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  1. Home
  2. Segunda División
  3. Almeria vs Burgos

Almeria vs Burgos

Prediction • Segunda División·Almeria·Burgos

Segunda División
Segunda División
Oct 4, 2026
15:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Almeria

Almeria

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Burgos

Burgos

Away
Win Probabilities
48%
Almeria
24%
Draw
28%
Burgos
Home2.0848%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.5728%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Almeria are favored at 48% to win at home against Burgos. The draw is rated 24% and the away win 28%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Almeria vs Burgos.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Almeria
/10
4.0Burgos
Almeria
FormLatest first
WWLLW
Win Rate60%
Burgos
FormLatest first
WDDLW
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageAlmeria+2.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Sergio Arribas
8.5

Sergio Arribas

Almeria

VS
Iñigo Cordoba
7.2

Iñigo Cordoba

Burgos

45ATT23
100TEC100
75TAC71
13DEF47
79CRE27

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
7/10
Over 2.5 Goals
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1.7
Avg Scored
1.1
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
3/10
1.9
Avg Conceded
0.9
Match Flow
5/10
Scored First
5/10
2.4
Avg Cards
3.8
3.4
Avg Corners
3.9
Match Averages
43%
Avg Possession
0%
13.3
Avg Shots
0.0
4.5
Avg On Target
0.0
11.0
Avg Fouls
0.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Almeria
Home

Almeria

Form
WLLWW
Latest first
6
Pos
69
Pts
+4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 5 matches)

Clean Sheets240%
Goal Diff+4
  • Strong defensive organization (71% defensive rating)
  • Solid home advantage (0.55 rating)
  • Positive head-to-head record against Burgos (3 wins in last 5)

Head to Head

Last 6
Almeria
Almeria
3Wins
1
Draws
Burgos
2Wins
Burgos
50%17%33%

Recent Matches

Last 6
May92026
BurgosBurgos
0-0
Draw
AlmeriaAlmeria
Dec142025
AlmeriaAlmeria
1-2
Loss
BurgosBurgos
Mar212025
BurgosBurgos
3-1
Loss
AlmeriaAlmeria
Oct52024
AlmeriaAlmeria
2-0
Win
BurgosBurgos
Apr302022
BurgosBurgos
0-2
Win
AlmeriaAlmeria
Nov72021
AlmeriaAlmeria
2-0
Win
BurgosBurgos

Past Predictions

0%0/2 correct

Burgos 0 - 0 Almeria

May 9, 2026

30% / 33% / 37%

Almeria 1 - 2 Burgos

Dec 14, 2025

60% / 30% / 10%

Almeria4-2-3-1vs4-4-2BurgosPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Holding midfielders vs two strikers. Defensive solidity tested.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Segunda División

League Statistics

Segunda División • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Castellón
Castellón
541072+513
2
Eibar
Eibar
5401103+712
3
Mallorca
Mallorca
531172+510
4
Tenerife
Tenerife
531173+410
5
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
531176+110
6
Almeria
AlmeriaHome
530284+49
7
Oviedo
Oviedo
522141+38
8
Burgos
BurgosAway
522186+28
9
Real Sociedad II
Real Sociedad II
522186+28
10
Granada CF
Granada CF
522165+18
11
Sabadell
Sabadell
52214408
12
Leganes
Leganes
52213308
13
Girona
Girona
5212107+37
14
Celta de Vigo II
Celta de Vigo II
521278-17
15
Sporting Gijon
Sporting Gijon
521223-17
16
Eldense
Eldense
512236-35
17
Valladolid
Valladolid
511327-54
18
FC Andorra
FC Andorra
5104810-23
19
Cadiz
Cadiz
503257-23
20
Cordoba
Cordoba
5104712-53
21
Albacete
Albacete
501438-51
22
AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC
5005215-130
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Almeria

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

48%Almeria
24%Draw
28%Burgos

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 4 · 15:00
League StatsSegunda División
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · AlmeriaInjuries · Burgos

Statistical Context

Almeria

WWLLW
  • WSep 12, 26A · Cordoba0-2
  • WSep 6, 26H · Cadiz3-2
  • LAug 29, 26A · Sabadell1-0
  • LAug 23, 26A · Tenerife1-0
  • WAug 17, 26H · Eldense3-0

