Oviedo vs Alaves

PredictionLa Liga

La Liga
La Liga
17 May 2026
17:00
high Confidence
Oviedo

Oviedo

🏠Home
VS
PREDICTED WINNER
Alaves

Alaves

✈️Away
Odds
14.00
X3.70
21.85
🏟️Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Win Probabilities
Home20%
Draw30%
Away50%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

The Oracle sees Alaves's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Oviedo and Alaves using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Oviedo a 20% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Alaves a 50% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

Oviedo 20%Draw 30%Alaves 50%BTTS: 40%
Share Prediction

📈Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
Oviedo
0/10
Form
Win Rate
0%
Alaves
4/10
Form
Win Rate40%
Momentum Advantage
Alaves+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Score Analysis

AI Powered
Top Predictions
Correct Score
0-2
12.0%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
10.0%
Over 2.5
45%
40%
Expected Goals
Total match goals
2.2

🎯Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

14°
Patchy rain nearby
Wind
10 km/h
Humidity
74%
Rain
0.1 mm
Tactical Impact

Ideal playing conditions - no significant weather impact

Confidence

77%
Data Quality100%
Form Reliability33%
H2H Available100%
Model Agreement90%

Based on data completeness, model certainty, and historical patterns.

Oviedo vs AlavesExpert Prediction & Analysis

The Oracle sees Alaves's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Alaves is the predicted winner based on superior form, stronger attack, and favorable odds.

Form Analysis: Oviedo has lost 4 of their last 5 matches (LDLLD), averaging only 0.4 goals scored per game. Alaves has a more balanced record (WDLWL) with 1.4 goals scored per game and a recent win.

Key Factors: Alaves has a significant advantage in form (78% vs 22%) and attack (78% vs 22%) per API comparison. Oviedo's poor scoring form (failed to score in 3 of last 5) is a major concern. Additionally, Alaves has a key player suspension for Oviedo (C. Alena out), weakening their midfield.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to an Alaves victory. Oviedo's relegation-threatened position and poor form make them unlikely to overcome a stronger Alaves side.

Win Probabilities: Oviedo: 20% · Draw: 30% · Alaves: 50%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Oviedo wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · Alaves wins: 1

Form: Oviedo: DLLDL · Alaves: LWLDW

  • F. Viñas vs Alaves defense: Oviedo's main scorer vs a solid backline
  • Toni Martínez vs Oviedo defense: Alaves' top scorer vs a struggling defense
  • Carlos Vicente vs Oviedo midfield: Creative midfielder vs a weak midfield
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