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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Malaga vs Real Sociedad

Malaga vs Real Sociedad

Prediction • La Liga·Malaga·Real Sociedad

La Liga
La Liga
Oct 18, 2026
16:30
Early projection · Odds pending
Malaga

Malaga

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio La Rosaleda
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

Away
Stadium
Estadio La Rosaleda
Win Probabilities
29%
Malaga
24%
Draw
47%
Real Sociedad
Home3.4529%
Draw4.1724%
Away2.1347%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Real Sociedad are favored at 47% to win away at Malaga. The draw is rated 24% and the home win 29%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Malaga vs Real Sociedad.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
0.0Malaga
/10
4.0Real Sociedad
Malaga
FormLatest first
LLDDL
Win Rate0%
Real Sociedad
FormLatest first
WLLWD
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageReal Sociedad+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Malaga
Home

Malaga

Form
LDDLL
Latest first
20
Pos
3
Pts
-6
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 5 matches)

Clean Sheets120%
Goal Diff-6
  • Unbeaten at home this season with two draws from two at La Rosaleda
  • Defensive unit rated marginally stronger than the opponent's in the comparison model
  • Kept one clean sheet in their last five despite a difficult run
F. Calero
Ribs Injury
Injured
A. Aznou
Muscle Injury
Injured
D. Murillo
Injury
Injured
M. Diarra
Calf Injury
Injured
Juanpe
Muscle Injury
Injured
A. Nino
Injury
Injured
A. Ochoa
Knee Injury
Injured
D. Lorenzo
Injury
Injured
J. Lobete
Knee Injury
Injured
J. Cajuste
Injury
Injured
C. Dotor
Illness
Injured
A. Pastor
Illness
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Malaga
Malaga
4Wins
3
Draws
Real Sociedad
3Wins
Real Sociedad
40%30%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan72024
MalagaMalaga
0-1
Loss
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Apr222018
MalagaMalaga
2-0
Win
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Dec102017
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
0-2
Win
MalagaMalaga
May142017
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
2-2
Draw
MalagaMalaga
Jan162017
MalagaMalaga
0-2
Loss
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Feb272016
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
1-1
Draw
MalagaMalaga
Oct32015
MalagaMalaga
3-1
Win
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Apr42015
MalagaMalaga
1-1
Draw
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Nov12014
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
0-1
Win
MalagaMalaga
Feb172014
MalagaMalaga
0-1
Loss
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Malaga4-1-4-1vs4-4-2Real SociedadPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Malaga

12Out

10 key players

Real Sociedad

9Out

7 key players

Malaga

Team

Malaga

Players Out

12(10 key)
F. Calero

F. Calero

MODERATE
Injury:Ribs Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Aznou

A. Aznou

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

D. Murillo

D. Murillo

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Diarra

M. Diarra

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Juanpe

Juanpe

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Nino

A. Nino

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Ochoa

A. Ochoa

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

D. Lorenzo

D. Lorenzo

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Lobete

J. Lobete

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

J. Cajuste

J. Cajuste

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

C. Dotor

C. Dotor

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

A. Pastor

A. Pastor

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

Real Sociedad

Team

Real Sociedad

Players Out

9(7 key)
J. Aramburu

J. Aramburu

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
J. Martin

J. Martin

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
I. Zubeldia

I. Zubeldia

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

G. Guedes

G. Guedes

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Odriozola

A. Odriozola

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

J. Gorrotxategi

J. Gorrotxategi

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

P. Marin

P. Marin

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Pacheco

J. Pacheco

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

H. Fort

H. Fort

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

La Liga

League Statistics

La Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Barcelona
Barcelona
7700317+2421
2
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
7511167+916
3
Real Betis
Real Betis
751197+216
4
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
7502188+1015
5
Sevilla
Sevilla
7412109+113
6
Alaves
Alaves
7322116+511
7
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
7241108+210
8
Real Sociedad
Real SociedadAway
7313913-410
9
Villarreal
Villarreal
72231312+18
10
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
622276+18
11
Getafe
Getafe
722347-38
12
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
72231116-58
13
Osasuna
Osasuna
7223613-78
14
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
714286+27
15
Espanyol
Espanyol
7214101007
16
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
72141121-107
17
Levante
Levante
6123812-45
18
Elche
Elche
71241117-65
19
Valencia
Valencia
7115413-94
20
Malaga
MalagaHome
7034312-93
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Real Sociedad

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

29%Malaga
24%Draw
47%Real Sociedad

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 18 · 16:30
StadiumEstadio La Rosaleda
League StatsLa Liga
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · MalagaInjuries · Real SociedadLive scores →

