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Today's Tips
Matches
Live
Play
  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline

Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline

Result • Championship·Ayr Utd·Dunfermline

Championship
Championship
Oct 10, 2026
14:00
low Confidence
DRAW
Ayr Utd

Ayr Utd

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
13.10
X3.10
22.20
Stadium
Somerset Park
low Confidence
DRAW
Dunfermline

Dunfermline

Away
Odds
13.10
X3.10
22.20
Stadium
Somerset Park
Win Probabilities
30%
Ayr Utd
29%
Draw
41%
Dunfermline
Home3.1030%
Draw3.1029%
Away2.2041%

Oracle's Vision

Low Confidence
“

Dunfermline are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 0-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Championship fixture between Ayr Utd and Dunfermline using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Ayr Utd a 30% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Dunfermline a 41% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 36%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 36%

Match Events

  1. 39'
    Yellow Card: A. AmadeDunfermline
    Yellow Card: A. Amade
  2. 54'
    Penalty: J. Cooper (Penalty)Dunfermline
    Penalty: J. Cooper (Penalty)
  3. Goal: K. HoltAssist: O. Whyte
    58'
    Goal: K. HoltAyr Utd · Assist: O. Whyte
  4. 58'
    Yellow Card: O. AdamsDunfermline
    Yellow Card: O. Adams
  5. Yellow Card: R. Lyon
    62'
    Yellow Card: R. LyonAyr Utd
  6. 63'
    Substitution: O. ShawDunfermline · Out: O. Adams
    Substitution: O. ShawOut: O. Adams
  7. Substitution: B. SummersOut: N. McAllister
    66'
    Substitution: B. SummersAyr Utd · Out: N. McAllister
  8. Substitution: J. LandersOut: O. Stirton
    77'
    Substitution: J. LandersAyr Utd · Out: O. Stirton
  9. Substitution: M. RusOut: R. Lyon
    78'
    Substitution: M. RusAyr Utd · Out: R. Lyon
  10. Substitution: J. MurphyOut: E. Walker
    78'
    Substitution: J. MurphyAyr Utd · Out: E. Walker
  11. 78'
    Substitution: C. MorrisonDunfermline · Out: A. Tod
    Substitution: C. MorrisonOut: A. Tod
  12. 78'
    Substitution: K. BrayDunfermline · Out: A. Oyirwoth
    Substitution: K. BrayOut: A. Oyirwoth
  13. Yellow Card: O. Whyte
    82'
    Yellow Card: O. WhyteAyr Utd
  14. 83'
    Yellow Card: O. ShawDunfermline
    Yellow Card: O. Shaw
  15. 90+2'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardDunfermline
    Yellow Card: Yellow Card
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headAyr Utd – DunfermlineInjuriesAyr UtdInjuriesDunfermlineLive scores

Statistical Context

Ayr Utd

WLWLW
  • WOct 31, 26H · Queen's Park3-2
  • LOct 16, 26H · Partick0-1
  • WOct 3, 26A · Livingston1-2
  • LSep 25, 26H · Stenhousemuir0-1
  • WSep 18, 26A · Queen's Park0-2

Dunfermline

WWWDD
  • WOct 31, 26H · Inverness CT5-1
  • WOct 27, 26A · Stenhousemuir0-1
  • WOct 24, 26A · Queen's Park0-1
  • DOct 20, 26H · Partick1-1
  • DOct 17, 26H · Livingston0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Raith Rovers13+1124WLDWW
3Dunfermline13+824WWWDD
4Stenhousemuir13+123LLLDL
5Livingston13+720WWDLL
6Inverness CT13+119LWWLW
7Ayr Utd12-115WLDWL
8Arbroath13-1511LLLLL

Season Statistics — 2025

Ayr UtdDunfermline
Played—3
Goals Scored—2
Goals Conceded—1
Avg Scored—0.7
Avg Conceded—0.3
Clean Sheets—2

Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline — Match Analysis

Dunfermline are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 0-1.

Ayr Utd host Dunfermline in the Championship on Saturday, 10 October 2026. Our model makes Dunfermline the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 29% and Ayr Utd at 31%.

Form and league position

Ayr Utd sit 6th of 10 with 11 points from 9 games (9 scored, 10 conceded), recent form L-L-W-L-W. Dunfermline sit 5th of 10 with 12 points from 7 games (6 scored, 4 conceded), recent form D-L-D-W-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 0.8–0.9, about 1.8 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 26% and both teams to score at 36%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Ayr Utd at 3.15, the draw at 3.15 and Dunfermline at 2.30; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Dunfermline to win (40%), most likely score 0-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Ayr Utd: 30% · Draw: 29% · Dunfermline: 41%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (14.2% chance)

Over 2.5: 26% · Under 2.5: 74% · BTTS: 36%

Form (latest first): Ayr Utd: WLWLW · Dunfermline: WWWDD

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West Ham Up to Second, Liverpool & Chelsea Win: Saturday Roundup

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Championship

Championship

Scotland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipScotland
Raith Rovers
Nov 619:30
Dunfermline
13.0333%
X3.4529%
22.6338%
ChampionshipScotland
Inverness CT
Nov 715:00
Livingston
12.6338%
X3.5728%
22.9434%
ChampionshipScotland
Morton
Nov 715:00
Stenhousemuir
14.0025%
X4.5522%
21.8953%
ChampionshipScotland
Arbroath
Nov 715:00
Ayr Utd
13.0333%
X3.4529%
22.6338%
ChampionshipScotland
Queen's Park
Nov 715:00
Partick
110.0010%
X6.2516%
21.3574%
ChampionshipScotland
Livingston
Nov 1415:00
Morton
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
ChampionshipScotland
Partick
Nov 1415:00
Inverness CT
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
ChampionshipScotland
Ayr Utd
Nov 1415:00
Raith Rovers
13.8526%
X4.3523%
21.9651%
ChampionshipScotland
Dunfermline
Nov 1415:00
Arbroath
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
ChampionshipScotland
Stenhousemuir
Nov 1415:00
Queen's Park
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
ChampionshipScotland
Inverness CT
Nov 2019:30
Ayr Utd
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
ChampionshipScotland
Raith Rovers
Nov 2115:00
Partick
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
ChampionshipScotland
Dunfermline
Nov 2115:00
Morton
11.5266%
X5.5618%
26.2516%
ChampionshipScotland
Arbroath
Nov 2115:00
Stenhousemuir
15.8817%
X5.8817%
21.5266%
ChampionshipScotland
Queen's Park
Nov 2115:00
Livingston
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%

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