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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Result • La Liga·Real Madrid·Real Sociedad

La Liga
La Liga
Aug 26, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.25
X5.90
29.60
Stadium
Bernabéu
high Confidence
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

Away
Odds
11.25
X5.90
29.60
Stadium
Bernabéu
Win Probabilities
74%
Real Madrid
18%
Draw
8%
Real Sociedad
Home1.2574%
Draw5.9018%
Away9.608%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Real Madrid are favored at 65% to win at home against Real Sociedad. The draw is rated 23% and the away win 12%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Real Madrid a 74% win probability, a 18% chance of a draw, and Real Sociedad a 8% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 66%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 66%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: A. Carreras
    10'
    Yellow Card: A. CarrerasReal Madrid
  2. 31'
    Yellow Card: Y. HerreraReal Sociedad
    Yellow Card: Y. Herrera
  3. Goal: K. MbappeAssist: F. Valverde
    40'
    Goal: K. MbappeReal Madrid · Assist: F. Valverde
  4. 44'
    Goal: L. SucicReal Sociedad
    Goal: L. Sucic
  5. 45+2'
    Yellow Card: J. AramburuReal Sociedad
    Yellow Card: J. Aramburu
  6. Substitution: M. CucurellaOut: A. Carreras
    46'
    Substitution: M. CucurellaReal Madrid · Out: A. Carreras
  7. 57'
    Substitution: O. OskarssonReal Sociedad · Out: M. Oyarzabal
    Substitution: O. OskarssonOut: M. Oyarzabal
  8. 57'
    Substitution: I. ZubeldiaReal Sociedad · Out: J. Aramburu
    Substitution: I. ZubeldiaOut: J. Aramburu
  9. Goal: K. MbappeAssist: J. Bellingham
    60'
    Goal: K. MbappeReal Madrid · Assist: J. Bellingham
  10. 66'
    Substitution: A. BarrenetxeaReal Sociedad · Out: J. Ochieng
    Substitution: A. BarrenetxeaOut: J. Ochieng
  11. 66'
    Substitution: C. SolerReal Sociedad · Out: Y. Herrera
    Substitution: C. SolerOut: Y. Herrera
  12. Goal: Vinicius JuniorAssist: J. Bellingham
    68'
    Goal: Vinicius JuniorReal Madrid · Assist: J. Bellingham
  13. 71'
    Yellow Card: L. BeitiaReal Sociedad
    Yellow Card: L. Beitia
  14. Yellow Card: I. Konate
    73'
    Yellow Card: I. KonateReal Madrid
  15. 74'
    Substitution: G. GuedesReal Sociedad · Out: T. Kubo
    Substitution: G. GuedesOut: T. Kubo
  16. Substitution: E. CamavingaOut: J. Bellingham
    78'
    Substitution: E. CamavingaReal Madrid · Out: J. Bellingham
  17. Substitution: B. DiazOut: A. Guler
    78'
    Substitution: B. DiazReal Madrid · Out: A. Guler
  18. Goal: K. MbappeAssist: Vinicius Junior
    80'
    Goal: K. MbappeReal Madrid · Assist: Vinicius Junior
  19. Substitution: Y. DiomandeOut: Vinicius Junior
    84'
    Substitution: Y. DiomandeReal Madrid · Out: Vinicius Junior
  20. Substitution: C. EspiOut: B. Silva
    86'
    Substitution: C. EspiReal Madrid · Out: B. Silva
  21. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideB. Diaz
    90'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideReal Madrid · B. Diaz
  22. Yellow Card: E. Camavinga
    90+4'
    Yellow Card: E. CamavingaReal Madrid
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Kylian Mbappé vs Jon Martín: Mbappé's pace and finishing will test the young defender's positioning and composure.
2J. Bellingham vs Mikel Goti: Bellingham's box-to-box runs and physicality could overwhelm Goti in midfield, creating space for Real Madrid's attackers.
3T. Kubo vs Marc Cucurella: Kubo's dribbling and creativity on the right wing will challenge Cucurella's defensive discipline, potentially providing Real Sociedad's main outlet.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Real Madrid

  • Strong recent form with 4 wins in last 5
  • High scoring average of 2.4 goals per game
  • Inconsistent home record this season (no data)
  • Potential complacency against lower-ranked opponents

Real Sociedad

  • Averaging 1.8 goals scored per game
  • Possess attacking talent like Kubo and Barrenetxea
  • Three consecutive losses and poor recent form
  • Conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
74%
API-Football
50%
62%
Real Madrid62344

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (62%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Real Madrid enter this La Liga clash as clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and a stark contrast in recent form. The market strongly favours the home side, and the statistical model reinforces this with an overwhelming overall comparison in their favour.

Form Analysis: Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four and drawing one, while averaging 2.4 goals per game and conceding just 0.8. They have kept two clean sheets in that span. In contrast, Real Sociedad are on a three-match losing streak, having failed to win in their last five (0W-2D-3L), and have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game without a single clean sheet. This momentum gap is significant.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Real Madrid, with seven wins in the last ten meetings compared to just one for Real Sociedad. Additionally, Real Sociedad are missing two players through injury, including a key midfielder and a defender, which weakens their already fragile defensive setup. Real Madrid's home advantage, though their home record this season is not listed, is a further boost.

