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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Vitória SC vs Nacional

Vitória SC vs Nacional

Prediction • Primeira Liga·Vitória SC·Nacional

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Aug 23, 2026
14:30
PREDICTED WINNER
Vitória SC

Vitória SC

Home
VS
VS
Odds
11.70
X3.80
24.65
Nacional

Nacional

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.80
24.65
Win Probabilities
41%
Vitória SC
30%
Draw
29%
Nacional
Home1.7041%
Draw3.8030%
Away4.6529%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Vitória SC are favored at 40% to win at home against Nacional. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 34%, so the numbers point to a home result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
0.0Vitória SC
/10
4.0Nacional
Vitória SC
FormLatest first
LLLLL
Win Rate0%
Nacional
FormLatest first
WDWLL
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageNacional+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

30°
Sunny
Wind
18 km/h
Humidity
37%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

Hot conditions - increased fatigue, slower pace expected

Vitória SC
Home

Vitória SC

Form
LL
Latest first
6
Pos
54
Pts
-1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff-1
  • Strong head-to-head record against Nacional (5 wins in last 10)
  • Average attacking output (1.6 goals per game)
  • Solid defensive record in recent matches (1 clean sheet in last 5)

Head to Head

Last 10
Vitória SC
Vitória SC
5Wins
2
Draws
Nacional
3Wins
Nacional
50%20%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
May162026
NacionalNacional
2-0
Loss
Vitória SCVitória SC
Jan22026
Vitória SCVitória SC
2-1
Win
NacionalNacional
May32025
NacionalNacional
1-2
Win
Vitória SCVitória SC
Dec232024
Vitória SCVitória SC
2-2
Draw
NacionalNacional
Apr262021
NacionalNacional
1-0
Loss
Vitória SCVitória SC
Jan212021
Vitória SCVitória SC
3-1
Win
NacionalNacional
May52019
Vitória SCVitória SC
2-2
Draw
NacionalNacional
Jan22019
NacionalNacional
1-0
Loss
Vitória SCVitória SC
Mar312017
NacionalNacional
1-2
Win
Vitória SCVitória SC
Nov42016
Vitória SCVitória SC
2-1
Win
NacionalNacional

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Nacional 2 - 0 Vitória SC

May 16, 2026

35% / 32% / 33%

Vitória SC4-2-3-1vs4-3-3NacionalPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Central creativity vs wide threat. Balance key.

NacionalNacional4-3-3
Vitória SCVitória SC4-2-3-1
NacionalBenchNacional7
Vitória SCBenchVitória SC7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Primeira Liga

League Statistics

Primeira Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Arouca
Arouca
220050+56
2
FC Porto
FC Porto
220040+46
3
Maritimo
Maritimo
220031+26
4
Benfica
Benfica
211092+74
5
Nacional
NacionalAway
211042+24
6
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
211032+14
7
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
211054+14
8
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
110010+13
9
Estrela
Estrela
20204402
10
SC Braga
SC Braga
10102201
11
Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu
201123-11
12
Famalicao
Famalicao
201123-11
13
Estoril
Estoril
201113-21
14
Alverca
Alverca
201124-21
15
Moreirense
Moreirense
201126-41
16
Vitória SC
Vitória SCHome
200224-20
17
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
200203-30
18
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
200208-80
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Vitória SC

Confidence

Win Probabilities

41%Vitória SC
30%Draw
29%Nacional

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·21.70 · 3.80 · 4.65
KickoffSun, Aug 23 · 14:30
League StatsPrimeira Liga

Statistical Context

Vitória SC

LLLLL
  • LAug 14, 26A · Sporting CP3-2
  • LAug 8, 26H · Arouca0-1
  • LMay 16, 26A · Nacional2-0
  • LMay 11, 26H · Casa Pia0-1
  • LMay 4, 26A · Sporting CP5-1

Nacional

WDWLL
  • WAug 16, 26H · Estoril2-0
  • DAug 10, 26A · Santa Clara2-2
  • WMay 16, 26H · Vitória SC2-0
  • LMay 11, 26A · Santa Clara2-0
  • LMay 2, 26H · AVS1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Benfica2+74WD
5Nacional2+24WD
6Santa Clara2+14WD
15Moreirense2-41LD
16Vitória SC2-20LL
17Rio Ave2-30LL

Head to Head

5
Vitória SC
2
Draws
3
Nacional
  • May 16, 26Nacional – Vitória SC2-0
  • Jan 2, 26Vitória SC – Nacional2-1
  • May 3, 25Nacional – Vitória SC1-2
  • Dec 23, 24Vitória SC – Nacional2-2
  • Apr 26, 21Nacional – Vitória SC1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Vitória SCNacional
Played11
Goals Scored02
Goals Conceded12
Avg Scored0.02.0
Avg Conceded1.02.0
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Vitória SCNacional
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored3/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Vitória SC

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 22GJ. Castillo
  2. 82DF. Dias
  3. 2DMiguel Maga
  4. 13DJoão Mendes
  5. 4DÓscar Rivas
  6. 18MTelmo Arcanjo
  7. 16MBeni
  8. 44ML. Doucet
  9. 6MM. Mitrović
  10. 8MGonçalo Nogueira
  11. 24AA. Ndoye

Coach: João Filipe

Nacional

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 1GRenato Bellucci
  2. 33DFrancisco Gonçalves
  3. 34DLéo Santos
  4. 38DZé Vitor
  5. 2DDaniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
  6. 52MWesley Gasolina
  7. 88MDeivison
  8. 15MC. Labidi
  9. 8AMiguel Baeza
  10. 10ADaniel Júnior
  11. 99APablo Ruan

Coach: Costinha

Vitória SC vs Nacional — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Vitória SC are favored at 40% to win at home against Nacional. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 34%, so the numbers point to a home result.

This Primeira Liga clash sees Vitória SC hosting Nacional, with the visitors holding a slight edge according to the statistical model. However, the match is expected to be tight, with both teams showing vulnerabilities.…

Win Probabilities: Vitória SC: 41% · Draw: 30% · Nacional: 29%

H2H: Vitória SC wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Nacional wins: 3

Form (latest first): Vitória SC: LLLLL · Nacional: WDWLL

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Aug 2214:30
Academico Viseu
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Aug 2217:00
Rio Ave
12.0449%
X3.3330%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Sporting CP
Aug 2219:30
Alverca
11.2282%
X7.1414%
225.004%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Santa Clara
Aug 2317:00
Famalicao
12.3842%
X3.1332%
23.8526%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
FC Porto
Aug 2319:30
Arouca
11.2381%
X6.6715%
225.004%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Aug 2419:15
Casa Pia
11.9252%
X3.2331%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Aug 2819:15
Sporting CP
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Aug 2914:30
Maritimo
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Aug 2914:30
Santa Clara
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Aug 2917:00
FC Porto
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Aug 3014:30
Estrela
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Aug 3017:00
Moreirense
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Famalicao
Aug 3019:30
GIL Vicente
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Aug 3117:45
Estoril
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
SC Braga
Aug 3119:45
Vitória SC
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access