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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

Result • La Liga·Celta Vigo·Sevilla

La Liga
La Liga
May 23, 2026
19:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.95
X3.50
23.90
Stadium
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
medium Confidence
Sevilla

Sevilla

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.50
23.90
Stadium
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Win Probabilities
48%
Celta Vigo
32%
Draw
20%
Sevilla
Home1.9548%
Draw3.5032%
Away3.9020%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Celta Vigo's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Sevilla, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Celta Vigo and Sevilla using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Celta Vigo a 48% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Sevilla a 20% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Borja Iglesias vs Sevilla's depleted defense: The Celta striker will look to exploit the absence of Gudelj and Marcao.
2Iago Aspas vs José Ángel Carmona: Aspas' creativity against Carmona's defensive discipline will be crucial.
3W. Swedberg vs R. Vargas: Both midfielders are key to their team's attacking transitions.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Celta Vigo

  • Strong home form
  • Superior league position
  • Inconsistent recent form
  • One injury (Vecino)

Sevilla

  • Decent away form
  • Strong defensive record (1.2 goals conceded per game)
  • Three key absences (Gudelj, Bueno, Marcao)
  • Lower league position (13th)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
48%
API-Football
45%
47%
Celta Vigo473915

Moderate agreement on home win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Celta Vigo are predicted to win this La Liga clash against Sevilla at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, based on a combination of bookmaker odds, statistical models, and key factors.

Form Analysis: Celta Vigo have shown mixed form (DWLLW) but average 1.6 goals scored per game, while Sevilla (LWWWL) have been inconsistent and average 1.4 goals scored. Defensively, both teams have similar records, but Celta's home advantage is significant.

Key Factors: Celta Vigo have a strong head-to-head advantage (71% strength according to API comparison) and sit 6th in the league with 51 points, while Sevilla are 13th with 43 points. Sevilla have three key players out (Gudelj suspended, Bueno and Marcao injured), weakening their defense. The weather (patchy rain) favors a physical style, suiting Celta's home approach.

Conclusion: With odds and model both favoring Celta, and Sevilla's injury issues, a home win is the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextCelta Vigo

Double chance : Celta Vigo or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Celta VigoSevilla
54%Strength45%
53%Attacking Potential47%
46%Defensive Potential54%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
58%Goals H2H42%
54%Wins the Game45%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Celta VigoInjuries · Sevilla</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Celta Vigo

DDLLD
  • DSep 7, 26A · Getafe1-1
  • DSep 3, 26A · Real Sociedad0-0
  • LAug 30, 26H · Athletic Club0-2
  • LAug 27, 26H · Osasuna1-2
  • DAug 22, 26A · Valencia0-0

Sevilla

WDLWW
  • WSep 11, 26H · Valencia1-0
  • DSep 6, 26A · Espanyol1-1
  • LAug 29, 26H · Atletico Madrid1-3
  • WAug 22, 26A · Athletic Club1-3
  • WAug 15, 26H · Rayo Vallecano2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Alaves5+610LWWDW
4Sevilla5+210WDLWW
5Real Betis409WLWW
15Rayo Vallecano5-64LWLDL
16Celta Vigo5-33DDLLD
17Villarreal4-22LLDD

Head to Head

3
Celta Vigo
4
Draws
3
Sevilla
  • Jan 12, 26Sevilla – Celta Vigo0-1
  • May 10, 25Celta Vigo – Sevilla3-2
  • Dec 14, 24Sevilla – Celta Vigo1-0
  • Mar 17, 24Sevilla – Celta Vigo1-2
  • Nov 4, 23Celta Vigo – Sevilla1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Celta VigoSevilla
Played54
Goals Scored27
Goals Conceded56
Avg Scored0.41.8
Avg Conceded1.01.5
Clean Sheets20

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Celta VigoSevilla
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Celta Vigo's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Sevilla, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Celta Vigo are predicted to win this La Liga clash against Sevilla at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, based on a combination of bookmaker odds, statistical models, and key factors.

Form Analysis: Celta Vigo have shown mixed form (DWLLW) but average 1.6 goals scored per game, while Sevilla (LWWWL) have been inconsistent and average 1.4 goals scored. Defensively, both teams have similar records, but Celta's home advantage is significant.

Key Factors: Celta Vigo have a strong head-to-head advantage (71% strength according to API comparison) and sit 6th in the league with 51 points, while Sevilla are 13th with 43 points. Sevilla have three key players out (Gudelj suspended, Bueno and Marcao injured), weakening their defense. The weather (patchy rain) favors a physical style, suiting Celta's home approach.

Conclusion: With odds and model both favoring Celta, and Sevilla's injury issues, a home win is the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Celta Vigo: 48% · Draw: 32% · Sevilla: 20%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Celta Vigo wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · Sevilla wins: 3

Form (latest first): Celta Vigo: DDLLD · Sevilla: WDLWW

  • Borja Iglesias vs Sevilla's depleted defense: The Celta striker will look to exploit the absence of Gudelj and Marcao.
  • Iago Aspas vs José Ángel Carmona: Aspas' creativity against Carmona's defensive discipline will be crucial.
  • W. Swedberg vs R. Vargas: Both midfielders are key to their team's attacking transitions.

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Levante
Sep 1314:15
Barcelona
120.005%
X7.6913%
21.2282%
La LigaSpain
Getafe
Sep 1316:30
Deportivo La Coruna
12.2245%
X2.9434%
24.7621%
La LigaSpain
Real Sociedad
Sep 1319:00
Atletico Madrid
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
La LigaSpain
Villarreal
Sep 1419:00
Real Betis
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 1517:00
Espanyol
12.5639%
X3.2331%
23.3330%
La LigaSpain
Alaves
Sep 1518:00
Valencia
12.0449%
X3.2331%
25.0020%
La LigaSpain
Elche
Sep 1519:30
Real Madrid
112.508%
X5.2619%
21.3773%
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Sep 1617:00
Osasuna
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
La LigaSpain
Deportivo La Coruna
Sep 1617:00
Sevilla
12.5639%
X3.4529%
23.1332%
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Sep 1619:30
Racing Santander
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
La LigaSpain
Levante
Sep 1619:30
Athletic Club
12.4441%
X3.1332%
23.7027%
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Sep 1717:00
Getafe
11.9252%
X3.2331%
25.8817%
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Sep 1719:30
Villarreal
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Sep 1819:00
Elche
12.1347%
X3.2331%
24.5522%
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Sep 1912:00
Rayo Vallecano
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%

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