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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Famalicao vs Maritimo

Famalicao vs Maritimo

Result • Primeira Liga·Famalicao·Maritimo

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Aug 16, 2026
19:30
medium Confidence
Famalicao

Famalicao

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.74
X3.50
24.80
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Famalicão
medium Confidence
WINNER
Maritimo

Maritimo

Away
Odds
11.74
X3.50
24.80
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Famalicão
Win Probabilities
50%
Famalicao
28%
Draw
22%
Maritimo
Home1.7450%
Draw3.5028%
Away4.8022%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Famalicao are favored at 49% to win at home against Maritimo. The draw is rated 28% and the away win 23%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Primeira Liga fixture between Famalicao and Maritimo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Famalicao a 50% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Maritimo a 22% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 44%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 44%

Match Events

  1. Goal: F. van BreemenAssist: O. Aranda
    8'
    Goal: F. van BreemenFamalicao · Assist: O. Aranda
  2. 21'
    Goal: S. BouzaidiMaritimo
    Goal: S. Bouzaidi
  3. 42'
    Yellow Card: A. ButzkeMaritimo
    Yellow Card: A. Butzke
  4. Substitution: P. SantosOut: P. Moreira
    46'
    Substitution: P. SantosFamalicao · Out: P. Moreira
  5. Substitution: Gil DiasOut: O. Aranda
    46'
    Substitution: Gil DiasFamalicao · Out: O. Aranda
  6. Substitution: L. MeyerOut: Pedro Bondo
    46'
    Substitution: L. MeyerFamalicao · Out: Pedro Bondo
  7. Yellow Card: F. van Breemen
    50'
    Yellow Card: F. van BreemenFamalicao
  8. 68'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardMaritimo
    Yellow Card: Yellow Card
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Carević vs Alfonso Pastor: The battle between the two goalkeepers could be decisive, as both have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches. Their shot-stopping abilities will be crucial in a potentially low-scoring game.
2Gustavo Garcia vs Romain Correia: The duel on the right flank will be key, with Garcia looking to provide width and crosses for Famalicao, while Correia will aim to contain him and offer support going forward.
3M. Mattara vs Rafael Fernandes: The central defensive matchup will be important, as Mattara will try to dominate aerially and in duels, while Fernandes will look to read the game and cut out danger.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Famalicao

  • Solid defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Strong head-to-head dominance over Maritimo
  • Low win rate in recent matches (0% in last 5)
  • Struggled to score in 2 of last 5 games

Maritimo

  • Excellent recent form with 4-match unbeaten streak
  • Strong defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Poor head-to-head record against Famalicao (0 wins in last 5)
  • Away from home, which may reduce their effectiveness

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
50%
API-Football
35%
43%
Famalicao433226

Moderate agreement on home win (43%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Famalicao enter this match as the clear favourites, backed by a strong head-to-head record and home advantage. However, Maritimo arrive in better form, having won their last match and remaining unbeaten in four, which suggests a competitive contest.

Form Analysis: Maritimo have won their most recent game and are on a four-match unbeaten streak, while Famalicao have drawn their last match and have a win rate of 0% in their last five. Despite this, Famalicao have kept three clean sheets in that period, indicating a solid defensive base.

Key Factors: Famalicao's historical dominance in this fixture is striking, with four wins in the last five meetings and no defeats. Additionally, they have the advantage of playing at home, which often proves decisive. Maritimo's recent form is a concern, but their defensive solidity (three clean sheets) could keep them in the game.

Conclusion: The data points to a narrow Famalicao victory, but Maritimo's resilience and current momentum make an upset possible. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring game with Famalicao edging it.

