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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Alaves vs Villarreal

Alaves vs Villarreal

Prediction • La Liga·Alaves·Villarreal

La Liga
La Liga
Aug 28, 2026
19:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Alaves

Alaves

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Early projection · Odds pending
Villarreal

Villarreal

Away
Stadium
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Win Probabilities
45%
Alaves
24%
Draw
31%
Villarreal
Home2.2245%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.2331%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Villarreal are slight favourites due to their superior head-to-head record and full squad availability, despite Alaves' strong defensive form. The main risk is Alaves' home advantage and defensive resilience, which could lead to a tight contest or an upset.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Alaves
/10
2.0Villarreal
Alaves
FormLatest first
DWLWW
Win Rate60%
Villarreal
FormLatest first
DWLLD
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageAlaves+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

18°
Patchy rain nearby
Wind
19 km/h
Humidity
62%
Rain
0.1 mm
Tactical Impact

Light rain - slightly wet pitch may affect passing accuracy

Alaves
Home

Alaves

Form
W
Latest first
15
Pos
42
Pts
+3
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets1100%
Goal Diff+3
  • Excellent defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches, showing strong momentum
  • Home advantage at Estadio Mendizorrotza
N. Valentini
Red Card
Suspended
F. Garces
Suspended
Suspended
T. Mendes
Knee Injury
Injured
L. Boye
Muscle Injury
Injured
C. Protesoni
Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Alaves
Alaves
3Wins
3
Draws
Villarreal
4Wins
Villarreal
30%30%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Mar132026
AlavesAlaves
1-1
Draw
VillarrealVillarreal
Jan102026
VillarrealVillarreal
3-1
Loss
AlavesAlaves
Mar82025
AlavesAlaves
1-0
Win
VillarrealVillarreal
Nov92024
VillarrealVillarreal
3-0
Loss
AlavesAlaves
Feb102024
AlavesAlaves
1-1
Draw
VillarrealVillarreal
Oct222023
VillarrealVillarreal
1-1
Draw
AlavesAlaves
Apr302022
AlavesAlaves
2-1
Win
VillarrealVillarreal
Dec212021
VillarrealVillarreal
5-2
Loss
AlavesAlaves
Apr212021
AlavesAlaves
2-1
Win
VillarrealVillarreal
Sep302020
VillarrealVillarreal
3-1
Loss
AlavesAlaves

Past Predictions

50%1/2 correct

Alaves 1 - 1 Villarreal

Mar 13, 2026

28% / 28% / 44%

Villarreal 3 - 1 Alaves

Jan 10, 2026

62% / 23% / 15%

Alaves3-5-2vs4-3-3VillarrealPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Wing-backs must track wingers. Central overload possible.

VillarrealVillarreal4-3-3
AlavesAlaves3-5-2
VillarrealBenchVillarreal7
AlavesBenchAlaves7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Alaves

5Out

4 key players

Alaves

Team

Alaves

Players Out

5(4 key)
N. Valentini

N. Valentini

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
F. Garces

F. Garces

MODERATE
Status:Suspended
T. Mendes

T. Mendes

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

L. Boye

L. Boye

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

C. Protesoni

C. Protesoni

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

La Liga

League Statistics

La Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Espanyol
Espanyol
110030+33
2
Alaves
AlavesHome
110030+33
3
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
110020+23
4
Sevilla
Sevilla
110021+13
5
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
10102201
6
Villarreal
VillarrealAway
10102201
7
Elche
Elche
10101101
8
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
10101101
9
Barcelona
Barcelona
00000000
10
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
00000000
11
Real Betis
Real Betis
00000000
12
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
00000000
13
Valencia
Valencia
00000000
14
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
00000000
15
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
00000000
16
Osasuna
Osasuna
00000000
17
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
100112-10
18
Malaga
Malaga
100102-20
19
Levante
Levante
100103-30
20
Getafe
Getafe
100103-30
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Alaves

