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  1. Home
  2. Bundesliga
  3. Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln

Result • Bundesliga·Bayern München·1. FC Köln

Bundesliga
Bundesliga
May 16, 2026
13:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Bayern München

Bayern München

Home
Final Score
5-1
Predicted: 3-1
Final Score
5-1
Predicted: 3-1
Odds
11.12
X9.00
212.00
Stadium
Allianz Arena
high Confidence
1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln

Away
Odds
11.12
X9.00
212.00
Stadium
Allianz Arena
Win Probabilities
74%
Bayern München
17%
Draw
9%
1. FC Köln
Home1.1274%
Draw9.0017%
Away12.009%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a clear path to victory for Bayern München, as the stars align with form, history, and home advantage. Köln's wounded warriors may struggle to stem the tide.

Our AI model analyzes this Bundesliga fixture between Bayern München and 1. FC Köln using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bayern München a 74% win probability, a 17% chance of a draw, and 1. FC Köln a 9% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 3-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. Goal: H. KaneAssist: J. Kimmich
    10'
    Goal: H. KaneBayern München · Assist: J. Kimmich
  2. Goal: H. KaneAssist: J. Kimmich
    13'
    Goal: H. KaneBayern München · Assist: J. Kimmich
  3. 18'
    Goal: S. El Mala1. FC Köln
    Goal: S. El Mala
  4. Goal: T. BischofAssist: L. Karl
    22'
    Goal: T. BischofBayern München · Assist: L. Karl
  5. 34'
    Yellow Card: J. Schmied1. FC Köln
    Yellow Card: J. Schmied
  6. Yellow Card: K. Laimer
    37'
    Yellow Card: K. LaimerBayern München
  7. Substitution: J. StanisicOut: K. Laimer
    46'
    Substitution: J. StanisicBayern München · Out: K. Laimer
  8. 46'
    Substitution: L. Maina1. FC Köln · Out: J. Schmied
    Substitution: L. MainaOut: J. Schmied
  9. Substitution: J. UrbigOut: M. Neuer
    60'
    Substitution: J. UrbigBayern München · Out: M. Neuer
  10. Substitution: M. OliseOut: L. Karl
    61'
    Substitution: M. OliseBayern München · Out: L. Karl
  11. 69'
    Substitution: I. Johannesson1. FC Köln · Out: A. Castro-Montes
    Substitution: I. JohannessonOut: A. Castro-Montes
  12. Goal: H. KaneAssist: L. Goretzka
    69'
    Goal: H. KaneBayern München · Assist: L. Goretzka
  13. Substitution: R. GuerreiroOut: J. Musiala
    70'
    Substitution: R. GuerreiroBayern München · Out: J. Musiala
  14. 80'
    Substitution: J. Thielmann1. FC Köln · Out: S. El Mala
    Substitution: J. ThielmannOut: S. El Mala
  15. 80'
    Substitution: Y. Niang1. FC Köln · Out: M. Bulter
    Substitution: Y. NiangOut: M. Bulter
  16. Substitution: N. JacksonOut: L. Goretzka
    83'
    Substitution: N. JacksonBayern München · Out: L. Goretzka
  17. Goal: N. JacksonAssist: L. Diaz
    83'
    Goal: N. JacksonBayern München · Assist: L. Diaz
  18. 90+2'
    Substitution: F. Kainz1. FC Köln · Out: J. Kaminski
    Substitution: F. KainzOut: J. Kaminski
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1H. Kane vs Köln's central defense: Kane's movement and finishing will test Köln's backline, which has conceded 58 goals this season.
2M. Olise vs Köln's midfield: Olise's creativity and dribbling could unlock Köln's compact defense.
3S. El Mala (if fit) vs Bayern's defense: Köln's top scorer is their main threat, but he is doubtful and may not start.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Bayern München

  • High-scoring attack (2.6 goals per game)
  • Dominant home record
  • Defensive lapses (conceded 2.4 goals per game recently)
  • Potential complacency against weaker opponents

1. FC Köln

  • Resilient defense at times
  • Set-piece threat
  • Poor recent form (1 win in 5)
  • Key injuries (El Mala doubtful)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
74%
API-Football
45%
60%
Bayern München593110

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (60%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Bayern München is heavily favored to win against 1. FC Köln, with bookmaker-implied probabilities at 82% for a home win. The API-Football model also predicts a Bayern win, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Bayern München has won 4 of their last 5 matches (WDWWW), scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game, while 1. FC Köln has only 1 win in their last 5 (LDLDW) and averages 1.6 goals scored. Bayern's attacking form is superior.

Key Factors: Bayern's dominant head-to-head record (8 wins in last 10 meetings), their top scorer Harry Kane (33 goals), and Köln's three injury doubts (including top scorer S. El Mala) heavily tilt the match in Bayern's favor. Additionally, Bayern sits 1st in the Bundesliga with 86 points, while Köln is 14th with 32 points.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Bayern München victory. The odds, form, H2H, and standings strongly support a home win with high confidence.

