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  1. Home
  2. Copa del Rey
  3. Real Sociedad vs Osasuna

Real Sociedad vs Osasuna

Result • Copa del Rey·Real Sociedad·Osasuna

Copa del Rey
Copa del Rey
Jan 13, 2026
20:00
medium Confidence
DRAW
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.95
X3.20
24.20
Stadium
Reale Arena
medium Confidence
DRAW
Osasuna

Osasuna

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.20
24.20
Stadium
Reale Arena
Win Probabilities
48%
Real Sociedad
29%
Draw
23%
Osasuna
Home1.9548%
Draw3.2029%
Away4.2023%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees the home fortress holding strong, with historical winds favoring Real Sociedad. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory under partly cloudy skies.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa del Rey fixture between Real Sociedad and Osasuna using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Real Sociedad a 48% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Osasuna a 23% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Mikel Oyarzabal vs Osasuna defense: Real Sociedad's top scorer with 5 goals and 3 assists will test Osasuna's defensive line.
2Víctor Muñoz vs Real Sociedad midfield: Osasuna's key player with high average rating of 9.2 could influence midfield battles.
3Raúl García vs Real Sociedad defense: Osasuna's top scorer with 2 goals and high rating of 7.9 poses an attacking threat.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Real Sociedad

  • Strong defensive record with only 1 goal conceded in last 5 matches
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Inconsistent recent form with WDDLL record
  • Lower goal scoring (7 goals in last 5 matches) compared to Osasuna

Osasuna

  • High goal scoring with 14 goals in last 5 matches
  • Multiple key players contributing to attacks
  • Poor defensive record with 5 goals conceded in last 5 matches
  • Historical disadvantage with only 1 win in last 5 meetings
Head-to-head →Injuries · Real SociedadInjuries · OsasunaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Real Sociedad

WLLWD
  • WSep 20, 26A · Valencia2-3
  • LSep 17, 26H · Bournemouth1-2
  • LSep 13, 26H · Atletico Madrid0-3
  • WSep 7, 26A · Elche2-3
  • DSep 3, 26H · Celta Vigo0-0

Osasuna

DLLLW
  • DSep 19, 26H · Rayo Vallecano1-1
  • LSep 16, 26A · Atletico Madrid4-0
  • LSep 12, 26H · Espanyol0-2
  • LSep 6, 26A · Alaves5-2
  • WAug 31, 26H · Getafe1-0

Head to Head

4
Real Sociedad
2
Draws
4
Osasuna
  • Jan 13, 26Real Sociedad – Osasuna2-2
  • Nov 22, 25Osasuna – Real Sociedad1-3
  • Oct 9, 25Real Sociedad – Osasuna2-0
  • Feb 6, 25Real Sociedad – Osasuna2-0
  • Feb 2, 25Osasuna – Real Sociedad2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Real SociedadOsasuna
Played77
Goals Scored96
Goals Conceded1313
Avg Scored1.30.9
Avg Conceded1.91.9
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Real SociedadOsasuna
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—2/10

Predicted line-ups: Real Sociedad vs Osasuna

Predicted XI

Real Sociedad

4-4-2Formation· Coach: Sergio Francisco

Osasuna

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: P. Vasiljević

  1. 13Aitor Fernández
  1. 24Catena
  2. 3Juan Cruz
  3. 20Javi Galán
  4. 5Jorge Herrando
  1. 7Moncayola
  2. 8Iker Muñoz
  1. 10Aimar Oroz
  2. 29Asier Osambela
  3. 6Lucas Torró
  1. 11Kike Barja
  1. 23Brais Méndez
  2. 7Barrenetxea
  1. 22Mikel Goti
  2. 28Pablo Marín
  3. 18Carlos Soler
  4. 24L. Sučić
  1. 2J. Aramburu
  2. 16D. Ćaleta-Car
  3. 6Elustondo
  4. 17Sergio Gómez
  1. 13Unai Marrero

Bench

  • 1Álex Remiro
  • 31Jon Martín
  • 3Aihen Muñoz
  • 20Odriozola
  • 5Zubeldia
  • 8Beñat Turrientes
  • 21A. Zakharyan

Out

  • J. Aramburu · Red Card
  • J. Martin · Red Card
  • I. Zubeldia · Injury
  • G. Guedes · Injury
  • A. Odriozola · Knee Injury
  • J. Gorrotxategi · Groin Injury
  • P. Marin · Injury
  • J. Pacheco · Coach's decision

Bench

  • 1Sergio Herrera
  • 41Íñigo Arguibide
  • 14Rubén García
  • 21Víctor Muñoz
  • 18S. Becker
  • 9Raúl García
  • 16Moi Gómez

Out

  • V. Rosier · Hamstring Injury
  • M. Gomez · Hamstring Injury
  • J. Herrando · Muscle Injury
  • A. Oroz · Muscle Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Real Sociedad vs Osasuna — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees the home fortress holding strong, with historical winds favoring Real Sociedad. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory under partly cloudy skies.

Based on the data, Real Sociedad is predicted to win with a 48% probability, closely following the market probabilities and supported by the API-Football model's predicted winner.

Form Analysis: Real Sociedad's last 5 matches show a WDDLL record with 7 goals for and 1 against, indicating strong defense but inconsistent results. Osasuna's LDWLW record with 14 goals for and 5 against suggests higher scoring but mixed form.

Key Factors: 1. Home advantage rating of 0.55 favors Real Sociedad. 2. Head-to-head history shows Real Sociedad with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings. 3. No significant injuries for either team, ensuring full squads.

Conclusion: The data supports Real Sociedad as the favorite due to home advantage and historical dominance, aligning with market and model predictions.

Win Probabilities: Real Sociedad: 48% · Draw: 29% · Osasuna: 23%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Real Sociedad wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Osasuna wins: 4

Form (latest first): Real Sociedad: WLLWD · Osasuna: DLLLW

  • Mikel Oyarzabal vs Osasuna defense: Real Sociedad's top scorer with 5 goals and 3 assists will test Osasuna's defensive line.
  • Víctor Muñoz vs Real Sociedad midfield: Osasuna's key player with high average rating of 9.2 could influence midfield battles.
  • Raúl García vs Real Sociedad defense: Osasuna's top scorer with 2 goals and high rating of 7.9 poses an attacking threat.

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