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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano

Result • La Liga·Valencia·Rayo Vallecano

La Liga
La Liga
May 14, 2026
17:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Valencia

Valencia

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.25
X3.00
23.60
Stadium
Estadio de Mestalla
medium Confidence
DRAW
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Away
Odds
12.25
X3.00
23.60
Stadium
Estadio de Mestalla
Win Probabilities
40%
Valencia
33%
Draw
27%
Rayo Vallecano
Home2.2540%
Draw3.0033%
Away3.6027%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Valencia's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Rayo Vallecano, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Valencia and Rayo Vallecano using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Valencia a 40% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Rayo Vallecano a 27% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Beltrán vs Álvaro García: Valencia's top scorer vs Rayo's creative winger; battle of key attacking threats.
2Javi Guerra vs Isi Palazón: Midfield duel; Guerra's defensive work vs Palazón's playmaking.
3José Gayà vs Jorge de Frutos: Left-back vs right-winger; Gayà's defensive discipline vs de Frutos's pace and goals.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Valencia

  • Home advantage at Mestalla
  • Defensive organization (58% defense rating)
  • Inconsistent attack (0.8 avg goals scored)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5

Rayo Vallecano

  • Excellent recent form (5 unbeaten)
  • Strong defense (3 clean sheets in 5)
  • Slightly weaker overall comparison (49.7%)
  • Away form may be less dominant

Combined Analysis

High Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
35%
38%
Valencia383429

Moderate agreement on home win (38%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Valencia is predicted to win or draw based on home advantage and slight edge in overall comparison, but Rayo Vallecano's strong recent form and defensive solidity make this a tight contest.

Form Analysis: Valencia has a mixed form (WLWDL) with 1 win streak, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Rayo Vallecano is unbeaten in 5 (WWLWD), with 3 clean sheets, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Rayo's form is clearly superior.

Key Factors: 1) Rayo Vallecano's excellent defense (3 clean sheets in 5) vs Valencia's inconsistent attack (failed to score in 2 of last 5). 2) Head-to-head favors Rayo (3 wins in last 5) but draws are frequent (6 draws in last 5 meetings). 3) Home advantage for Valencia (rating 0.55) but not overwhelming.

Conclusion: The match is likely low-scoring with both teams cautious. Valencia's home support and slight overall edge (50.3%) balance Rayo's form advantage. A draw is a strong possibility given H2H history and balanced odds.

Statistical ContextValencia

Double chance : Valencia or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
ValenciaRayo Vallecano
50%Strength49%
36%Attacking Potential64%
58%Defensive Potential42%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
50%Wins the Game49%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · ValenciaInjuries · Rayo Vallecano</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Valencia

LLLDW
  • LSep 6, 26H · Barcelona0-5
  • LAug 30, 26A · Deportivo La Coruna3-1
  • LAug 25, 26H · Real Betis0-1
  • DAug 22, 26H · Celta Vigo0-0
  • WMay 23, 26H · Barcelona3-1

Rayo Vallecano

WLDLL
  • WSep 5, 26H · Racing Santander3-2
  • LAug 31, 26A · Barcelona5-2
  • DAug 20, 26H · Alaves1-1
  • LAug 15, 26A · Sevilla2-1
  • LMay 27, 26A · Crystal Palace1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
13Racing Santander4-14LWLD
14Rayo Vallecano4-34WLDL
15Getafe4-34DLWL
16Celta Vigo5-33DDLLD
17Villarreal4-22LLDD
18Malaga4-62DLDL
19Elche4-71LLLD
20Valencia4-81LLLD

Head to Head

3
Valencia
6
Draws
1
Rayo Vallecano
  • Dec 1, 25Rayo Vallecano – Valencia1-1
  • Apr 19, 25Rayo Vallecano – Valencia1-1
  • Dec 7, 24Valencia – Rayo Vallecano0-1
  • May 12, 24Valencia – Rayo Vallecano0-0
  • Dec 19, 23Rayo Vallecano – Valencia0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

ValenciaRayo Vallecano
Played32
Goals Scored12
Goals Conceded43
Avg Scored0.31.0
Avg Conceded1.31.5
Clean Sheets10

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ValenciaRayo Vallecano
Over 2.5 Goals—5/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—3/10

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Valencia's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Rayo Vallecano, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Valencia is predicted to win or draw based on home advantage and slight edge in overall comparison, but Rayo Vallecano's strong recent form and defensive solidity make this a tight contest.

Form Analysis: Valencia has a mixed form (WLWDL) with 1 win streak, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Rayo Vallecano is unbeaten in 5 (WWLWD), with 3 clean sheets, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Rayo's form is clearly superior.

Key Factors: 1) Rayo Vallecano's excellent defense (3 clean sheets in 5) vs Valencia's inconsistent attack (failed to score in 2 of last 5). 2) Head-to-head favors Rayo (3 wins in last 5) but draws are frequent (6 draws in last 5 meetings). 3) Home advantage for Valencia (rating 0.55) but not overwhelming.

Conclusion: The match is likely low-scoring with both teams cautious. Valencia's home support and slight overall edge (50.3%) balance Rayo's form advantage. A draw is a strong possibility given H2H history and balanced odds.

Win Probabilities: Valencia: 40% · Draw: 33% · Rayo Vallecano: 27%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 35% · Under 2.5: 65% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Valencia wins: 3 · Draws: 6 · Rayo Vallecano wins: 1

Form (latest first): Valencia: LLLDW · Rayo Vallecano: WLDLL

  • L. Beltrán vs Álvaro García: Valencia's top scorer vs Rayo's creative winger; battle of key attacking threats.
  • Javi Guerra vs Isi Palazón: Midfield duel; Guerra's defensive work vs Palazón's playmaking.
  • José Gayà vs Jorge de Frutos: Left-back vs right-winger; Gayà's defensive discipline vs de Frutos's pace and goals.

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Sevilla
Sep 1119:00
Valencia
12.8635%
X3.1332%
23.0333%
La LigaSpain
Racing Santander
Sep 1212:00
Alaves
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Sep 1214:15
Espanyol
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Sep 1216:30
Elche
11.8554%
X4.0025%
24.7621%
La LigaSpain
Real Madrid
Sep 1219:00
Rayo Vallecano
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
La LigaSpain
Celta Vigo
Sep 1312:00
Malaga
11.8953%
X3.3330%
25.8817%
La LigaSpain
Levante
Sep 1314:15
Barcelona
112.508%
X5.5618%
21.3574%
La LigaSpain
Getafe
Sep 1316:30
Deportivo La Coruna
12.2245%
X2.9434%
24.7621%
La LigaSpain
Real Sociedad
Sep 1319:00
Atletico Madrid
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
La LigaSpain
Villarreal
Sep 1419:00
Real Betis
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 1517:00
Espanyol
12.5639%
X3.2331%
23.3330%
La LigaSpain
Alaves
Sep 1518:00
Valencia
12.0449%
X3.2331%
25.0020%
La LigaSpain
Elche
Sep 1519:30
Real Madrid
112.508%
X5.2619%
21.3773%
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Sep 1617:00
Osasuna
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
La LigaSpain
Deportivo La Coruna
Sep 1617:00
Sevilla
12.5639%
X3.4529%
23.1332%

Betting Tips

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