Statistical ContextBayern München

Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Bayern München1. FC Köln
71%Strength29%
68%Attacking Potential32%
53%Defensive Potential47%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
80%Goals H2H20%
71%Wins the Game29%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Bayern MünchenInjuries · 1. FC KölnLive scores →

Statistical Context

Bayern München

WWDWW
  • WSep 13, 26A · SV Elversberg1-2
  • WSep 10, 26H · Bodo/Glimt5-0
  • DSep 5, 26A · FC Schalke 040-0
  • WSep 2, 26A · VfL Osnabrück1-4
  • WAug 28, 26H · VfB Stuttgart5-1

1. FC Köln

DLWWL
  • DSep 12, 26H · Werder Bremen1-1
  • LSep 4, 26A · VfB Stuttgart4-1
  • WAug 29, 26H · 1899 Hoffenheim3-2
  • WAug 24, 26A · Würzburger Kickers1-2
  • LMay 10, 26H · 1. FC Heidenheim1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3FC Augsburg3+67DWW
4Bayern München3+57WDW
5RB Leipzig3+66WLW
11FC Schalke 043-14WDL
121. FC Köln3-24DLW
131899 Hoffenheim3-13WLL

Head to Head

8
Bayern München
1
Draws
1
1. FC Köln
  • Jan 14, 261. FC Köln – Bayern München1-3
  • Oct 29, 251. FC Köln – Bayern München1-4
  • Apr 13, 24Bayern Munich – 1. FC Köln2-0
  • Nov 24, 231. FC Köln – Bayern Munich0-1
  • May 27, 231. FC Köln – Bayern Munich1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Bayern München1. FC Köln
Played33
Goals Scored75
Goals Conceded27
Avg Scored2.31.7
Avg Conceded0.72.3
Clean Sheets10

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Bayern München1. FC Köln
Over 2.5 Goals10/10—
Both Teams Scored7/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a clear path to victory for Bayern München, as the stars align with form, history, and home advantage. Köln's wounded warriors may struggle to stem the tide.

Bayern München is heavily favored to win against 1. FC Köln, with bookmaker-implied probabilities at 82% for a home win. The API-Football model also predicts a Bayern win, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Bayern München has won 4 of their last 5 matches (WDWWW), scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game, while 1. FC Köln has only 1 win in their last 5 (LDLDW) and averages 1.6 goals scored. Bayern's attacking form is superior.

Key Factors: Bayern's dominant head-to-head record (8 wins in last 10 meetings), their top scorer Harry Kane (33 goals), and Köln's three injury doubts (including top scorer S. El Mala) heavily tilt the match in Bayern's favor. Additionally, Bayern sits 1st in the Bundesliga with 86 points, while Köln is 14th with 32 points.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Bayern München victory. The odds, form, H2H, and standings strongly support a home win with high confidence.

Win Probabilities: Bayern München: 74% · Draw: 17% · 1. FC Köln: 9%

Predicted Score: 3-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 85% · Under 2.5: 15% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Bayern München wins: 8 · Draws: 1 · 1. FC Köln wins: 1

Form (latest first): Bayern München: WWDWW · 1. FC Köln: DLWWL

  • H. Kane vs Köln's central defense: Kane's movement and finishing will test Köln's backline, which has conceded 58 goals this season.
  • M. Olise vs Köln's midfield: Olise's creativity and dribbling could unlock Köln's compact defense.
  • S. El Mala (if fit) vs Bayern's defense: Köln's top scorer is their main threat, but he is doubtful and may not start.

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Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
BundesligaGermany
Bayern München
Sep 1818:30
Union Berlin
11.1885%
X8.3312%
233.333%
BundesligaGermany
Werder Bremen
Sep 1913:30
FC Augsburg
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Sep 1913:30
FSV Mainz 05
13.7027%
X3.2331%
22.3842%
BundesligaGermany
Eintracht Frankfurt
Sep 1913:30
SC Freiburg
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
BundesligaGermany
Hamburger SV
Sep 1913:30
1. FC Köln
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
BundesligaGermany
VfB Stuttgart
Sep 1916:30
Borussia Dortmund
13.4529%
X3.2331%
22.5040%
BundesligaGermany
Bayer Leverkusen
Sep 2013:30
RB Leipzig
12.6338%
X3.4529%
23.0333%
BundesligaGermany
FC Schalke 04
Sep 2015:30
SV Elversberg
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Sep 2017:30
1899 Hoffenheim
15.2619%
X3.5728%
21.8953%
BundesligaGermany
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 918:30
Werder Bremen
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
BundesligaGermany
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 1013:30
Bayer Leverkusen
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
BundesligaGermany
1899 Hoffenheim
Oct 1013:30
Hamburger SV
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
BundesligaGermany
FC Augsburg
Oct 1013:30
Bayern München
Early projection
16.6715%
X6.2516%
21.4569%
BundesligaGermany
Union Berlin
Oct 1013:30
SV Elversberg
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
BundesligaGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Oct 1013:30
VfB Stuttgart
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%

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