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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

Result • La Liga·Celta Vigo·Sevilla

La Liga
La Liga
May 23, 2026
19:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.95
X3.50
23.90
Stadium
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
medium Confidence
Sevilla

Sevilla

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.50
23.90
Stadium
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Win Probabilities
48%
Celta Vigo
32%
Draw
20%
Sevilla
Home1.9548%
Draw3.5032%
Away3.9020%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Celta Vigo's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Sevilla, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Celta Vigo and Sevilla using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Celta Vigo a 48% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Sevilla a 20% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: I. Moriba
    38'
    Yellow Card: I. MoribaCelta Vigo
  2. Goal: I. MoribaAssist: F. Lopez
    51'
    Goal: I. MoribaCelta Vigo · Assist: F. Lopez
  3. 64'
    Substitution: R. VargasSevilla · Out: Peque
    Substitution: R. VargasOut: Peque
  4. 64'
    Substitution: N. MaupaySevilla · Out: A. Sanchez
    Substitution: N. MaupayOut: A. Sanchez
  5. 64'
    Substitution: A. AdamsSevilla · Out: I. Romero
    Substitution: A. AdamsOut: I. Romero
  6. Substitution: H. AlvarezOut: W. Swedberg
    65'
    Substitution: H. AlvarezCelta Vigo · Out: W. Swedberg
  7. Substitution: F. JutglaOut: I. Aspas
    66'
    Substitution: F. JutglaCelta Vigo · Out: I. Aspas
  8. Substitution: M. VecinoOut: F. Lopez
    74'
    Substitution: M. VecinoCelta Vigo · Out: F. Lopez
  9. Substitution: P. DuranOut: B. Iglesias
    74'
    Substitution: P. DuranCelta Vigo · Out: B. Iglesias
  10. 77'
    Substitution: C. EjukeSevilla · Out: Oso
    Substitution: C. EjukeOut: Oso
  11. 86'
    Substitution: N. GudeljSevilla · Out: L. Agoume
    Substitution: N. GudeljOut: L. Agoume
  12. Substitution: O. MinguezaOut: J. Rueda
    90+3'
    Substitution: O. MinguezaCelta Vigo · Out: J. Rueda
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Borja Iglesias vs Sevilla's depleted defense: The Celta striker will look to exploit the absence of Gudelj and Marcao.
2Iago Aspas vs José Ángel Carmona: Aspas' creativity against Carmona's defensive discipline will be crucial.
3W. Swedberg vs R. Vargas: Both midfielders are key to their team's attacking transitions.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Celta Vigo

  • Strong home form
  • Superior league position
  • Inconsistent recent form
  • One injury (Vecino)

Sevilla

  • Decent away form
  • Strong defensive record (1.2 goals conceded per game)
  • Three key absences (Gudelj, Bueno, Marcao)
  • Lower league position (13th)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
48%
API-Football
45%
47%
Celta Vigo473915

Moderate agreement on home win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Celta Vigo are predicted to win this La Liga clash against Sevilla at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, based on a combination of bookmaker odds, statistical models, and key factors.

Form Analysis: Celta Vigo have shown mixed form (DWLLW) but average 1.6 goals scored per game, while Sevilla (LWWWL) have been inconsistent and average 1.4 goals scored. Defensively, both teams have similar records, but Celta's home advantage is significant.

Key Factors: Celta Vigo have a strong head-to-head advantage (71% strength according to API comparison) and sit 6th in the league with 51 points, while Sevilla are 13th with 43 points. Sevilla have three key players out (Gudelj suspended, Bueno and Marcao injured), weakening their defense. The weather (patchy rain) favors a physical style, suiting Celta's home approach.

