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  1. Home
  2. Segunda División
  3. Leganes vs Eldense

Leganes vs Eldense

Result • Segunda División·Leganes·Eldense

Segunda División
Segunda División
Aug 29, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Leganes

Leganes

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.18
X3.25
23.30
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
high Confidence
Eldense

Eldense

Away
Odds
12.18
X3.25
23.30
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Win Probabilities
44%
Leganes
33%
Draw
23%
Eldense
Home2.1844%
Draw3.2533%
Away3.3023%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Leganes are favored at 44% to win at home against Eldense. The draw is rated 33% and the away win 23%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Segunda División fixture between Leganes and Eldense using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Leganes a 44% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Eldense a 23% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: Dani RodriguezOut: Rubén Peña
    63'
    Substitution: Dani RodriguezLeganes · Out: Rubén Peña
  2. Substitution: Alejandro San Cristobal SanchezOut: Naim Garcia
    63'
    Substitution: Alejandro San Cristobal SanchezLeganes · Out: Naim Garcia
  3. Substitution: Álex MillánOut: Patrick Soko
    63'
    Substitution: Álex MillánLeganes · Out: Patrick Soko
  4. 67'
    Substitution: Javi MartínezEldense · Out: Jorge Martin Camunas
    Substitution: Javi MartínezOut: Jorge Martin Camunas
  5. 73'
    Substitution: Jorge Rastrojo MoroEldense · Out: Mariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo
    Substitution: Jorge Rastrojo MoroOut: Mariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo
  6. Substitution: Suleiman El Haddadi MohamedOut: Yassine Kechta
    82'
    Substitution: Suleiman El Haddadi MohamedLeganes · Out: Yassine Kechta
  7. Substitution: Rubén PulidoOut: Lalo Aguilar
    82'
    Substitution: Rubén PulidoLeganes · Out: Lalo Aguilar
  8. 83'
    Substitution: Alejandro Ibarrondo GorostidiEldense · Out: Jesús Clemente Corcho
    Substitution: Alejandro Ibarrondo GorostidiOut: Jesús Clemente Corcho
  9. 83'
    Substitution: Manuel NietoEldense · Out: Fidel
    Substitution: Manuel NietoOut: Fidel
  10. Goal: Miguel AtienzaAssist: Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
    90'
    Goal: Miguel AtienzaLeganes · Assist: Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
  11. Yellow Card: Álex Millán
    90+3'
    Yellow Card: Álex MillánLeganes
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Zidane vs Jordi Martín: The Leganes goalkeeper's form could be key in keeping a clean sheet against Eldense's main attacking threat.
2Ismaël Gharbi vs Alex Serradell: Gharbi's creativity on the wing will test the Eldense right-back's defensive capabilities.
3Rubén Peña vs J. Olaizola: Peña's pace and crossing ability could cause problems for the Eldense left-back.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Leganes

  • Excellent defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • Modest goal output (1.4 per game)
  • Limited attacking creativity in recent matches

Eldense

  • Able to score in 3 of last 5 matches
  • Have drawn in recent away games
  • Poor defensive record (2.2 goals conceded per game)
  • No clean sheets in last 5

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
44%
API-Football
45%
45%
Leganes453917

Moderate agreement on home win (45%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Leganes enter this Segunda División clash as clear favourites, backed by superior form, a stronger defensive record, and a favourable head-to-head history. The bookmaker odds and the statistical model align on a home win, giving high confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Leganes are unbeaten in their last five matches, with three clean sheets and an average of just 0.4 goals conceded per game. Their attack has been modest but effective, scoring 1.4 goals per game. In contrast, Eldense have failed to win in their last five, conceding 2.2 goals per game and keeping no clean sheets. They have also failed to score in two of those matches, highlighting their offensive struggles.

Key Factors: The defensive solidity of Leganes is a decisive factor; they have kept three clean sheets in five games, while Eldense have conceded in every match. Additionally, Leganes have won the last head-to-head meeting and have never lost to Eldense in the five encounters recorded. The standings gap (6th vs 19th) further underscores the quality difference.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Leganes' defensive organisation and momentum should prove too much for an Eldense side that is low on confidence and leaking goals. Expect the home side to control the game and secure a win.

