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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. Segunda División
  3. Leganes vs Eldense

Leganes vs Eldense

Result • Segunda División·Leganes·Eldense

Segunda División
Segunda División
Aug 29, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Leganes

Leganes

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.18
X3.25
23.30
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
high Confidence
Eldense

Eldense

Away
Odds
12.18
X3.25
23.30
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Win Probabilities
44%
Leganes
33%
Draw
23%
Eldense
Home2.1844%
Draw3.2533%
Away3.3023%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Leganes are favored at 44% to win at home against Eldense. The draw is rated 33% and the away win 23%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Segunda División fixture between Leganes and Eldense using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Leganes a 44% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Eldense a 23% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: Dani RodriguezOut: Rubén Peña
    63'
    Substitution: Dani RodriguezLeganes · Out: Rubén Peña
  2. Substitution: Alejandro San Cristobal SanchezOut: Naim Garcia
    63'
    Substitution: Alejandro San Cristobal SanchezLeganes · Out: Naim Garcia
  3. Substitution: Álex MillánOut: Patrick Soko
    63'
    Substitution: Álex MillánLeganes · Out: Patrick Soko
  4. 67'
    Substitution: Javi MartínezEldense · Out: Jorge Martin Camunas
    Substitution: Javi MartínezOut: Jorge Martin Camunas
  5. 73'
    Substitution: Jorge Rastrojo MoroEldense · Out: Mariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo
    Substitution: Jorge Rastrojo MoroOut: Mariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo
  6. Substitution: Suleiman El Haddadi MohamedOut: Yassine Kechta
    82'
    Substitution: Suleiman El Haddadi MohamedLeganes · Out: Yassine Kechta
  7. Substitution: Rubén PulidoOut: Lalo Aguilar
    82'
    Substitution: Rubén PulidoLeganes · Out: Lalo Aguilar
  8. 83'
    Substitution: Alejandro Ibarrondo GorostidiEldense · Out: Jesús Clemente Corcho
    Substitution: Alejandro Ibarrondo GorostidiOut: Jesús Clemente Corcho
  9. 83'
    Substitution: Manuel NietoEldense · Out: Fidel
    Substitution: Manuel NietoOut: Fidel
  10. Goal: Miguel AtienzaAssist: Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
    90'
    Goal: Miguel AtienzaLeganes · Assist: Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
  11. Yellow Card: Álex Millán
    90+3'
    Yellow Card: Álex MillánLeganes
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

Leganes 1-0 Eldense
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 0-0chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Zidane vs Jordi Martín: The Leganes goalkeeper's form could be key in keeping a clean sheet against Eldense's main attacking threat.
2Ismaël Gharbi vs Alex Serradell: Gharbi's creativity on the wing will test the Eldense right-back's defensive capabilities.
3Rubén Peña vs J. Olaizola: Peña's pace and crossing ability could cause problems for the Eldense left-back.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Leganes

  • Excellent defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • Modest goal output (1.4 per game)
  • Limited attacking creativity in recent matches

Eldense

  • Able to score in 3 of last 5 matches
  • Have drawn in recent away games
  • Poor defensive record (2.2 goals conceded per game)
  • No clean sheets in last 5

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
44%
API-Football
45%
45%
Leganes453917

Moderate agreement on home win (45%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Leganes enter this Segunda División clash as clear favourites, backed by superior form, a stronger defensive record, and a favourable head-to-head history. The bookmaker odds and the statistical model align on a home win, giving high confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Leganes are unbeaten in their last five matches, with three clean sheets and an average of just 0.4 goals conceded per game. Their attack has been modest but effective, scoring 1.4 goals per game. In contrast, Eldense have failed to win in their last five, conceding 2.2 goals per game and keeping no clean sheets. They have also failed to score in two of those matches, highlighting their offensive struggles.

Key Factors: The defensive solidity of Leganes is a decisive factor; they have kept three clean sheets in five games, while Eldense have conceded in every match. Additionally, Leganes have won the last head-to-head meeting and have never lost to Eldense in the five encounters recorded. The standings gap (6th vs 19th) further underscores the quality difference.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Leganes' defensive organisation and momentum should prove too much for an Eldense side that is low on confidence and leaking goals. Expect the home side to control the game and secure a win.