Statistical Context

Malaga

LLDDL
  • LSep 20, 26A · Getafe1-0
  • LSep 17, 26H · Villarreal1-3
  • DSep 13, 26A · Celta Vigo1-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · Levante0-0
  • LAug 30, 26A · Real Madrid4-0

Real Sociedad

WLLWD
  • WSep 20, 26A · Valencia2-3
  • LSep 17, 26H · Bournemouth1-2
  • LSep 13, 26H · Atletico Madrid0-3
  • WSep 7, 26A · Elche2-3
  • DSep 3, 26H · Celta Vigo0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Deportivo La Coruna7+210DLDWW
8Real Sociedad7-410WLWDW
9Villarreal7+18WWLLL
19Valencia7-94LWLLL
20Malaga7-93LLDDL

Head to Head

4
Malaga
3
Draws
3
Real Sociedad
  • Jan 7, 24Malaga – Real Sociedad0-1
  • Apr 22, 18Malaga – Real Sociedad2-0
  • Dec 10, 17Real Sociedad – Malaga0-2
  • May 14, 17Real Sociedad – Malaga2-2
  • Jan 16, 17Malaga – Real Sociedad0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

MalagaReal Sociedad
Played56
Goals Scored26
Goals Conceded811
Avg Scored0.41.0
Avg Conceded1.61.8
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

MalagaReal Sociedad
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored8/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Predicted line-ups: Malaga vs Real Sociedad

Predicted XI

Malaga

4-1-4-1Formation· Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Real Sociedad

4-4-2Formation· Coach: Sergio Francisco

  1. 13Unai Marrero
  1. 34Luken Beitia
  2. 17Sergio Gómez
  3. 6Jon Martín
  4. 3Aihen Muñoz
  1. 22Héctor Fort
  2. 4Jon Gorrotxategi
  3. 21Y. Herrera
  4. 15Pablo Marín
  1. 11Gonçalo Guedes
  2. 14T. Kubo
  1. 9Chupe
  1. 8Carlos Dotor
  2. 6Ramón Enríquez
  3. 10David Larrubia
  4. 22Dani Lorenzo
  1. 23Izan Merino
  1. 25Juan Berrocal
  2. 4Einar Galilea
  3. 5Álex Pastor
  4. 3Puga
  1. 1Alfonso Herrero

Bench

  • 13Carlos López
  • 31Rafita
  • 15Ángel Recio
  • 12José Salinas
  • 18Pablo Martínez
  • 14Rafa Rodríguez
  • 19Juan Cruz

Out

  • F. Calero · Ribs Injury
  • A. Aznou · Muscle Injury
  • D. Murillo · Injury
  • M. Diarra · Calf Injury
  • Juanpe · Muscle Injury
  • A. Nino · Injury
  • A. Ochoa · Knee Injury
  • D. Lorenzo · Injury

Bench

  • 1Álex Remiro
  • 16Jon Pacheco
  • 19M. Sarr
  • 18Carlos Soler
  • 24L. Sučić
  • 8Beñat Turrientes
  • 23A. Zakharyan

Out

  • J. Aramburu · Red Card
  • J. Martin · Red Card
  • I. Zubeldia · Injury
  • G. Guedes · Injury
  • A. Odriozola · Knee Injury
  • J. Gorrotxategi · Groin Injury
  • P. Marin · Injury
  • J. Pacheco · Coach's decision

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Malaga vs Real Sociedad — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Real Sociedad are favored at 47% to win away at Malaga. The draw is rated 24% and the home win 29%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Real Sociedad are the narrow favourites to take the points at La Rosaleda, though the margin is far from decisive. The visitors sit seven places and four points above Malaga in the standings, and the statistical comparison model gives them a clear edge in overall strength, form and attacking output.…

Win Probabilities: Malaga: 29% · Draw: 24% · Real Sociedad: 47%

H2H: Malaga wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Real Sociedad wins: 3

Form (latest first): Malaga: LLDDL · Real Sociedad: WLLWD

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Oct 919:00
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13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
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Rayo Vallecano
Oct 1012:00
Athletic Club
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
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X4.1724%
22.2245%
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Getafe
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X7.1414%
210.0010%
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Villarreal
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Elche
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Celta Vigo
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
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Deportivo La Coruna
Early projection
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X4.0025%
22.3343%
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La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Oct 1116:30
Osasuna
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Racing Santander
Oct 1119:00
Valencia
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Levante
Oct 1219:00
Sevilla
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
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Deportivo La Coruna
Oct 1619:00
Levante
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%
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Espanyol
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14.3523%
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21.7956%
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14.3523%
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Oct 1719:00
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