Statistical ContextLeganes

Double chance : Leganes or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LeganesEldense
70%Strength29%
50%Attacking Potential50%
83%Defensive Potential17%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
60%Goals H2H40%
70%Wins the Game29%
Head-to-head →Injuries · LeganesInjuries · EldenseLive scores →

Statistical Context

Leganes

LDWDW
  • LSep 13, 26A · Tenerife2-0
  • DSep 4, 26A · Las Palmas0-0
  • WAug 22, 26A · Oviedo0-1
  • DAug 16, 26A · Girona1-1
  • WMay 31, 26H · Mirandes1-0

Eldense

WDDLL
  • WSep 13, 26A · Sporting Gijon0-1
  • DSep 5, 26H · Mallorca0-0
  • DAug 22, 26H · Cadiz2-2
  • LAug 17, 26A · Almeria3-0
  • LDec 16, 25H · Real Sociedad1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
11Sabadell508LWWDD
12Leganes508LDWWD
13Girona5+37LWWLD
14Celta de Vigo II5-17LWLWD
15Sporting Gijon5-17LLWWD
16Cordoba6-46WLLLW
17Eldense5-35WDLDL
18Valladolid5-54LWDLL

Head to Head

1
Leganes
1
Draws
0
Eldense
  • May 5, 24Eldense – Leganes1-2
  • Dec 10, 23Leganes – Eldense1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

LeganesEldense
Played55
Goals Scored33
Goals Conceded36
Avg Scored0.60.6
Avg Conceded0.61.2
Clean Sheets32

Leganes vs Eldense — Match Analysis

Leganes are favored at 44% to win at home against Eldense. The draw is rated 33% and the away win 23%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Leganes enter this Segunda División clash as clear favourites, backed by superior form, a stronger defensive record, and a favourable head-to-head history. The bookmaker odds and the statistical model align on a home win, giving high confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Leganes are unbeaten in their last five matches, with three clean sheets and an average of just 0.4 goals conceded per game. Their attack has been modest but effective, scoring 1.4 goals per game. In contrast, Eldense have failed to win in their last five, conceding 2.2 goals per game and keeping no clean sheets. They have also failed to score in two of those matches, highlighting their offensive struggles.

Key Factors: The defensive solidity of Leganes is a decisive factor; they have kept three clean sheets in five games, while Eldense have conceded in every match. Additionally, Leganes have won the last head-to-head meeting and have never lost to Eldense in the five encounters recorded. The standings gap (6th vs 19th) further underscores the quality difference.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Leganes' defensive organisation and momentum should prove too much for an Eldense side that is low on confidence and leaking goals. Expect the home side to control the game and secure a win.

Win Probabilities: Leganes: 44% · Draw: 33% · Eldense: 23%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 46% · Under 2.5: 54% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Leganes wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Eldense wins: 0

Form (latest first): Leganes: LDWDW · Eldense: WDDLL

  • L. Zidane vs Jordi Martín: The Leganes goalkeeper's form could be key in keeping a clean sheet against Eldense's main attacking threat.
  • Ismaël Gharbi vs Alex Serradell: Gharbi's creativity on the wing will test the Eldense right-back's defensive capabilities.
  • Rubén Peña vs J. Olaizola: Peña's pace and crossing ability could cause problems for the Eldense left-back.

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Segunda División

Segunda División

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Real Sociedad II
Sep 1912:00
Mallorca
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
FC Andorra
Sep 1914:15
Sporting Gijon
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Castellón
Sep 1916:30
Tenerife
11.6959%
X3.8526%
26.6715%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Eldense
Sep 1916:30
Eibar
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Cadiz
Sep 1919:00
Girona
14.5522%
X3.2331%
22.1347%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Sabadell
Sep 2012:00
Oviedo
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
AD Ceuta FC
Sep 2014:15
Valladolid
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Las Palmas
Sep 2016:30
Burgos
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Almeria
Sep 2016:30
Celta de Vigo II
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Leganes
Sep 2019:00
Granada CF
12.1347%
X3.0333%
25.0020%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Girona
Sep 2518:30
Albacete
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
AD Ceuta FC
Sep 2612:00
Real Sociedad II
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Granada CF
Sep 2614:15
FC Andorra
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Tenerife
Sep 2616:30
Cadiz
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Celta de Vigo II
Sep 2616:30
Sabadell
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%

Betting Tips

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