Conclusion: With odds and model both favoring Celta, and Sevilla's injury issues, a home win is the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextCelta Vigo

Double chance : Celta Vigo or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Celta VigoSevilla
54%Strength45%
53%Attacking Potential47%
46%Defensive Potential54%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
58%Goals H2H42%
54%Wins the Game45%

More information

La Liga predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1110/10Head-to-headCelta Vigo – SevillaInjuriesCelta VigoInjuriesSevillaLive scores

Statistical Context

Celta Vigo

DWWLD
  • DOct 25, 26H · Real Betis0-0
  • WOct 22, 26A · Celtic1-2
  • WOct 18, 26H · Alaves2-1
  • LOct 15, 26H · Juventus1-2
  • DOct 11, 26A · Elche0-0

Sevilla

WWLDL
  • WOct 29, 26A · Hortaleza0-3
  • WOct 26, 26H · Osasuna2-0
  • LOct 18, 26A · Real Madrid4-1
  • DOct 12, 26A · Levante3-3
  • LSep 19, 26H · Barcelona1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Real Sociedad10+119WWWWL
6Sevilla10017WLDLW
7Alaves10+312DLLDL
8Athletic Club9+312WLDDD
9Celta Vigo10+312DWDWD
10Villarreal10+112WDLWW

Head to Head

3
Celta Vigo
4
Draws
3
Sevilla
  • Jan 12, 26Sevilla – Celta Vigo0-1
  • May 10, 25Celta Vigo – Sevilla3-2
  • Dec 14, 24Sevilla – Celta Vigo1-0
  • Mar 17, 24Sevilla – Celta Vigo1-2
  • Nov 4, 23Celta Vigo – Sevilla1-1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Celta VigoSevilla
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Celta Vigo's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Sevilla, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Celta Vigo are predicted to win this La Liga clash against Sevilla at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, based on a combination of bookmaker odds, statistical models, and key factors.

Form Analysis: Celta Vigo have shown mixed form (DWLLW) but average 1.6 goals scored per game, while Sevilla (LWWWL) have been inconsistent and average 1.4 goals scored. Defensively, both teams have similar records, but Celta's home advantage is significant.

Key Factors: Celta Vigo have a strong head-to-head advantage (71% strength according to API comparison) and sit 6th in the league with 51 points, while Sevilla are 13th with 43 points. Sevilla have three key players out (Gudelj suspended, Bueno and Marcao injured), weakening their defense. The weather (patchy rain) favors a physical style, suiting Celta's home approach.

Conclusion: With odds and model both favoring Celta, and Sevilla's injury issues, a home win is the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Celta Vigo: 48% · Draw: 32% · Sevilla: 20%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Celta Vigo wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · Sevilla wins: 3

Form (latest first): Celta Vigo: DWWLD · Sevilla: WWLDL

  • Borja Iglesias vs Sevilla's depleted defense: The Celta striker will look to exploit the absence of Gudelj and Marcao.
  • Iago Aspas vs José Ángel Carmona: Aspas' creativity against Carmona's defensive discipline will be crucial.
  • W. Swedberg vs R. Vargas: Both midfielders are key to their team's attacking transitions.

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Villarreal
Oct 3020:00
Espanyol
11.5963%
X4.1724%
27.6913%
La LigaSpain
Levante
Oct 3113:00
Atletico Madrid
16.6715%
X4.0025%
21.6760%
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Oct 3115:15
Celta Vigo
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Oct 3117:30
Malaga
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Oct 3120:00
Alaves
11.2083%
X7.6913%
225.004%
La LigaSpain
Getafe
Nov 113:00
Sevilla
13.8526%
X2.9434%
22.5040%
La LigaSpain
Racing Santander
Nov 115:15
Real Madrid
111.119%
X5.5618%
21.3773%
La LigaSpain
Elche
Nov 117:30
Valencia
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Nov 120:00
Real Sociedad
12.6338%
X3.2331%
23.2331%
La LigaSpain
Deportivo La Coruna
Nov 220:00
Osasuna
12.1347%
X3.1332%
24.7621%
La LigaSpain
Sevilla
Nov 620:00
Alaves
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Nov 713:00
Racing Santander
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Nov 715:15
Deportivo La Coruna
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Nov 717:30
Athletic Club
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Nov 720:00
Real Madrid
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%

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