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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano

Result • La Liga·Barcelona·Rayo Vallecano

La Liga
La Liga
Aug 31, 2026
19:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Barcelona

Barcelona

Home
Final Score
5-2
Predicted: 3-0
Final Score
5-2
Predicted: 3-0
Odds
11.09
X10.50
218.00
Stadium
Camp Nou
high Confidence
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Away
Odds
11.09
X10.50
218.00
Stadium
Camp Nou
Win Probabilities
84%
Barcelona
12%
Draw
4%
Rayo Vallecano
Home1.0984%
Draw10.5012%
Away18.004%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Barcelona are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record against Rayo Vallecano. The main risk is complacency, but Rayo's poor form and defensive injuries make an upset unlikely.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Barcelona a 84% win probability, a 12% chance of a draw, and Rayo Vallecano a 4% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 3-0. Both teams to score probability: 74%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 74%

Match Events

  1. 12'
    Goal: S. CamelloRayo Vallecano · Assist: A. Garcia
    Goal: S. CamelloAssist: A. Garcia
  2. Goal: RaphinhaAssist: X. Espart
    19'
    Goal: RaphinhaBarcelona · Assist: X. Espart
  3. Goal: Lamine YamalAssist: M. Bernal
    21'
    Goal: Lamine YamalBarcelona · Assist: M. Bernal
  4. 32'
    Substitution: A. PedrosaRayo Vallecano · Out: J. Vertrouwd
    Substitution: A. PedrosaOut: J. Vertrouwd
  5. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideJ. Kounde
    45+1'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideBarcelona · J. Kounde
  6. Own goal: F. Lejeune (Own goal)
    51'
    Own goal: F. Lejeune (Own goal)Barcelona
  7. 57'
    Substitution: P. DiazRayo Vallecano · Out: G. Bouare
    Substitution: P. DiazOut: G. Bouare
  8. 57'
    Substitution: F. PerezRayo Vallecano · Out: J. de Frutos
    Substitution: F. PerezOut: J. de Frutos
  9. 59'
    Goal: S. CamelloRayo Vallecano · Assist: U. Lopez
    Goal: S. CamelloAssist: U. Lopez
  10. Substitution: FerminOut: D. Olmo
    64'
    Substitution: FerminBarcelona · Out: D. Olmo
  11. Substitution: RodriOut: M. Bernal
    64'
    Substitution: RodriBarcelona · Out: M. Bernal
  12. Goal: RaphinhaAssist: A. Gordon
    71'
    Goal: RaphinhaBarcelona · Assist: A. Gordon
  13. 75'
    Substitution: AlemaoRayo Vallecano · Out: S. Camello
    Substitution: AlemaoOut: S. Camello
  14. 75'
    Substitution: R. NtekaRayo Vallecano · Out: U. Lopez
    Substitution: R. NtekaOut: U. Lopez
  15. Substitution: J. CanceloOut: Pedri
    77'
    Substitution: J. CanceloBarcelona · Out: Pedri
  16. Substitution: K. AdeyemiOut: A. Gordon
    77'
    Substitution: K. AdeyemiBarcelona · Out: A. Gordon
  17. Substitution: H. AbdelkarimOut: Raphinha
    86'
    Substitution: H. AbdelkarimBarcelona · Out: Raphinha
  18. 90'
    Yellow Card: A. PedrosaRayo Vallecano
    Yellow Card: A. Pedrosa
  19. Goal: Lamine YamalAssist: K. Adeyemi
    90'
    Goal: Lamine YamalBarcelona · Assist: K. Adeyemi
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Barcelona 5-2 Rayo Vallecano
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✓ hitPredicted 8.4 – 2.0Real 9 – 5Barcelona more corners✓ hit
Total corners—Predicted 10.4Real 14chances only—
Yellow cards✗ missPredicted 4.2Real 1Over 3.5✗ miss
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 2-1chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 6.5 – 3.3Real 9 – 5Barcelona more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 16.4 – 10.0Real 26 – 11chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Lamine Yamal vs Iván Balliu: Yamal's dribbling and creativity on the right wing will test Balliu's defensive discipline.
2Pedri vs Óscar Valentín: Pedri's ability to find pockets of space between the lines will be crucial against Valentín's shielding.
3Raphinha vs Florian Lejeune: Raphinha's direct running and crossing will challenge Lejeune's positioning in the box.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Barcelona

  • Explosive attack, averaging 3.8 goals per game
  • Solid defense with 2 clean sheets in last 5
  • Several key players missing due to injury or coach's decision
  • Potential complacency against lower-ranked opposition

Rayo Vallecano

  • Compact defensive shape, but vulnerable to pace
  • Counter-attacking threat through Álvaro García and Sergio Camello
  • Poor form with no wins in last 5
  • Defensive record is concerning, conceding 2.6 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
84%
API-Football
50%
67%
Barcelona67312

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (67%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Barcelona are clear favourites to beat Rayo Vallecano at Camp Nou. The market strongly favours the home side, and the API-Football model agrees, predicting a Barcelona victory. Barcelona's form is exceptional, with five consecutive wins, scoring 7 goals and conceding 0 in their last two matches. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, are winless in their last two, with a loss in their most recent outing.

Form Analysis: Barcelona are on a five-match winning streak, with an average of 3.8 goals scored per game and 1.0 conceded. They have kept two clean sheets in that run. Rayo Vallecano have won none of their last five, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 3, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. The contrast in momentum is stark.