Statistical ContextLeganes

Double chance : Leganes or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LeganesEldense
70%Strength29%
50%Attacking Potential50%
83%Defensive Potential17%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
60%Goals H2H40%
70%Wins the Game29%

More information

Segunda División predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1311/11Head-to-headLeganes – EldenseInjuriesLeganesInjuriesEldenseLive scores

Statistical Context

Leganes

LDLLL
  • LNov 2, 26A · Valladolid4-3
  • DOct 24, 26H · Mallorca1-1
  • LOct 16, 26H · Cordoba0-1
  • LOct 11, 26A · Almeria3-0
  • LOct 3, 26A · Cadiz4-0

Eldense

LWLWW
  • LNov 1, 26H · Granada CF0-2
  • WOct 29, 26A · Atlético Baleares0-1
  • LOct 25, 26A · Albacete2-0
  • WOct 18, 26A · Valladolid2-3
  • WOct 10, 26H · Cordoba2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
14Tenerife11-214DDDL
15Eldense12-414LLWWW
16Celta de Vigo II12-513DLDWL
17Leganes12-1012LDLLL
18Real Sociedad II12-711WLLLL

Head to Head

1
Leganes
1
Draws
0
Eldense
  • May 5, 24Eldense – Leganes1-2
  • Dec 10, 23Leganes – Eldense1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

LeganesEldense
Played1111
Goals Scored713
Goals Conceded1615
Avg Scored0.61.2
Avg Conceded1.41.4
Clean Sheets32

Leganes vs Eldense — Match Analysis

Leganes are favored at 44% to win at home against Eldense. The draw is rated 33% and the away win 23%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Leganes enter this Segunda División clash as clear favourites, backed by superior form, a stronger defensive record, and a favourable head-to-head history. The bookmaker odds and the statistical model align on a home win, giving high confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Leganes are unbeaten in their last five matches, with three clean sheets and an average of just 0.4 goals conceded per game. Their attack has been modest but effective, scoring 1.4 goals per game. In contrast, Eldense have failed to win in their last five, conceding 2.2 goals per game and keeping no clean sheets. They have also failed to score in two of those matches, highlighting their offensive struggles.

Key Factors: The defensive solidity of Leganes is a decisive factor; they have kept three clean sheets in five games, while Eldense have conceded in every match. Additionally, Leganes have won the last head-to-head meeting and have never lost to Eldense in the five encounters recorded. The standings gap (6th vs 19th) further underscores the quality difference.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Leganes' defensive organisation and momentum should prove too much for an Eldense side that is low on confidence and leaking goals. Expect the home side to control the game and secure a win.

Win Probabilities: Leganes: 44% · Draw: 33% · Eldense: 23%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 46% · Under 2.5: 54% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Leganes wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Eldense wins: 0

Form (latest first): Leganes: LDLLL · Eldense: LWLWW

  • L. Zidane vs Jordi Martín: The Leganes goalkeeper's form could be key in keeping a clean sheet against Eldense's main attacking threat.
  • Ismaël Gharbi vs Alex Serradell: Gharbi's creativity on the wing will test the Eldense right-back's defensive capabilities.
  • Rubén Peña vs J. Olaizola: Peña's pace and crossing ability could cause problems for the Eldense left-back.

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Segunda División

Segunda División

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Castellón
Nov 619:30
Eibar
11.7557%
X3.8526%
25.8817%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Burgos
Nov 713:00
Celta de Vigo II
11.7557%
X3.7027%
26.2516%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Cadiz
Nov 715:15
Oviedo
12.5040%
X3.0333%
23.7027%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Leganes
Nov 717:30
Albacete
12.5639%
X3.2331%
23.3330%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Cordoba
Nov 717:30
AD Ceuta FC
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Girona
Nov 815:15
Almeria
12.0848%
X3.3330%
24.5522%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Las Palmas
Nov 817:30
Eldense
12.3343%
X3.3330%
23.7027%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Sporting Gijon
Nov 817:30
Valladolid
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Sabadell
Nov 919:30
Real Sociedad II
11.7557%
X3.5728%
26.6715%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Leganes
Nov 1319:30
Burgos
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Valladolid
Nov 1413:00
Castellón
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.5522%
21.8953%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Real Sociedad II
Nov 1415:15
Sporting Gijon
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.5522%
21.8953%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Almeria
Nov 1417:30
FC Andorra
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Mallorca
Nov 1417:30
Cordoba
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Oviedo
Nov 1420:00
Girona
Early projection
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%

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