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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano

Result • La Liga·Barcelona·Rayo Vallecano

La Liga
La Liga
Aug 31, 2026
19:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Barcelona

Barcelona

Home
Final Score
5-2
Predicted: 3-0
Final Score
5-2
Predicted: 3-0
Odds
11.09
X10.50
218.00
Stadium
Camp Nou
high Confidence
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Away
Odds
11.09
X10.50
218.00
Stadium
Camp Nou
Win Probabilities
84%
Barcelona
12%
Draw
4%
Rayo Vallecano
Home1.0984%
Draw10.5012%
Away18.004%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Barcelona are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record against Rayo Vallecano. The main risk is complacency, but Rayo's poor form and defensive injuries make an upset unlikely.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Barcelona a 84% win probability, a 12% chance of a draw, and Rayo Vallecano a 4% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 3-0. Both teams to score probability: 74%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 74%

Match Events

  1. 12'
    Goal: S. CamelloRayo Vallecano · Assist: A. Garcia
    Goal: S. CamelloAssist: A. Garcia
  2. Goal: RaphinhaAssist: X. Espart
    19'
    Goal: RaphinhaBarcelona · Assist: X. Espart
  3. Goal: Lamine YamalAssist: M. Bernal
    21'
    Goal: Lamine YamalBarcelona · Assist: M. Bernal
  4. 32'
    Substitution: A. PedrosaRayo Vallecano · Out: J. Vertrouwd
    Substitution: A. PedrosaOut: J. Vertrouwd
  5. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideJ. Kounde
    45+1'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideBarcelona · J. Kounde
  6. Own goal: F. Lejeune (Own goal)
    51'
    Own goal: F. Lejeune (Own goal)Barcelona
  7. 57'
    Substitution: P. DiazRayo Vallecano · Out: G. Bouare
    Substitution: P. DiazOut: G. Bouare
  8. 57'
    Substitution: F. PerezRayo Vallecano · Out: J. de Frutos
    Substitution: F. PerezOut: J. de Frutos
  9. 59'
    Goal: S. CamelloRayo Vallecano · Assist: U. Lopez
    Goal: S. CamelloAssist: U. Lopez
  10. Substitution: FerminOut: D. Olmo
    64'
    Substitution: FerminBarcelona · Out: D. Olmo
  11. Substitution: RodriOut: M. Bernal
    64'
    Substitution: RodriBarcelona · Out: M. Bernal
  12. Goal: RaphinhaAssist: A. Gordon
    71'
    Goal: RaphinhaBarcelona · Assist: A. Gordon
  13. 75'
    Substitution: AlemaoRayo Vallecano · Out: S. Camello
    Substitution: AlemaoOut: S. Camello
  14. 75'
    Substitution: R. NtekaRayo Vallecano · Out: U. Lopez
    Substitution: R. NtekaOut: U. Lopez
  15. Substitution: J. CanceloOut: Pedri
    77'
    Substitution: J. CanceloBarcelona · Out: Pedri
  16. Substitution: K. AdeyemiOut: A. Gordon
    77'
    Substitution: K. AdeyemiBarcelona · Out: A. Gordon
  17. Substitution: H. AbdelkarimOut: Raphinha
    86'
    Substitution: H. AbdelkarimBarcelona · Out: Raphinha
  18. 90'
    Yellow Card: A. PedrosaRayo Vallecano
    Yellow Card: A. Pedrosa
  19. Goal: Lamine YamalAssist: K. Adeyemi
    90'
    Goal: Lamine YamalBarcelona · Assist: K. Adeyemi
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Lamine Yamal vs Iván Balliu: Yamal's dribbling and creativity on the right wing will test Balliu's defensive discipline.
2Pedri vs Óscar Valentín: Pedri's ability to find pockets of space between the lines will be crucial against Valentín's shielding.
3Raphinha vs Florian Lejeune: Raphinha's direct running and crossing will challenge Lejeune's positioning in the box.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Barcelona

  • Explosive attack, averaging 3.8 goals per game
  • Solid defense with 2 clean sheets in last 5
  • Several key players missing due to injury or coach's decision
  • Potential complacency against lower-ranked opposition

Rayo Vallecano

  • Compact defensive shape, but vulnerable to pace
  • Counter-attacking threat through Álvaro García and Sergio Camello
  • Poor form with no wins in last 5
  • Defensive record is concerning, conceding 2.6 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
84%
API-Football
50%
67%
Barcelona67312

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (67%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Barcelona are clear favourites to beat Rayo Vallecano at Camp Nou. The market strongly favours the home side, and the API-Football model agrees, predicting a Barcelona victory. Barcelona's form is exceptional, with five consecutive wins, scoring 7 goals and conceding 0 in their last two matches. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, are winless in their last two, with a loss in their most recent outing.

Form Analysis: Barcelona are on a five-match winning streak, with an average of 3.8 goals scored per game and 1.0 conceded. They have kept two clean sheets in that run. Rayo Vallecano have won none of their last five, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 3, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. The contrast in momentum is stark.

