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Today's Tips
Matches
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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Result • La Liga·Real Madrid·Sevilla

La Liga
La Liga
Oct 18, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.25
X6.00
210.00
Stadium
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium
high Confidence
Sevilla

Sevilla

Away
Odds
11.25
X6.00
210.00
Stadium
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium
Win Probabilities
77%
Real Madrid
16%
Draw
7%
Sevilla
Home1.2577%
Draw6.0016%
Away10.007%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Real Madrid are clear favourites to win, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and a perfect home record this season. The main risk is their depleted squad due to suspensions, which could give Sevilla an opportunity to spring a surprise.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Real Madrid and Sevilla using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Real Madrid a 77% win probability, a 16% chance of a draw, and Sevilla a 7% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 66%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 66%

Match Events

  1. 23'
    Yellow Card: Felix CorreiaSevilla
    Yellow Card: Felix Correia
  2. Yellow Card: Dean Huijsen
    23'
    Yellow Card: Dean HuijsenReal Madrid
  3. Goal: Arda GülerAssist: Yan Diomande
    30'
    Goal: Arda GülerReal Madrid · Assist: Yan Diomande
  4. Goal: Kylian MbappéAssist: Jude Bellingham
    37'
    Goal: Kylian MbappéReal Madrid · Assist: Jude Bellingham
  5. 45'
    Substitution: Chidera EjukeSevilla · Out: Rubén Vargas
    Substitution: Chidera EjukeOut: Rubén Vargas
  6. 56'
    Substitution: Lucas StassinSevilla · Out: Robbie Ure
    Substitution: Lucas StassinOut: Robbie Ure
  7. 56'
    Substitution: Manuel Bueno SebastiánSevilla · Out: Peque Fernández
    Substitution: Manuel Bueno SebastiánOut: Peque Fernández
  8. Penalty: Kylian Mbappé (Penalty)
    63'
    Penalty: Kylian Mbappé (Penalty)Real Madrid
  9. 69'
    Yellow Card: Juan Antonio Iglesias SánchezSevilla
    Yellow Card: Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez
  10. Substitution: Brahim DíazOut: Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa
    69'
    Substitution: Brahim DíazReal Madrid · Out: Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa
  11. Substitution: Bernardo SilvaOut: Jude Bellingham
    70'
    Substitution: Bernardo SilvaReal Madrid · Out: Jude Bellingham
  12. 72'
    Substitution: José Ángel CarmonaSevilla · Out: Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez
    Substitution: José Ángel CarmonaOut: Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez
  13. 73'
    Substitution: Alfonso González MartínezSevilla · Out: Felix Correia
    Substitution: Alfonso González MartínezOut: Felix Correia
  14. Yellow Card: Marc Cucurella
    73'
    Yellow Card: Marc CucurellaReal Madrid
  15. Substitution: Eduardo CamavingaOut: Arda Güler
    78'
    Substitution: Eduardo CamavingaReal Madrid · Out: Arda Güler
  16. 80'
    Goal: Manuel Bueno SebastiánSevilla · Assist: Lucas Stassin
    Goal: Manuel Bueno SebastiánAssist: Lucas Stassin
  17. Goal: Yan DiomandeAssist: Aurelien Tchouameni
    82'
    Goal: Yan DiomandeReal Madrid · Assist: Aurelien Tchouameni
  18. Substitution: Carlos EspíOut: Kylian Mbappé
    85'
    Substitution: Carlos EspíReal Madrid · Out: Kylian Mbappé
  19. Substitution: Éder MilitãoOut: Federico Valverde
    85'
    Substitution: Éder MilitãoReal Madrid · Out: Federico Valverde
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✗ missPredicted 7.0 – 2.2Real 1 – 2Real Madrid more corners✗ miss
Total corners—Predicted 9.1Real 3chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 3.7Real 4Over 2.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 1-0Real 2-0chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 6.2 – 3.4Real 8 – 5Real Madrid more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 15.4 – 11.6Real 15 – 11chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Bellingham vs L. Agoumé: Bellingham's creativity and drive from midfield will be crucial against Agoumé's defensive efforts.
2T. Alexander-Arnold vs C. Ejuke: Alexander-Arnold's attacking runs will test Ejuke's defensive discipline on the wing.
3T. Courtois vs Y. Fofana: Courtois's shot-stopping will be key to denying Fofana, Sevilla's main attacking threat.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Real Madrid

  • Strong home record (4 wins from 4)
  • Dominant head-to-head record (9 wins in last 10)
  • Several key players suspended (Vinicius Junior, Camavinga, etc.)
  • Inconsistent recent form (3 wins, 2 losses in last 5)

Sevilla

  • Resilient form (unbeaten in last 3)
  • Solid defense in recent matches (2 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Poor head-to-head record (0 wins in last 10)
  • Injuries and suspensions to key players

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
77%
API-Football
45%
61%
Real Madrid60319

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (61%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Real Madrid are clear favourites to win this La Liga encounter against Sevilla at the Santiago Bernabéu. The market probabilities strongly favour the home side, and the API-Football model also predicts a Real Madrid victory, reinforcing the confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Real Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 19 goals and conceding 8, with a current 2-win streak. Sevilla have a mixed record with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Real Madrid's attacking prowess is evident, and their home record is perfect with 4 wins from 4. Sevilla have shown resilience but lack consistency.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Real Madrid's favour, with 9 wins and 1 draw in the last 10 meetings. Real Madrid's home advantage is significant, and despite injuries to key players like Vinicius Junior and others, their squad depth is substantial. Sevilla also face suspensions and injuries, which could disrupt their rhythm. The weather conditions, with strong winds and rain, might favour a physical style, but Real Madrid's technical quality should prevail.