Statistical ContextFamalicao

Combo Double chance : Famalicao or draw and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FamalicaoMaritimo
60%Strength40%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential100%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
85%H2H Strength15%
80%Goals H2H20%
60%Wins the Game40%
Head-to-head →Injuries · FamalicaoInjuries · MaritimoLive scores →

Statistical Context

Famalicao

DDDLD
  • DSep 13, 26H · Sporting CP1-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Estrela2-2
  • DAug 30, 26H · GIL Vicente0-0
  • LAug 23, 26A · Santa Clara1-0
  • DAug 7, 26A · Estoril1-1

Maritimo

LLLDW
  • LSep 14, 26A · Moreirense3-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · Benfica0-3
  • LAug 29, 26A · Arouca2-1
  • DAug 22, 26H · Academico Viseu2-2
  • WAug 8, 26H · Casa Pia1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9GIL Vicente507LLDWW
10Maritimo6-47LLLDW
11Moreirense6-67WLLWL
12Alverca6-35WLDLD
13Famalicao6-24DDDLL
14Vitória SC6-34LDLWL

Head to Head

4
Famalicao
4
Draws
0
Maritimo
  • Apr 22, 23Famalicao – Maritimo3-2
  • Nov 6, 22Maritimo – Famalicao0-0
  • Feb 20, 22Maritimo – Famalicao0-1
  • Sep 18, 21Famalicao – Maritimo0-0
  • Mar 21, 21Maritimo – Famalicao0-4

Season Statistics — 2026

FamalicaoMaritimo
Played55
Goals Scored46
Goals Conceded68
Avg Scored0.81.2
Avg Conceded1.21.6
Clean Sheets11

Famalicao vs Maritimo — Match Analysis

Famalicao are favored at 49% to win at home against Maritimo. The draw is rated 28% and the away win 23%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Famalicao enter this match as the clear favourites, backed by a strong head-to-head record and home advantage. However, Maritimo arrive in better form, having won their last match and remaining unbeaten in four, which suggests a competitive contest.

Form Analysis: Maritimo have won their most recent game and are on a four-match unbeaten streak, while Famalicao have drawn their last match and have a win rate of 0% in their last five. Despite this, Famalicao have kept three clean sheets in that period, indicating a solid defensive base.

Key Factors: Famalicao's historical dominance in this fixture is striking, with four wins in the last five meetings and no defeats. Additionally, they have the advantage of playing at home, which often proves decisive. Maritimo's recent form is a concern, but their defensive solidity (three clean sheets) could keep them in the game.

Conclusion: The data points to a narrow Famalicao victory, but Maritimo's resilience and current momentum make an upset possible. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring game with Famalicao edging it.

Win Probabilities: Famalicao: 50% · Draw: 28% · Maritimo: 22%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 36% · Under 2.5: 64% · BTTS: 44%

H2H: Famalicao wins: 4 · Draws: 4 · Maritimo wins: 0

Form (latest first): Famalicao: DDDLD · Maritimo: LLLDW

  • L. Carević vs Alfonso Pastor: The battle between the two goalkeepers could be decisive, as both have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches. Their shot-stopping abilities will be crucial in a potentially low-scoring game.
  • Gustavo Garcia vs Romain Correia: The duel on the right flank will be key, with Garcia looking to provide width and crosses for Famalicao, while Correia will aim to contain him and offer support going forward.
  • M. Mattara vs Rafael Fernandes: The central defensive matchup will be important, as Mattara will try to dominate aerially and in duels, while Fernandes will look to read the game and cut out danger.

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Sep 1914:30
Famalicao
14.0025%
X3.0333%
22.3842%
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Sep 1914:30
Maritimo
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Sep 1917:00
Rio Ave
12.7037%
X3.2331%
23.1332%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Sporting CP
Sep 1919:30
Arouca
11.2878%
X6.2516%
216.676%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Vitória SC
Sep 2014:30
Moreirense
11.7258%
X3.7027%
26.6715%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estrela
Sep 2014:30
Academico Viseu
12.0848%
X3.2331%
24.7621%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Santa Clara
Sep 2017:00
SC Braga
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Sep 2017:00
Casa Pia
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
Primeira LigaPortugal
FC Porto
Sep 2019:30
Benfica
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Moreirense
Oct 917:45
GIL Vicente
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
Primeira LigaPortugal
SC Braga
Oct 919:15
Sporting CP
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Oct 1014:30
Santa Clara
Early projection
112.508%
X7.6913%
21.2779%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Oct 1017:00
FC Porto
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.2516%
21.3972%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Oct 1019:30
Estoril
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Oct 1114:30
Nacional
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%

Betting Tips

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