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  1. Home
  2. Copa del Rey
  3. Covadonga vs Valladolid

Covadonga vs Valladolid

Prediction • Copa del Rey·Covadonga·Valladolid

Copa del Rey
Copa del Rey
Oct 28, 2026
19:00
PREDICTED DRAW
Covadonga

Covadonga

Home
VS
VS
PREDICTED DRAW
Valladolid

Valladolid

Away
Win Probabilities
34%
Covadonga
33%
Draw
33%
Valladolid
Home2.9434%
Draw3.0333%
Away3.0333%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Covadonga hold a narrow edge in this evenly-matched cup tie, backed by a five-match unbeaten run and a defence conceding under a goal per game, while Valladolid arrive with a leaky back line. The main risk is Valladolid's higher-division quality turning the tie their way.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Covadonga vs Valladolid.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0Covadonga
/10
4.0Valladolid
Covadonga
FormLatest first
WWWDW
Win Rate80%
Valladolid
FormLatest first
DWDLW
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageCovadonga+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Covadonga
Home

Covadonga

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Five-match unbeaten streak with strong momentum
  • Averaging 2.8 goals scored per game in recent form
  • Solid defence conceding just 0.8 per game with two clean sheets
Valladolid
Away

Valladolid

Form
WLDWD
Latest first
20
Pos
16
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Three-match unbeaten streak in their recent form
  • Higher-division pedigree as a Segunda side
  • Balanced scoring output of 1.4 goals per game

No Previous Meetings

These teams haven't faced each other in recent history

Covadonga4-3-3vs4-1-3-2ValladolidPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Draw

Confidence

Win Probabilities

34%Covadonga
33%Draw
33%Valladolid

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffWed, Oct 28 · 19:00
League StatsCopa del Rey
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · CovadongaInjuries · ValladolidLive scores →

Statistical Context

Valladolid

DWDLW
  • DOct 4, 26A · Las Palmas2-2
  • WSep 27, 26H · Cordoba3-1
  • DSep 20, 26A · AD Ceuta FC1-1
  • LSep 13, 26H · Oviedo0-3
  • WSep 5, 26H · FC Andorra1-0

Predicted line-ups: Covadonga vs Valladolid

Predicted XI

Covadonga

4-3-3Formation· Coach: Fermín Álvarez

Valladolid

4-1-3-2Formation· Coach: G. Almada

  1. 1Álvaro Aceves
  1. 18Clerc
  2. 35Alejandro Galdeano
  3. 27Iván Garriel
  4. 5Ramón Martínez
  1. 16Álex Balboa
  1. 24S. Jurić
  2. 6M. Lachuer
  3. 8T. Ojeda
  1. 11Yeray Cabanzón
  2. 19Adrian Arnuncio
  1. 9Guille Alonso
  2. 19I. Dieng
  3. 11David Ruiz
  1. 6Borja Llaca
  2. 7Jairo Vidal Alvarez
  3. 8Carlos Mundaka
  1. 2Pacoli
  2. 3Salvador González
  3. 4Pablo Llana
  4. 5Pablo Secades
  1. 13Buru

Bench

  • 0Nel González
  • 0Álvaro Sánchez
  • 0Alvaro Granda
  • 0Asier Siscar
  • 0Hugo
  • 6Emilio Morilla
  • 18Trabanco

Bench

  • 26L. Lavagnino
  • 13Dani Martín
  • 4David Torres
  • 2Trilli
  • 15Pablo Tomeo
  • 14Iván Alejo
  • 21J. Ponceau

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Covadonga vs Valladolid — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Covadonga hold a narrow edge in this evenly-matched cup tie, backed by a five-match unbeaten run and a defence conceding under a goal per game, while Valladolid arrive with a leaky back line. The main risk is Valladolid's higher-division quality turning the tie their way.

This Copa del Rey tie between Covadonga and Valladolid is a genuinely tight, evenly-matched contest. With no market odds available and the statistical model returning a neutral baseline, the data points to a balanced encounter where neither side holds a decisive edge.…

Win Probabilities: Covadonga: 34% · Draw: 33% · Valladolid: 33%

Form (latest first): Covadonga: WWWDW · Valladolid: DWDLW

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Copa del Rey

Copa del Rey

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
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X3.0333%
23.0333%
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Castellón
13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
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Don Benito
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Extremadura 1924
13.3330%
X2.9434%
22.7836%
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Gimnástica Torrelavega
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UD Ourense
12.7836%
X3.1332%
23.1332%
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Navalcarnero
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Real Betis
13.3330%
X3.5728%
22.3842%
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Poblense
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AD Ceuta FC
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
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Tudelano
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Zaragoza
13.3330%
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22.3842%
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Amorebieta
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UD Logroñés
12.3842%
X3.0333%
24.0025%
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Atlético Baleares
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Eldense
12.9434%
X3.0333%
23.0333%
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Badajoz
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Tenerife
12.9434%
X3.0333%
23.0333%
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Coruxo
Oct 2819:00
Zamora
13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
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Gimnástica Segoviana
Oct 2819:00
Cultural Leonesa
12.3842%
X3.0333%
24.0025%
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Guijuelo
Oct 2819:00
Sporting Gijon
13.3330%
X3.5728%
22.3842%
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Laredo
Oct 2819:00
Burgos
12.7836%
X3.3330%
22.9434%
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Copa del ReySpain
Peña Sport
Oct 2819:00
Huesca
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
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