N. Abbey
  12. 81'
    Substitution: D. SpikicRio Ave · Out: Tamble
    Substitution: D. SpikicOut: Tamble
  13. 81'
    Substitution: Gustavo ManchaRio Ave · Out: J. Brabec
    Substitution: Gustavo ManchaOut: J. Brabec
  14. 86'
    Yellow Card: A. NtoiRio Ave
    Yellow Card: A. Ntoi
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1João Carvalho vs Tamás Nikitscher: Carvalho's creativity in midfield will be key to unlocking Rio Ave's defence, while Nikitscher's discipline will be crucial in breaking up play.
2Rafik Guitane vs Francisco Petrasso: Guitane's dribbling and directness on the wing could trouble Petrasso, who must stay compact to prevent crosses.
3Yanis Begraoui vs Jakub Brabec: Begraoui's movement and finishing will test Brabec's positioning and aerial ability in the box.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Estoril

  • Solid defensive record with a clean sheet in recent matches
  • Strong head-to-head dominance over Rio Ave
  • Low scoring output, averaging less than a goal per game
  • Winless in their last two matches

Rio Ave

  • Decent defensive organization with a clean sheet in recent games
  • Ability to score on the counter-attack
  • On a two-game losing streak
  • Struggling to score, with two blanks in their last five

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
49%
API-Football
45%
47%
Estoril473816

Moderate agreement on home win (47%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Estoril enter this Primeira Liga clash as the clear favourites, backed by both the market and the statistical model. The home side's superior head-to-head record and overall team strength give them a decisive edge over a struggling Rio Ave outfit.

Form Analysis: Estoril have had a mixed start with one draw and one loss, but they have shown defensive resilience with a clean sheet in their last five. Rio Ave, meanwhile, are on a two-game losing streak and have failed to score in two of their last five matches, highlighting their attacking struggles.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Estoril, who have won four of the last ten meetings. Rio Ave's poor form and lack of goals compound their difficulties. Estoril's home advantage, though modest, adds to their favouritism.

Conclusion: With the odds and model in agreement, Estoril are expected to secure a narrow victory. Rio Ave's defensive issues and lack of momentum make an upset unlikely, but their occasional resilience could keep the scoreline tight.

Statistical ContextEstoril

Combo Double chance : Estoril or draw and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
EstorilRio Ave
58%Strength42%
100%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
63%Goals H2H38%
58%Wins the Game42%
Head-to-head →Injuries · EstorilInjuries · Rio AveLive scores →

Statistical Context

Estoril

LLDLL
  • LSep 20, 26H · Casa Pia1-2
  • LSep 14, 26A · SC Braga1-0
  • DSep 7, 26H · Arouca0-0
  • LAug 31, 26A · Benfica2-1
  • LAug 16, 26A · Nacional2-0

Rio Ave

LDLLL
  • LSep 19, 26A · Alverca1-0
  • DSep 14, 26H · Estrela3-3
  • LSep 6, 26A · Santa Clara4-0
  • LAug 28, 26H · Sporting CP0-4
  • LAug 15, 26H · FC Porto0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
15Nacional7-84LLLLL
16Rio Ave7-104LDLLW
17Casa Pia7-134WLDLL
18Estoril7-72LLDLL

Head to Head

4
Estoril
3
Draws
3
Rio Ave
  • Mar 22, 26Estoril – Rio Ave1-2
  • Nov 1, 25Rio Ave – Estoril0-4
  • Feb 22, 25Estoril – Rio Ave2-1
  • Sep 21, 24Rio Ave – Estoril2-2
  • Jan 31, 24Rio Ave – Estoril1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

EstorilRio Ave
Played77
Goals Scored35
Goals Conceded1015
Avg Scored0.40.7
Avg Conceded1.42.1
Clean Sheets11