Burgos

WDDLW
  • WSep 11, 26H · AD Ceuta FC3-1
  • DSep 6, 26A · Oviedo0-0
  • DAug 31, 26H · Real Sociedad II2-2
  • LAug 23, 26A · Sporting Gijon1-0
  • WAug 16, 26H · Cordoba3-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Las Palmas5+110WDLWW
6Almeria5+49WWLLW
7Oviedo5+38WDWLD
8Burgos5+28WDDLW
9Real Sociedad II5+28WDDWL

Head to Head

3
Almeria
1
Draws
2
Burgos
  • May 9, 26Burgos – Almeria0-0
  • Dec 14, 25Almeria – Burgos1-2
  • Mar 21, 25Burgos – Almeria3-1
  • Oct 5, 24Almeria – Burgos2-0
  • Apr 30, 22Burgos – Almeria0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

AlmeriaBurgos
Played54
Goals Scored85
Goals Conceded45
Avg Scored1.61.3
Avg Conceded0.81.3
Clean Sheets21

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AlmeriaBurgos
Over 2.5 Goals7/104/10
Both Teams Scored7/104/10
Clean Sheets2/103/10

Predicted line-ups: Almeria vs Burgos

Predicted XI

Almeria

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Rubí

Burgos

4-4-2Formation· Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

  1. 13Ander Cantero
  1. 23Alberto Dadie
  2. 6Sergio González
  3. 22Brais Martínez
  4. 36I. Martinez
  1. 10K. Appin
  2. 17Mario Cantero
  3. 5Marcelo Expósito
  4. 4P. Galdames
  1. 9Álex Forés
  2. 21Fermin Garcia
  1. 12Léo Baptistão
  1. 10Nico Melamed
  2. 6Mikel Vesga
  3. 17B. Cipenga
  1. 29S. Džodić
  2. 33Quim Junyent
  1. 18F. Bonini
  2. 22D. Chirino
  3. 21Chumi
  4. 2Marcos Luna
  1. 1Andrés Fernández

Bench

  • 30Jesús López
  • 13Fernando Martínez
  • 4Nélson Monte
  • 3Álex Muñoz
  • 5Jorge Pulido
  • 19Rodrigo Ely
  • 23Adri Embarba

Bench

  • 1Bruno Iribarne
  • 8Grego
  • 3Ignasi Vilarrasa
  • 20José Gragera
  • 18Saúl del Cerro
  • 14David González
  • 19Javi Llabrés

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Almeria vs Burgos — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Almeria are favored at 48% to win at home against Burgos. The draw is rated 24% and the away win 28%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Almeria enter this Segunda Division clash as the clear favourites, backed by a superior defensive record and a strong home advantage. The model probabilities and team comparison data both point towards a home victory, though the narrow margins in form and overall strength suggest a competitive contest.…

Win Probabilities: Almeria: 48% · Draw: 24% · Burgos: 28%

H2H: Almeria wins: 3 · Draws: 1 · Burgos wins: 2

Form (latest first): Almeria: WWLLW · Burgos: WDDLW

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Segunda División

Segunda División

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Albacete
Sep 1818:30
Cordoba
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Real Sociedad II
Sep 1912:00
Mallorca
13.2331%
X3.2331%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
FC Andorra
Sep 1914:15
Sporting Gijon
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Castellón
Sep 1916:30
Tenerife
11.6959%
X3.8526%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Eldense
Sep 1916:30
Eibar
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Cadiz
Sep 1919:00
Girona
14.5522%
X3.2331%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Sabadell
Sep 2012:00
Oviedo
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
AD Ceuta FC
Sep 2014:15
Valladolid
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Las Palmas
Sep 2016:30
Burgos
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Almeria
Sep 2016:30
Celta de Vigo II
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Leganes
Sep 2019:00
Granada CF
12.1347%
X3.0333%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Girona
Sep 2518:30
Albacete
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
AD Ceuta FC
Sep 2612:00
Real Sociedad II
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Granada CF
Sep 2614:15
FC Andorra
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Tenerife
Sep 2616:30
Cadiz
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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