Conclusion: All data points converge on a comfortable home victory. Real Madrid's superior form, historical dominance, and the visitors' injury woes make an away upset highly unlikely. The most probable outcome is a win for the home side, with a scoreline around 2-1 or 2-0.

Statistical ContextReal Madrid

Double chance : Real Madrid or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Real MadridReal Sociedad
80%Strength19%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
93%H2H Strength7%
68%Goals H2H32%
80%Wins the Game19%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Real MadridInjuries · Real SociedadLive scores →

Statistical Context

Real Madrid

LWWWL
  • LSep 20, 26A · Atletico Madrid2-1
  • WSep 15, 26A · Elche2-3
  • WSep 12, 26H · Rayo Vallecano4-1
  • WSep 8, 26H · Inter2-1
  • LSep 4, 26A · Real Betis1-0

Real Sociedad

WLLWD
  • WSep 20, 26A · Valencia2-3
  • LSep 17, 26H · Bournemouth1-2
  • LSep 13, 26H · Atletico Madrid0-3
  • WSep 7, 26A · Elche2-3
  • DSep 3, 26H · Celta Vigo0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Real Betis7+216DWWWL
4Real Madrid7+1015LWWLW
5Sevilla7+113LWWDL
6Alaves7+511DLLWW
7Deportivo La Coruna7+210DLDWW
8Real Sociedad7-410WLWDW
9Villarreal7+18WWLLL

Head to Head

7
Real Madrid
2
Draws
1
Real Sociedad
  • Feb 14, 26Real Madrid – Real Sociedad4-1
  • Sep 13, 25Real Sociedad – Real Madrid1-2
  • May 24, 25Real Madrid – Real Sociedad2-0
  • Apr 1, 25Real Madrid – Real Sociedad4-4
  • Feb 26, 25Real Sociedad – Real Madrid0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Real MadridReal Sociedad
Played56
Goals Scored146
Goals Conceded411
Avg Scored2.81.0
Avg Conceded0.81.8
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Real MadridReal Sociedad
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad — Match Analysis

Real Madrid are favored at 65% to win at home against Real Sociedad. The draw is rated 23% and the away win 12%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Real Madrid enter this La Liga clash as clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and a stark contrast in recent form. The market strongly favours the home side, and the statistical model reinforces this with an overwhelming overall comparison in their favour.

Form Analysis: Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four and drawing one, while averaging 2.4 goals per game and conceding just 0.8. They have kept two clean sheets in that span. In contrast, Real Sociedad are on a three-match losing streak, having failed to win in their last five (0W-2D-3L), and have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game without a single clean sheet. This momentum gap is significant.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Real Madrid, with seven wins in the last ten meetings compared to just one for Real Sociedad. Additionally, Real Sociedad are missing two players through injury, including a key midfielder and a defender, which weakens their already fragile defensive setup. Real Madrid's home advantage, though their home record this season is not listed, is a further boost.

Conclusion: All data points converge on a comfortable home victory. Real Madrid's superior form, historical dominance, and the visitors' injury woes make an away upset highly unlikely. The most probable outcome is a win for the home side, with a scoreline around 2-1 or 2-0.

Win Probabilities: Real Madrid: 74% · Draw: 18% · Real Sociedad: 8%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 66% · Under 2.5: 34% · BTTS: 66%

H2H: Real Madrid wins: 7 · Draws: 2 · Real Sociedad wins: 1

Form (latest first): Real Madrid: LWWWL · Real Sociedad: WLLWD

  • Kylian Mbappé vs Jon Martín: Mbappé's pace and finishing will test the young defender's positioning and composure.
  • J. Bellingham vs Mikel Goti: Bellingham's box-to-box runs and physicality could overwhelm Goti in midfield, creating space for Real Madrid's attackers.
  • T. Kubo vs Marc Cucurella: Kubo's dribbling and creativity on the right wing will challenge Cucurella's defensive discipline, potentially providing Real Sociedad's main outlet.

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Oct 919:00
Espanyol
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Oct 1012:00
Athletic Club
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
La LigaSpain
Alaves
Oct 1014:15
Atletico Madrid
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.1724%
22.2245%
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Oct 1016:30
Getafe
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
La LigaSpain
Real Madrid
Oct 1019:00
Villarreal
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
La LigaSpain
Elche
Oct 1112:00
Celta Vigo
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
La LigaSpain
Real Sociedad
Oct 1114:15
Deportivo La Coruna
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Oct 1116:30
Osasuna
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
La LigaSpain
Racing Santander
Oct 1119:00
Valencia
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
La LigaSpain
Levante
Oct 1219:00
Sevilla
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
La LigaSpain
Deportivo La Coruna
Oct 1619:00
Levante
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Oct 1712:00
Atletico Madrid
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
La LigaSpain
Villarreal
Oct 1714:15
Elche
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Oct 1716:30
Barcelona
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Oct 1719:00
Athletic Club
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.7621%
21.8953%

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