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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Prediction • La Liga·Real Madrid·Rayo Vallecano

La Liga
La Liga
Sep 13, 2026
15:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Away
Win Probabilities
45%
Real Madrid
24%
Draw
31%
Rayo Vallecano
Home2.2245%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.2331%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Real Madrid are clear favourites, backed by a perfect head-to-head record and superior attacking form, while Rayo's defensive injuries and scoring struggles compound their challenge. The main risk is Real's occasional defensive lapses, which could allow Rayo to score and make the match tighter than expected.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0Real Madrid
/10
4.0Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
FormLatest first
WWWLW
Win Rate80%
Rayo Vallecano
FormLatest first
LLWWD
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageReal Madrid+4.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Aurélien Tchouaméni
8.2

Aurélien Tchouaméni

Real Madrid

VS
Isi Palazón
7.5

Isi Palazón

Rayo Vallecano

26ATT18
100TEC100
100TAC65
49DEF13
90CRE15

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
5/10
Over 2.5 Goals
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1.7
Avg Scored
1.4
Defense
4/10
Clean Sheets
3/10
1.0
Avg Conceded
1.3
Match Flow
7/10
Scored First
5/10
2.6
Avg Cards
3.3
7.5
Avg Corners
5.2

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Real Madrid
Home

Real Madrid

Form
WLWWW
Latest first
2
Pos
84
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • High-scoring attack, averaging 2.6 goals per game
  • Strong recent form with four wins in five
  • Dominant head-to-head record against Rayo

Head to Head

Last 10
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
5Wins
4
Draws
Rayo Vallecano
1Wins
Rayo Vallecano
50%40%10%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb12026
Real MadridReal Madrid
2-1
Win
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
Nov92025
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0-0
Draw
Real MadridReal Madrid
Mar92025
Real MadridReal Madrid
2-1
Win
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
Dec142024
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
3-3
Draw
Real MadridReal Madrid
Feb182024
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1-1
Draw
Real MadridReal Madrid
Nov52023
Real MadridReal Madrid
0-0
Draw
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
May242023
Real MadridReal Madrid
2-1
Win
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
Nov72022
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
3-2
Loss
Real MadridReal Madrid
Feb262022
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0-1
Win
Real MadridReal Madrid
Nov62021
Real MadridReal Madrid
2-1
Win
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano

Feb 1, 2026

72% / 18% / 10%

Real Madrid4-3-3vs4-3-3Rayo VallecanoPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano4-3-3
Real MadridReal Madrid4-3-3
Rayo VallecanoBenchRayo Vallecano7
Real MadridBenchReal Madrid7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Rayo Vallecano

3Out

3 key players

Rayo Vallecano

Team

Rayo Vallecano

Players Out

3(3 key)
Luiz Felipe

Luiz Felipe

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

D. Mendez

D. Mendez

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Kumbulla

M. Kumbulla

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

La Liga

League Statistics

La Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Espanyol
Espanyol
110030+33
2
Alaves
Alaves
110030+33
3
Sevilla
Sevilla
110021+13
4
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
10102201
5
Villarreal
Villarreal
10102201
6
Elche
Elche
10101101
7
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
10101101
8
Barcelona
Barcelona
00000000
9
Real Madrid
Real MadridHome
00000000
10
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
00000000
11
Real Betis
Real Betis
00000000
12
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
00000000
13
Valencia
Valencia
00000000
14
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
00000000
15
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
00000000
16
Osasuna
Osasuna
00000000
17
Malaga
Malaga
00000000
18
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo VallecanoAway
100112-10
19
Levante
Levante
100103-30
20
Getafe
Getafe
100103-30
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Real Madrid

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

45%Real Madrid
24%Draw
31%Rayo Vallecano

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Sep 13 · 15:00
League StatsLa Liga