Key Factors: Barcelona's attacking prowess is highlighted by their 78% attack rating compared to Rayo's 22%. Defensively, Barcelona have a perfect 100% rating, while Rayo have 0%. In head-to-head meetings, Barcelona have won 5 of the last 10, with 3 draws and 2 Rayo wins, giving them a 93% strength rating. Additionally, Barcelona have home advantage at Camp Nou, where they have won their only home game this season.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Barcelona victory. Rayo Vallecano's defensive frailties and poor form make an upset highly unlikely. Barcelona's superior quality, form, and home advantage should see them dominate and secure three points.

Statistical ContextBarcelona

Winner : Barcelona

Team Comparison

AI Powered
BarcelonaRayo Vallecano
84%Strength15%
78%Attacking Potential22%
100%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
93%H2H Strength7%
80%Goals H2H20%
84%Wins the Game15%

More information

La Liga predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1210/10Head-to-headBarcelona – Rayo VallecanoInjuriesBarcelonaInjuriesRayo VallecanoLive scores

Statistical Context

Barcelona

WWLLW
  • WNov 3, 26H · Aston Villa3-0
  • WOct 31, 26H · Alaves6-1
  • LOct 25, 26H · Real Madrid1-2
  • LOct 20, 26A · Paris Saint Germain4-2
  • WOct 17, 26A · Real Betis2-5

Rayo Vallecano

WWLDD
  • WOct 31, 26H · Celta Vigo3-0
  • WOct 27, 26A · Recreativo Huelva2-3
  • LOct 24, 26H · Elche0-3
  • DOct 19, 26A · Getafe1-1
  • DSep 19, 26A · Osasuna1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Barcelona11+3430WLWWW
2Real Madrid12+2130WWWWW
13Espanyol12-112DWLLD
14Rayo Vallecano10-512WLDDW
15Getafe11-812WLDLW

Head to Head

5
Barcelona
3
Draws
2
Rayo Vallecano
  • Aug 31, 26Barcelona – Rayo Vallecano5-2
  • Mar 22, 26Barcelona – Rayo Vallecano1-0
  • Aug 31, 25Rayo Vallecano – Barcelona1-1
  • Feb 17, 25Barcelona – Rayo Vallecano1-0
  • Aug 27, 24Rayo Vallecano – Barcelona1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

BarcelonaRayo Vallecano
Played310
Goals Scored1115
Goals Conceded620
Avg Scored3.71.5
Avg Conceded2.02.0
Clean Sheets01

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BarcelonaRayo Vallecano
Over 2.5 Goals10/105/10
Both Teams Scored8/105/10
Clean Sheets1/103/10

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano — Match Analysis

Barcelona are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record against Rayo Vallecano. The main risk is complacency, but Rayo's poor form and defensive injuries make an upset unlikely.

Barcelona are clear favourites to beat Rayo Vallecano at Camp Nou. The market strongly favours the home side, and the API-Football model agrees, predicting a Barcelona victory. Barcelona's form is exceptional, with five consecutive wins, scoring 7 goals and conceding 0 in their last two matches. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, are winless in their last two, with a loss in their most recent outing.

Form Analysis: Barcelona are on a five-match winning streak, with an average of 3.8 goals scored per game and 1.0 conceded. They have kept two clean sheets in that run. Rayo Vallecano have won none of their last five, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 3, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. The contrast in momentum is stark.

Key Factors: Barcelona's attacking prowess is highlighted by their 78% attack rating compared to Rayo's 22%. Defensively, Barcelona have a perfect 100% rating, while Rayo have 0%. In head-to-head meetings, Barcelona have won 5 of the last 10, with 3 draws and 2 Rayo wins, giving them a 93% strength rating. Additionally, Barcelona have home advantage at Camp Nou, where they have won their only home game this season.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Barcelona victory. Rayo Vallecano's defensive frailties and poor form make an upset highly unlikely. Barcelona's superior quality, form, and home advantage should see them dominate and secure three points.

Win Probabilities: Barcelona: 84% · Draw: 12% · Rayo Vallecano: 4%

Predicted Score: 3-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 80% · Under 2.5: 20% · BTTS: 74%

H2H: Barcelona wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Rayo Vallecano wins: 2

Form (latest first): Barcelona: WWLLW · Rayo Vallecano: WWLDD

  • Lamine Yamal vs Iván Balliu: Yamal's dribbling and creativity on the right wing will test Balliu's defensive discipline.
  • Pedri vs Óscar Valentín: Pedri's ability to find pockets of space between the lines will be crucial against Valentín's shielding.
  • Raphinha vs Florian Lejeune: Raphinha's direct running and crossing will challenge Lejeune's positioning in the box.

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Elche
Nov 813:00
Real Betis
14.3523%
X3.3330%
22.1347%
La LigaSpain
Real Sociedad
Nov 815:15
Rayo Vallecano
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
La LigaSpain
Villarreal
Nov 817:30
Getafe
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
La LigaSpain
Celta Vigo
Nov 817:30
Levante
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Nov 820:00
Barcelona
14.7621%
X3.5728%
21.9651%
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Nov 2216:00
Villarreal
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Nov 2216:00
Espanyol
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.5522%
23.5728%
La LigaSpain
Sevilla
Nov 2216:00
Real Betis
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
La LigaSpain
Levante
Nov 2216:00
Elche
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
La LigaSpain
Real Madrid
Nov 2216:00
Celta Vigo
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
La LigaSpain
Alaves
Nov 2216:00
Deportivo La Coruna
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
La LigaSpain
Getafe
Nov 2216:00
Atletico Madrid
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Nov 2216:00
Malaga
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Nov 2216:00
Valencia
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
La LigaSpain
Racing Santander
Nov 2216:00
Real Sociedad
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%

Betting Tips

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