Key Factors: Barcelona's attacking prowess is highlighted by their 78% attack rating compared to Rayo's 22%. Defensively, Barcelona have a perfect 100% rating, while Rayo have 0%. In head-to-head meetings, Barcelona have won 5 of the last 10, with 3 draws and 2 Rayo wins, giving them a 93% strength rating. Additionally, Barcelona have home advantage at Camp Nou, where they have won their only home game this season.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Barcelona victory. Rayo Vallecano's defensive frailties and poor form make an upset highly unlikely. Barcelona's superior quality, form, and home advantage should see them dominate and secure three points.

Statistical ContextBarcelona

Winner : Barcelona

Team Comparison

AI Powered
BarcelonaRayo Vallecano
84%Strength15%
78%Attacking Potential22%
100%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
93%H2H Strength7%
80%Goals H2H20%
84%Wins the Game15%
Head-to-head →Injuries · BarcelonaInjuries · Rayo VallecanoLive scores →

Statistical Context

Barcelona

WWWWW
  • WSep 19, 26A · Sevilla1-3
  • WSep 16, 26H · Racing Santander7-2
  • WSep 13, 26A · Levante2-4
  • WSep 9, 26H · Feyenoord5-1
  • WSep 6, 26A · Valencia0-5

Rayo Vallecano

DWLWD
  • DSep 19, 26A · Osasuna1-1
  • WSep 15, 26H · Espanyol2-1
  • LSep 12, 26A · Real Madrid4-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Racing Santander3-2
  • DAug 20, 26H · Alaves1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Barcelona7+2421WWWWW
2Atletico Madrid7+916WWWLW
11Getafe7-38WLDDL
12Rayo Vallecano7-58DWLWL
13Osasuna7-78DLLLW

Head to Head

5
Barcelona
3
Draws
2
Rayo Vallecano
  • Aug 31, 26Barcelona – Rayo Vallecano5-2
  • Mar 22, 26Barcelona – Rayo Vallecano1-0
  • Aug 31, 25Rayo Vallecano – Barcelona1-1
  • Feb 17, 25Barcelona – Rayo Vallecano1-0
  • Aug 27, 24Rayo Vallecano – Barcelona1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

BarcelonaRayo Vallecano
Played56
Goals Scored2110
Goals Conceded415
Avg Scored4.21.7
Avg Conceded0.82.5
Clean Sheets30

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BarcelonaRayo Vallecano
Over 2.5 Goals10/105/10
Both Teams Scored8/105/10
Clean Sheets1/103/10

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano — Match Analysis

Barcelona are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record against Rayo Vallecano. The main risk is complacency, but Rayo's poor form and defensive injuries make an upset unlikely.

Barcelona are clear favourites to beat Rayo Vallecano at Camp Nou. The market strongly favours the home side, and the API-Football model agrees, predicting a Barcelona victory. Barcelona's form is exceptional, with five consecutive wins, scoring 7 goals and conceding 0 in their last two matches. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, are winless in their last two, with a loss in their most recent outing.

Form Analysis: Barcelona are on a five-match winning streak, with an average of 3.8 goals scored per game and 1.0 conceded. They have kept two clean sheets in that run. Rayo Vallecano have won none of their last five, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 3, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. The contrast in momentum is stark.

Key Factors: Barcelona's attacking prowess is highlighted by their 78% attack rating compared to Rayo's 22%. Defensively, Barcelona have a perfect 100% rating, while Rayo have 0%. In head-to-head meetings, Barcelona have won 5 of the last 10, with 3 draws and 2 Rayo wins, giving them a 93% strength rating. Additionally, Barcelona have home advantage at Camp Nou, where they have won their only home game this season.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Barcelona victory. Rayo Vallecano's defensive frailties and poor form make an upset highly unlikely. Barcelona's superior quality, form, and home advantage should see them dominate and secure three points.

Win Probabilities: Barcelona: 84% · Draw: 12% · Rayo Vallecano: 4%

Predicted Score: 3-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 80% · Under 2.5: 20% · BTTS: 74%

H2H: Barcelona wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Rayo Vallecano wins: 2

Form (latest first): Barcelona: WWWWW · Rayo Vallecano: DWLWD

  • Lamine Yamal vs Iván Balliu: Yamal's dribbling and creativity on the right wing will test Balliu's defensive discipline.
  • Pedri vs Óscar Valentín: Pedri's ability to find pockets of space between the lines will be crucial against Valentín's shielding.
  • Raphinha vs Florian Lejeune: Raphinha's direct running and crossing will challenge Lejeune's positioning in the box.

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Oct 919:00
Espanyol
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Oct 1012:00
Athletic Club
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
La LigaSpain
Alaves
Oct 1014:15
Atletico Madrid
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.1724%
22.2245%
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Oct 1016:30
Getafe
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
La LigaSpain
Real Madrid
Oct 1019:00
Villarreal
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
La LigaSpain
Elche
Oct 1112:00
Celta Vigo
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
La LigaSpain
Real Sociedad
Oct 1114:15
Deportivo La Coruna
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Oct 1116:30
Osasuna
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
La LigaSpain
Racing Santander
Oct 1119:00
Valencia
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
La LigaSpain
Levante
Oct 1219:00
Sevilla
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
La LigaSpain
Deportivo La Coruna
Oct 1619:00
Levante
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Oct 1712:00
Atletico Madrid
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
La LigaSpain
Villarreal
Oct 1714:15
Elche
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Oct 1716:30
Barcelona
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Oct 1719:00
Athletic Club
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.7621%
21.8953%

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