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  1. Home
  2. Copa del Rey
  3. Albacete vs Real Madrid

Albacete vs Real Madrid

Result • Copa del Rey·Albacete·Real Madrid

Copa del Rey
Copa del Rey
Jan 14, 2026
20:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Albacete

Albacete

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 0-2
Odds
19.00
X6.50
21.25
Stadium
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
high Confidence
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Away
Odds
19.00
X6.50
21.25
Stadium
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Win Probabilities
10%
Albacete
14%
Draw
76%
Real Madrid
Home9.0010%
Draw6.5014%
Away1.2576%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a clash where the stars align for the visitors, with ancient wisdom revealing a path paved by form and firepower. Shadows of resistance may linger, but the light of quality shall prevail.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa del Rey fixture between Albacete and Real Madrid using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Albacete a 10% win probability, a 14% chance of a draw, and Real Madrid a 76% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. Goal: J. VillarAssist: J. Lazo
    42'
    Goal: J. VillarAlbacete · Assist: J. Lazo
  2. 45+3'
    Goal: F. MastantuonoReal Madrid
    Goal: F. Mastantuono
  3. Substitution: Agus MedinaOut: J. Lazo
    57'
    Substitution: Agus MedinaAlbacete · Out: J. Lazo
  4. Substitution: J. BetancorOut: D. Escriche
    58'
    Substitution: J. BetancorAlbacete · Out: D. Escriche
  5. Substitution: R. RodriguezOut: Capi
    58'
    Substitution: R. RodriguezAlbacete · Out: Capi
  6. 65'
    Yellow Card: D. HuijsenReal Madrid
    Yellow Card: D. Huijsen
  7. 65'
    Substitution: D. AlabaReal Madrid · Out: D. Huijsen
    Substitution: D. AlabaOut: D. Huijsen
  8. 65'
    Substitution: E. CamavingaReal Madrid · Out: F. Garcia
    Substitution: E. CamavingaOut: F. Garcia
  9. Substitution: JogoOut: D. Bernabeu
    74'
    Substitution: JogoAlbacete · Out: D. Bernabeu
  10. 77'
    Substitution: C. PalaciosReal Madrid · Out: F. Mastantuono
    Substitution: C. PalaciosOut: F. Mastantuono
  11. 77'
    Substitution: D. CarvajalReal Madrid · Out: D. Jimenez
    Substitution: D. CarvajalOut: D. Jimenez
  12. Substitution: PepeOut: A. Pacheco
    77'
    Substitution: PepeAlbacete · Out: A. Pacheco
  13. Goal: J. Betancor
    82'
    Goal: J. BetancorAlbacete
  14. 86'
    Substitution: M. A. MoranReal Madrid · Out: J. Cestero Sancho
    Substitution: M. A. MoranOut: J. Cestero Sancho
  15. 90+1'
    Goal: G. GarciaReal Madrid · Assist: A. Guler
    Goal: G. GarciaAssist: A. Guler
  16. 90+2'
    Yellow Card: R. AsencioReal Madrid
    Yellow Card: R. Asencio
  17. Goal: J. Betancor
    90+4'
    Goal: J. BetancorAlbacete
  18. Yellow Card: J. Betancor
    90+5'
    Yellow Card: J. BetancorAlbacete
  19. Yellow Card: R. Rodriguez
    90+6'
    Yellow Card: R. RodriguezAlbacete
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Jon Morcillo vs Real Madrid defenders: Morcillo's creativity and goal contributions will test Real Madrid's defensive organization.
2Kylian Mbappé vs Albacete defenders: Mbappé's scoring ability poses a major threat to Albacete's defensive solidity.
3Agus Medina vs Real Madrid midfield: Medina's role in Albacete's attack will clash with Real Madrid's midfield control.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Albacete

  • Defensive solidity with only 3 goals conceded in last 5 matches
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Inconsistent form with only 1 win in last 5 matches
  • Lower goal-scoring output compared to Real Madrid

Real Madrid

  • Strong attacking form with 13 goals in last 5 matches
  • Key player Kylian Mbappé with high goal and assist contributions
  • Defensive vulnerabilities with 7 goals conceded in last 5 matches
  • Potential for fixture congestion or fatigue, though not specified
Head-to-head →Injuries · AlbaceteInjuries · Real MadridLive scores →

Statistical Context

Albacete

LLLDL
  • LOct 3, 26H · Eibar1-3
  • LSep 25, 26A · Girona2-0
  • LSep 18, 26H · Cordoba1-2
  • DSep 12, 26A · Granada CF1-1
  • LSep 6, 26A · Castellón2-0

Real Madrid

LWWWL
  • LSep 20, 26A · Atletico Madrid2-1
  • WSep 15, 26A · Elche2-3
  • WSep 12, 26H · Rayo Vallecano4-1
  • WSep 8, 26H · Inter2-1
  • LSep 4, 26A · Real Betis1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

AlbaceteReal Madrid
Played—7
Goals Scored—18
Goals Conceded—8
Avg Scored—2.6
Avg Conceded—1.1
Clean Sheets—1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AlbaceteReal Madrid
Over 2.5 Goals6/105/10
Both Teams Scored5/104/10
Clean Sheets4/104/10

Albacete vs Real Madrid — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a clash where the stars align for the visitors, with ancient wisdom revealing a path paved by form and firepower. Shadows of resistance may linger, but the light of quality shall prevail.

Based on the structured data, Real Madrid is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a 75% chance for an away win, indicating a clear favorite, and the model probabilities, while conflicting, do not outweigh the market intelligence. Real Madrid's superior form and key players support this outcome.

Form Analysis: Albacete's recent form is DLDLW with 8 goals for and 3 against, showing inconsistency and defensive solidity but limited wins. Real Madrid's form is WWWLW with 13 goals for and 7 against, demonstrating strong attacking performance and higher win frequency, which aligns with their status as favorites.

Key Factors: 1. Market odds strongly favor Real Madrid with 75% implied probability for an away win, reflecting their quality and form advantage. 2. Real Madrid's key players, such as Kylian Mbappé with 16 goals and 4 assists, provide a significant attacking threat compared to Albacete's top scorers. 3. No significant injuries or suspensions for either team, meaning both sides are at full strength, which benefits the stronger team.

Conclusion: The data-driven verdict points to a Real Madrid victory due to their superior form, key player quality, and strong market consensus, despite some model disagreement. Albacete's home advantage and defensive record may offer resistance, but are insufficient to overcome the odds.

Win Probabilities: Albacete: 10% · Draw: 14% · Real Madrid: 76%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 45%

Form (latest first): Albacete: LLLDL · Real Madrid: LWWWL

  • Jon Morcillo vs Real Madrid defenders: Morcillo's creativity and goal contributions will test Real Madrid's defensive organization.
  • Kylian Mbappé vs Albacete defenders: Mbappé's scoring ability poses a major threat to Albacete's defensive solidity.
  • Agus Medina vs Real Madrid midfield: Medina's role in Albacete's attack will clash with Real Madrid's midfield control.

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Betting Tips

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