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  1. Home
  2. Süper Lig
  3. Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Result • Süper Lig·Antalyaspor·Kocaelispor

Süper Lig
Süper Lig
May 17, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Antalyaspor

Antalyaspor

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.48
X4.33
26.50
Stadium
Corendon Airlines Park
high Confidence
Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor

Away
Odds
11.48
X4.33
26.50
Stadium
Corendon Airlines Park
Win Probabilities
50%
Antalyaspor
28%
Draw
22%
Kocaelispor
Home1.4850%
Draw4.3328%
Away6.5022%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a low-scoring affair where home advantage tips the scales. Antalyaspor's poor form is offset by Kocaelispor's struggles, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

Our AI model analyzes this Süper Lig fixture between Antalyaspor and Kocaelispor using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Antalyaspor a 50% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Kocaelispor a 22% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. 38'
    Yellow Card: H. KeitaKocaelispor
    Yellow Card: H. Keita
  2. 38'
    Substitution: J. NongeKocaelispor · Out: H. Keita
    Substitution: J. NongeOut: H. Keita
  3. 41'
    Yellow Card: A. OguzKocaelispor
    Yellow Card: A. Oguz
  4. Substitution: N. StormOut: J. Ceesay
    46'
    Substitution: N. StormAntalyaspor · Out: J. Ceesay
  5. 46'
    Substitution: T. BingolKocaelispor · Out: A. Oguz
    Substitution: T. BingolOut: A. Oguz
  6. Yellow Card: K. Paal
    54'
    Yellow Card: K. PaalAntalyaspor
  7. 61'
    Yellow Card: T. BingolKocaelispor
    Yellow Card: T. Bingol
  8. Yellow Card: R. Safuri
    63'
    Yellow Card: R. SafuriAntalyaspor
  9. 64'
    Substitution: S. DursunKocaelispor · Out: D. Churlinov
    Substitution: S. DursunOut: D. Churlinov
  10. Substitution: Y. BoliOut: R. Safuri
    67'
    Substitution: Y. BoliAntalyaspor · Out: R. Safuri
  11. 71'
    Yellow Card: D. AgyeiKocaelispor
    Yellow Card: D. Agyei
  12. 71'
    Substitution: E. NarinKocaelispor · Out: D. Agyei
    Substitution: E. NarinOut: D. Agyei
  13. Yellow Card: A. Yigiter
    73'
    Yellow Card: A. YigiterAntalyaspor
  14. Yellow Card: B. Balci
    73'
    Yellow Card: B. BalciAntalyaspor
  15. 74'
    Yellow Card: ShowKocaelispor
    Yellow Card: Show
  16. Yellow Card: S. Dikmen
    77'
    Yellow Card: S. DikmenAntalyaspor
  17. Goal: S. BalletAssist: S. van de Streek
    79'
    Goal: S. BalletAntalyaspor · Assist: S. van de Streek
  18. Yellow Card: S. Ballet
    79'
    Yellow Card: S. BalletAntalyaspor
  19. Substitution: B. OzturkOut: A. Omur
    87'
    Substitution: B. OzturkAntalyaspor · Out: A. Omur
  20. 90+7'
    Yellow Card: R. RivasKocaelispor
    Yellow Card: R. Rivas
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Antalyaspor attack vs Kocaelispor defense: Antalyaspor's attack (57% rating) faces a strong Kocaelispor defense (71% rating), likely resulting in few chances.
2Kocaelispor attack vs Antalyaspor defense: Kocaelispor's weak attack (43%) against Antalyaspor's poor defense (29%) could be a battle of ineptitude.
3Midfield control: Both teams have similar midfield quality, but Antalyaspor's home advantage may give them a slight edge.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Antalyaspor

  • Home advantage
  • Slightly better attack (57% vs 43%)
  • Poor recent form (LDLLL)
  • Weak defense (29% rating)

Kocaelispor

  • Better league position (10th)
  • Stronger defense (71% rating)
  • Poor scoring form (0.4 goals per game)
  • 2 consecutive losses

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
50%
API-Football
45%
37%
Draw303734

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (37%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Antalyaspor is favored to win despite poor recent form, as bookmaker odds heavily favor them (64% implied probability) and Kocaelispor also struggles with form and injuries.

Form Analysis: Antalyaspor has lost 4 of their last 5 (LDLLL), while Kocaelispor has drawn 3 and lost 2 (LDLDD). Both teams have poor scoring records, with Antalyaspor averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, and Kocaelispor averaging 0.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. Neither team has momentum.