Conclusion: All data points to a Real Madrid win. The combination of superior form, dominant head-to-head record, and strong home advantage makes them the clear favourites. Sevilla will need to be at their best to challenge, but the odds and statistical models align on a home victory.

Statistical ContextReal Madrid

Double chance : Real Madrid or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Real MadridSevilla
64%Strength35%
56%Attacking Potential44%
54%Defensive Potential46%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
83%Goals H2H17%
64%Wins the Game35%

More information

La Liga predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1210/10Head-to-headReal Madrid – SevillaInjuriesReal MadridInjuriesSevillaLive scores

Statistical Context

Real Madrid

WWWWW
  • WNov 4, 26A · AEK Athens FC2-3
  • WNov 1, 26A · Racing Santander0-3
  • WOct 25, 26A · Barcelona1-2
  • WOct 21, 26H · RB Leipzig4-1
  • WOct 14, 26A · AS Roma3-4

Sevilla

LWWDL
  • LNov 1, 26A · Getafe3-1
  • WOct 29, 26A · Hortaleza0-3
  • WOct 26, 26H · Osasuna2-0
  • DOct 12, 26A · Levante3-3
  • LSep 19, 26H · Barcelona1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Atletico Madrid11+1428WWWWW
3Real Madrid11+1827WWWWL
4Real Betis11+323WDLWD
5Real Sociedad11019LWWWW
6Sevilla11-217LWLDL
7Athletic Club10+415WWLDD

Head to Head

9
Real Madrid
1
Draws
0
Sevilla
  • May 17, 26Sevilla – Real Madrid0-1
  • Dec 20, 25Real Madrid – Sevilla2-0
  • May 18, 25Sevilla – Real Madrid0-2
  • Dec 22, 24Real Madrid – Sevilla4-2
  • Feb 25, 24Real Madrid – Sevilla1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Real MadridSevilla
Played3—
Goals Scored10—
Goals Conceded5—
Avg Scored3.3—
Avg Conceded1.7—
Clean Sheets0—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Real MadridSevilla
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Real Madrid vs Sevilla — Match Analysis

Real Madrid are clear favourites to win, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and a perfect home record this season. The main risk is their depleted squad due to suspensions, which could give Sevilla an opportunity to spring a surprise.

Real Madrid are clear favourites to win this La Liga encounter against Sevilla at the Santiago Bernabéu. The market probabilities strongly favour the home side, and the API-Football model also predicts a Real Madrid victory, reinforcing the confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Real Madrid have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 19 goals and conceding 8, with a current 2-win streak. Sevilla have a mixed record with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Real Madrid's attacking prowess is evident, and their home record is perfect with 4 wins from 4. Sevilla have shown resilience but lack consistency.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Real Madrid's favour, with 9 wins and 1 draw in the last 10 meetings. Real Madrid's home advantage is significant, and despite injuries to key players like Vinicius Junior and others, their squad depth is substantial. Sevilla also face suspensions and injuries, which could disrupt their rhythm. The weather conditions, with strong winds and rain, might favour a physical style, but Real Madrid's technical quality should prevail.

Conclusion: All data points to a Real Madrid win. The combination of superior form, dominant head-to-head record, and strong home advantage makes them the clear favourites. Sevilla will need to be at their best to challenge, but the odds and statistical models align on a home victory.

Win Probabilities: Real Madrid: 77% · Draw: 16% · Sevilla: 7%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 68% · Under 2.5: 32% · BTTS: 66%

H2H: Real Madrid wins: 9 · Draws: 1 · Sevilla wins: 0

Form (latest first): Real Madrid: WWWWW · Sevilla: LWWDL

  • J. Bellingham vs L. Agoumé: Bellingham's creativity and drive from midfield will be crucial against Agoumé's defensive efforts.
  • T. Alexander-Arnold vs C. Ejuke: Alexander-Arnold's attacking runs will test Ejuke's defensive discipline on the wing.
  • T. Courtois vs Y. Fofana: Courtois's shot-stopping will be key to denying Fofana, Sevilla's main attacking threat.

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Sevilla
Nov 620:00
Alaves
12.7037%
X3.1332%
23.2331%
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Nov 713:00
Racing Santander
13.4529%
X3.2331%
22.5040%
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Nov 715:15
Deportivo La Coruna
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Nov 717:30
Athletic Club
14.3523%
X3.0333%
22.2744%
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Nov 720:00
Real Madrid
19.0911%
X4.5522%
21.4967%
La LigaSpain
Elche
Nov 813:00
Real Betis
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
La LigaSpain
Real Sociedad
Nov 815:15
Rayo Vallecano
11.9252%
X3.4529%
25.2619%
La LigaSpain
Villarreal
Nov 817:30
Getafe
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
La LigaSpain
Celta Vigo
Nov 817:30
Levante
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Nov 820:00
Barcelona
14.7621%
X3.5728%
21.9651%
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Nov 2216:00
Villarreal
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Nov 2216:00
Espanyol
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.5522%
23.5728%
La LigaSpain
Sevilla
Nov 2216:00
Real Betis
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
La LigaSpain
Levante
Nov 2216:00
Elche
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
La LigaSpain
Real Madrid
Nov 2216:00
Celta Vigo
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%

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