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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid

Prediction • La Liga·Athletic Club·Atletico Madrid

La Liga
La Liga
Sep 5, 2026
14:15
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Away
Win Probabilities
45%
Athletic Club
24%
Draw
31%
Atletico Madrid
Home2.2245%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.2331%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Atletico Madrid are the clear favourites, backed by superior overall strength and a dominant head-to-head record. However, Athletic Club's home advantage and Atletico's defensive frailty could make this a closer contest than expected.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Athletic Club
/10
6.0Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
FormLatest first
LDLLW
Win Rate20%
Atletico Madrid
FormLatest first
WLWWL
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageAtletico Madrid+4.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
8.0

Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta

Athletic Club

VS
Marc Pubill
7.9

Marc Pubill

Atletico Madrid

11ATT5
100TEC100
59TAC78
49DEF69
19CRE0

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
4/10
Over 2.5 Goals
6/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0.9
Avg Scored
1.7
Defense
4/10
Clean Sheets
4/10
1.4
Avg Conceded
1.1
Match Flow
4/10
Scored First
7/10
2.1
Avg Cards
1.3
4.7
Avg Corners
7.9

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Athletic Club
Home

Athletic Club

Form
WLLDL
Latest first
4
Pos
70
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Solid defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5
  • Home advantage with strong crowd support
  • Resilient midfield with players like Mikel Jauregizar

Head to Head

Last 10
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
4Wins
0
Draws
Atletico Madrid
6Wins
Atletico Madrid
40%0%60%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr252026
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
3-2
Loss
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
Dec62025
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1-0
Win
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Mar12025
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
1-0
Loss
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
Aug312024
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
0-1
Loss
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Apr272024
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
3-1
Loss
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
Feb292024
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
3-0
Win
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Feb72024
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
0-1
Win
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
Dec162023
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2-0
Win
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Feb192023
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
1-0
Loss
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
Oct152022
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
0-1
Loss
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Past Predictions

50%1/2 correct

Atletico Madrid 3 - 2 Athletic Club

Apr 25, 2026

44% / 31% / 25%

Athletic Club 1 - 0 Atletico Madrid

Dec 6, 2025

10% / 45% / 45%

Athletic Club4-3-3vs4-3-3Atletico MadridPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid4-3-3
Athletic ClubAthletic Club4-3-3
Atletico MadridBenchAtletico Madrid7
Athletic ClubBenchAthletic Club7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Atletico Madrid

3Out

3 key players

Atletico Madrid

Team

Atletico Madrid

Players Out

3(3 key)
A. Sorloth

A. Sorloth

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

C. Romero

C. Romero

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Alvarez

J. Alvarez

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

La Liga

League Statistics

La Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Espanyol
Espanyol
110030+33
2
Alaves
Alaves
110030+33
3
Sevilla
Sevilla
110021+13
4
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
10102201
5
Villarreal
Villarreal
10102201
6
Elche
Elche
10101101
7
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
10101101
8
Barcelona
Barcelona
00000000
9
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
00000000
10
Atletico Madrid
Atletico MadridAway
00000000
11
Real Betis
Real Betis
00000000
12
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
00000000
13
Valencia
Valencia
00000000
14
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
00000000
15
Athletic Club
Athletic ClubHome
00000000
16
Osasuna
Osasuna
00000000
17
Malaga
Malaga
00000000
18
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
100112-10
19
Levante
Levante
100103-30
20
Getafe
Getafe
100103-30
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Athletic Club

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

45%Athletic Club
24%Draw
31%Atletico Madrid

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Sep 5 · 14:15
League StatsLa Liga

Statistical Context

Athletic Club

LDLLW
  • LMay 23, 26A · Real Madrid4-2
  • DMay 17, 26H · Celta Vigo1-1
  • LMay 13, 26A · Espanyol2-0
  • LMay 10, 26H · Valencia0-1
  • WMay 2, 26A · Alaves2-4

Atletico Madrid

WLWWL
  • WAug 19, 26H · Malaga2-0
  • LMay 24, 26A · Villarreal5-1
  • WMay 17, 26H · Girona1-0
  • WMay 12, 26A · Osasuna1-2
  • LMay 9, 26H · Celta Vigo0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Real Madrid000—
10Atletico Madrid000—
11Real Betis000—
12Celta Vigo000—
13Valencia000—
14Real Sociedad000—
15Athletic Club000—
16Osasuna000—

Head to Head

4
Athletic Club
0
Draws
6
Atletico Madrid
  • Apr 25, 26Atletico Madrid – Athletic Club3-2
  • Dec 6, 25Athletic Club – Atletico Madrid1-0
  • Mar 1, 25Atletico Madrid – Athletic Club1-0
  • Aug 31, 24Athletic Club – Atletico Madrid0-1
  • Apr 27, 24Atletico Madrid – Athletic Club3-1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid
Over 2.5 Goals4/106/10
Both Teams Scored2/104/10
Clean Sheets4/104/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Athletic Club

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 27GÁlex Padilla
  2. 5DYeray
  3. 12DJesús Areso
  4. 17DYuri
  5. 19DA. Boiro
  6. 18MPeio Canales
  7. 15MBeñat Gerenabarrena
  8. 18MMikel Jauregizar
  9. 7AÁlex Berenguer
  10. 14AÁlvaro Djaló
  11. 21AMaroan Sannadi

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Atletico Madrid

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 13GSalvador Esquivel
  2. 4DJavier Boñar
  3. 2DJ. Giménez
  4. 20DÁlex Grimaldo
  5. 17DD. Hancko
  6. 8MPablo Barrios
  7. 5MJ. Cardoso
  8. 42MM. Hjulmand
  9. 30AM. Llorente
  10. 22AA. Lookman
  11. 20AG. Simeone

Coach: D. Simeone

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Atletico Madrid are the clear favourites, backed by superior overall strength and a dominant head-to-head record. However, Athletic Club's home advantage and Atletico's defensive frailty could make this a closer contest than expected.

Based on the data, Atletico Madrid enter this match as the clear favourites, despite playing away from home. The API-Football model gives them a substantial edge in overall strength (73.5% vs 26.5%) and head-to-head dominance (80% vs 20%).…

Win Probabilities: Athletic Club: 45% · Draw: 24% · Atletico Madrid: 31%

H2H: Athletic Club wins: 4 · Draws: 0 · Atletico Madrid wins: 6

Form (latest first): Athletic Club: LDLLW · Atletico Madrid: WLWWL

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Aug 2019:00
Alaves
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Aug 2119:00
Real Sociedad
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Aug 2215:00
Sevilla
11.8953%
X3.3330%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Aug 2217:30
Celta Vigo
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Aug 2219:30
Real Madrid
18.3312%
X4.0025%
21.5963%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Aug 2315:00
Villarreal
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Getafe
Aug 2317:30
Racing Santander
12.0848%
X3.1332%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Elche
Aug 2319:30
Barcelona
111.119%
X5.0020%
21.4171%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Aug 2417:30
Levante
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Aug 2419:30
Deportivo La Coruna
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Aug 2519:00
Real Betis
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Real Madrid
Aug 2619:00
Real Sociedad
11.5465%
X4.3523%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Celta Vigo
Aug 2718:30
Osasuna
12.1347%
X3.2331%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Aug 2719:00
Athletic Club
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Racing Santander
Aug 2817:00
Elche
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access