Statistical Context

Real Madrid

WWWLW
  • WMay 23, 26H · Athletic Club4-2
  • WMay 17, 26A · Sevilla0-1
  • WMay 14, 26H · Oviedo2-0
  • LMay 10, 26A · Barcelona2-0
  • WMay 3, 26A · Espanyol0-2

Rayo Vallecano

LLWWD
  • LAug 15, 26A · Sevilla2-1
  • LMay 27, 26A · Crystal Palace1-0
  • WMay 23, 26A · Alaves1-2
  • WMay 17, 26H · Villarreal2-0
  • DMay 14, 26A · Valencia1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Barcelona000—
9Real Madrid000—
10Atletico Madrid000—
17Malaga000—
18Rayo Vallecano1-10L
19Levante1-30L

Head to Head

5
Real Madrid
4
Draws
1
Rayo Vallecano
  • Feb 1, 26Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano2-1
  • Nov 9, 25Rayo Vallecano – Real Madrid0-0
  • Mar 9, 25Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano2-1
  • Dec 14, 24Rayo Vallecano – Real Madrid3-3
  • Feb 18, 24Rayo Vallecano – Real Madrid1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Real MadridRayo Vallecano
Played—1
Goals Scored—1
Goals Conceded—2
Avg Scored—1.0
Avg Conceded—2.0
Clean Sheets—0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Real MadridRayo Vallecano
Over 2.5 Goals5/105/10
Both Teams Scored4/105/10
Clean Sheets4/103/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Real Madrid

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 13GA. Lunin
  2. 12DT. Alexander-Arnold
  3. 18DÁlvaro Fernández
  4. 22DD. Dumfries
  5. 23DL. Fati
  6. 6ME. Camavinga
  7. 14MJ. Cestero Sancho
  8. 15MA. Güler
  9. 9AEndrick
  10. 10ACarlos Espí
  11. 7ADaniel Yañez

Coach: Z. Zidane

Rayo Vallecano

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 13GA. Batalla
  2. 20DI. Balliu
  3. 27DPelayo Fernández
  4. 24DF. Lejeune
  5. 27DS. Lozano
  6. 4MPedro Díaz
  7. 18MÁlvaro García
  8. 17MUnai López
  9. 9AAlemão
  10. 10AE. Eto'o
  11. 7AIsi Palazón

Coach: Iñigo Pérez

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Real Madrid are clear favourites, backed by a perfect head-to-head record and superior attacking form, while Rayo's defensive injuries and scoring struggles compound their challenge. The main risk is Real's occasional defensive lapses, which could allow Rayo to score and make the match tighter than expected.

Real Madrid enter this match as the clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior attacking form. The home side have won all five of their last meetings with Rayo Vallecano, and their recent run of four wins in five matches underlines their momentum.…

Win Probabilities: Real Madrid: 45% · Draw: 24% · Rayo Vallecano: 31%

H2H: Real Madrid wins: 5 · Draws: 4 · Rayo Vallecano wins: 1

Form (latest first): Real Madrid: WWWLW · Rayo Vallecano: LLWWD

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Aug 1919:00
Malaga
11.3276%
X5.2619%
220.005%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Rayo Vallecano
Aug 2019:00
Alaves
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Aug 2119:00
Real Sociedad
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Aug 2215:00
Sevilla
11.8953%
X3.3330%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Aug 2217:30
Celta Vigo
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Aug 2219:30
Real Madrid
18.3312%
X4.0025%
21.5963%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Aug 2315:00
Villarreal
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Getafe
Aug 2317:30
Racing Santander
12.0848%
X3.1332%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Elche
Aug 2319:30
Barcelona
111.119%
X5.0020%
21.4171%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Aug 2417:30
Levante
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Aug 2419:30
Deportivo La Coruna
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Aug 2519:00
Real Betis
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Real Madrid
Aug 2619:00
Real Sociedad
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Celta Vigo
Aug 2718:30
Osasuna
12.1347%
X3.2331%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Aug 2719:00
Athletic Club
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access