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

45%Alaves
24%Draw
31%Villarreal

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffFri, Aug 28 · 19:30
StadiumEstadio Mendizorrotza
League StatsLa Liga

Statistical Context

Alaves

DWLWW
  • DAug 20, 26A · Rayo Vallecano1-1
  • WAug 15, 26H · Getafe3-0
  • LMay 23, 26H · Rayo Vallecano1-2
  • WMay 17, 26A · Oviedo0-1
  • WMay 13, 26H · Barcelona1-0

Villarreal

DWLLD
  • DAug 16, 26A · Racing Santander2-2
  • WMay 24, 26H · Atletico Madrid5-1
  • LMay 17, 26A · Rayo Vallecano2-0
  • LMay 13, 26H · Sevilla2-3
  • DMay 10, 26A · Mallorca1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Espanyol1+33W
2Alaves1+33W
3Atletico Madrid1+23W
4Sevilla1+13W
5Racing Santander101D
6Villarreal101D
7Elche101D

Head to Head

3
Alaves
3
Draws
4
Villarreal
  • Mar 13, 26Alaves – Villarreal1-1
  • Jan 10, 26Villarreal – Alaves3-1
  • Mar 8, 25Alaves – Villarreal1-0
  • Nov 9, 24Villarreal – Alaves3-0
  • Feb 10, 24Alaves – Villarreal1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

AlavesVillarreal
Played1—
Goals Scored3—
Goals Conceded0—
Avg Scored3.0—
Avg Conceded0.0—
Clean Sheets1—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AlavesVillarreal
Over 2.5 Goals—5/10
Both Teams Scored—2/10
Clean Sheets—5/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Alaves

Formation 3-5-2
  1. 13GA. Giménez
  2. 93DM. Diarra
  3. 17DJonny
  4. 16DV. Koski
  5. 10MCarles Aleñá
  6. 8MAntonio Blanco
  7. 6MGuevara
  8. 19MPablo Ibáñez
  9. 23MC. Benavídez
  10. 9AM. Díaz
  11. 34AA. Manas

Coach: Luis García

Villarreal

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 1GRubén Gómez
  2. 23DSergi Cardona
  3. 2DLogan Costa
  4. 3DA. Freeman
  5. 5DWilly Kambwala Ndengushi
  6. 17MT. Buchanan
  7. 14MSanti Comesaña
  8. 8MA. Diatta
  9. 12AIlias Akhomach
  10. 9AG. Mikautadze
  11. 21AT. Oluwaseyi

Coach: Marcelino

Alaves vs Villarreal — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Villarreal are slight favourites due to their superior head-to-head record and full squad availability, despite Alaves' strong defensive form. The main risk is Alaves' home advantage and defensive resilience, which could lead to a tight contest or an upset.

Based on the available data, this match presents a nuanced picture. Alaves, despite being top of the league with a perfect start, face a Villarreal side that has historically dominated this fixture. T…

Win Probabilities: Alaves: 45% · Draw: 24% · Villarreal: 31%

H2H: Alaves wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Villarreal wins: 4

Form (latest first): Alaves: DWLWW · Villarreal: DWLLD

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Aug 2119:00
Real Sociedad
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Aug 2215:00
Sevilla
11.8953%
X3.3330%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Aug 2217:30
Celta Vigo
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Aug 2219:30
Real Madrid
18.3312%
X4.0025%
21.5963%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Aug 2315:00
Villarreal
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Getafe
Aug 2317:30
Racing Santander
12.0848%
X3.1332%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Elche
Aug 2319:30
Barcelona
111.119%
X5.0020%
21.4171%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Aug 2417:30
Levante
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Aug 2419:30
Deportivo La Coruna
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Aug 2519:00
Real Betis
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Real Madrid
Aug 2619:00
Real Sociedad
11.5465%
X4.3523%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Celta Vigo
Aug 2718:30
Osasuna
12.1347%
X3.2331%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Aug 2719:00
Athletic Club
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Racing Santander
Aug 2817:00
Elche
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Levante
Aug 2915:00
Real Betis
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access