Predicted line-ups: Estoril vs Rio Ave

Confirmed XI

Estoril

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Vasco Matos

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Sotiris Sylaidopoulos

  1. 99Ennio Van Der Gouw
  1. 6Nelson Abbey
  2. 14Jakub Brabec
  3. 23Francisco Petrasso
  4. 54Georgios Liavas
  1. 90Diogo Nascimento
  2. 44Tamás Nikitscher
  1. 7Diogo Bezerra
  2. 11Jalen Blesa
  3. 30Roland Galčík
  1. 9Tamblé Monteiro
  1. 14Yanis Begraoui
  1. 7André Lacximicant
  2. 12João Carvalho
  3. 99Rafik Guitane
  1. 5Antef Tsoungui
  2. 90Tiago Brito
  1. 3Fernando Medrano
  2. 15Ismael Sierra Arnal
  3. 4Ferro
  4. 2Ricard Sánchez
  1. 1Joel Robles

Bench

  • 23Diogo Dias
  • 16Martin Turk
  • 42Jordan Arnolin
  • 22Pedro Carvalho
  • 19Tiago Parente
  • 25Stelios Andreou
  • 18Gonçalo Costa
  • 80Luis Gomes
  • 6Jandro Orellana
  • 98Fabrício Garcia
  • 17Peixinho

Bench

  • 5Andreas Ndoj
  • 22Kevin Chamorro
  • 39Gustavo Mancha
  • 60Caike
  • 13Julien Lomboto
  • 70Antoine Wenck
  • 25Rafael Lobato
  • 79Miguel Patricio
  • 17Marios Vrousai
  • 67Samuel da Silva Alves
  • 27Tobias Medina
  • 77Dario Špikić

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Estoril vs Rio Ave — Match Analysis

Estoril are clear favourites, backed by a superior head-to-head record and Rio Ave's two-game losing streak. The main risk is Estoril's own scoring struggles, which could lead to a tight, low-scoring affair.

Estoril enter this Primeira Liga clash as the clear favourites, backed by both the market and the statistical model. The home side's superior head-to-head record and overall team strength give them a decisive edge over a struggling Rio Ave outfit.

Form Analysis: Estoril have had a mixed start with one draw and one loss, but they have shown defensive resilience with a clean sheet in their last five. Rio Ave, meanwhile, are on a two-game losing streak and have failed to score in two of their last five matches, highlighting their attacking struggles.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Estoril, who have won four of the last ten meetings. Rio Ave's poor form and lack of goals compound their difficulties. Estoril's home advantage, though modest, adds to their favouritism.

Conclusion: With the odds and model in agreement, Estoril are expected to secure a narrow victory. Rio Ave's defensive issues and lack of momentum make an upset unlikely, but their occasional resilience could keep the scoreline tight.

Win Probabilities: Estoril: 49% · Draw: 30% · Rio Ave: 21%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 42% · Under 2.5: 58% · BTTS: 49%

H2H: Estoril wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Rio Ave wins: 3

Form (latest first): Estoril: LLDLL · Rio Ave: LDLLL

  • João Carvalho vs Tamás Nikitscher: Carvalho's creativity in midfield will be key to unlocking Rio Ave's defence, while Nikitscher's discipline will be crucial in breaking up play.
  • Rafik Guitane vs Francisco Petrasso: Guitane's dribbling and directness on the wing could trouble Petrasso, who must stay compact to prevent crosses.
  • Yanis Begraoui vs Jakub Brabec: Begraoui's movement and finishing will test Brabec's positioning and aerial ability in the box.

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Moreirense
Oct 917:45
GIL Vicente
14.5522%
X3.0333%
22.2245%
Primeira LigaPortugal
SC Braga
Oct 919:15
Sporting CP
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Oct 1014:30
Santa Clara
15.0020%
X3.2331%
22.0449%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Oct 1017:00
FC Porto
110.0010%
X4.5522%
21.4768%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Oct 1019:30
Estoril
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Oct 1114:30
Nacional
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Oct 1117:00
Vitória SC
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Oct 1119:30
Estrela
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Famalicao
Oct 1219:15
Alverca
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Vitória SC
Oct 2319:45
Maritimo
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Oct 2414:30
Arouca
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estrela
Oct 2414:30
Casa Pia
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Oct 2419:30
FC Porto
Early projection
19.0911%
X6.6715%
21.3574%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Oct 2515:30
Moreirense
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Oct 2518:00
SC Braga
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.5618%
21.5465%

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