Key Factors: 1) Bookmaker odds strongly favor Antalyaspor (64% home win), which is the primary signal. 2) API-Football model surprisingly predicts Kocaelispor (45% away win) but this contradicts odds and should be treated with caution. 3) Both teams have multiple injury doubts, but none are confirmed key players. 4) Head-to-head is limited (1 Antalyaspor win, 2 Kocaelispor wins in last 5). 5) Standings show Kocaelispor higher (10th vs 17th), but form is similar.

Conclusion: The odds are the most reliable indicator, so Antalyaspor is the predicted winner, but with low confidence due to poor form and conflicting model data. A low-scoring match is likely.

Statistical ContextKocaelispor

Double chance : draw or Kocaelispor

Team Comparison

AI Powered
AntalyasporKocaelispor
41%Strength58%
57%Attacking Potential43%
29%Defensive Potential71%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
33%H2H Strength67%
50%Goals H2H50%
41%Wins the Game58%
Head-to-head →Injuries · AntalyasporInjuries · KocaelisporLive scores →

Statistical Context

Antalyaspor

WLLDL
  • WSep 12, 26A · Ümraniyespor1-2
  • LSep 6, 26H · Sivasspor1-2
  • LMay 9, 26A · Galatasaray4-2
  • DMay 3, 26H · Alanyaspor0-0
  • LApr 25, 26A · Göztepe2-0

Kocaelispor

LWWWL
  • LSep 13, 26A · Galatasaray1-0
  • WSep 6, 26H · Samsunspor1-0
  • WAug 29, 26A · Konyaspor1-2
  • WAug 24, 26H · Amed2-0
  • LAug 16, 26A · Başakşehir2-0

Head to Head

2
Antalyaspor
0
Draws
1
Kocaelispor
  • Dec 19, 25Kocaelispor – Antalyaspor2-1
  • Jan 7, 25Antalyaspor – Kocaelispor3-1
  • Jul 15, 21Antalyaspor – Kocaelispor0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

AntalyasporKocaelispor
Played63
Goals Scored94
Goals Conceded123
Avg Scored1.51.3
Avg Conceded2.01.0
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AntalyasporKocaelispor
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a low-scoring affair where home advantage tips the scales. Antalyaspor's poor form is offset by Kocaelispor's struggles, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

Based on the data, Antalyaspor is favored to win despite poor recent form, as bookmaker odds heavily favor them (64% implied probability) and Kocaelispor also struggles with form and injuries.

Form Analysis: Antalyaspor has lost 4 of their last 5 (LDLLL), while Kocaelispor has drawn 3 and lost 2 (LDLDD). Both teams have poor scoring records, with Antalyaspor averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, and Kocaelispor averaging 0.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. Neither team has momentum.

Key Factors: 1) Bookmaker odds strongly favor Antalyaspor (64% home win), which is the primary signal. 2) API-Football model surprisingly predicts Kocaelispor (45% away win) but this contradicts odds and should be treated with caution. 3) Both teams have multiple injury doubts, but none are confirmed key players. 4) Head-to-head is limited (1 Antalyaspor win, 2 Kocaelispor wins in last 5). 5) Standings show Kocaelispor higher (10th vs 17th), but form is similar.

Conclusion: The odds are the most reliable indicator, so Antalyaspor is the predicted winner, but with low confidence due to poor form and conflicting model data. A low-scoring match is likely.

Win Probabilities: Antalyaspor: 50% · Draw: 28% · Kocaelispor: 22%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Antalyaspor wins: 2 · Draws: 0 · Kocaelispor wins: 1

Form (latest first): Antalyaspor: WLLDL · Kocaelispor: LWWWL

  • Antalyaspor attack vs Kocaelispor defense: Antalyaspor's attack (57% rating) faces a strong Kocaelispor defense (71% rating), likely resulting in few chances.
  • Kocaelispor attack vs Antalyaspor defense: Kocaelispor's weak attack (43%) against Antalyaspor's poor defense (29%) could be a battle of ineptitude.
  • Midfield control: Both teams have similar midfield quality, but Antalyaspor's home advantage may give them a slight edge.

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Süper Lig

Süper Lig

Turkey15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Süper LigTurkey
Kasımpaşa
Sep 1817:00
Konyaspor
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Süper LigTurkey
Çorum FK
Sep 1914:00
Alanyaspor
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Süper LigTurkey
Kocaelispor
Sep 1914:00
Gaziantep FK
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Süper LigTurkey
Başakşehir
Sep 1917:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
11.6959%
X3.8526%
26.6715%
Süper LigTurkey
Trabzonspor
Sep 1917:00
Galatasaray
14.7621%
X3.5728%
21.9651%
Süper LigTurkey
Fenerbahçe
Sep 2014:00
Eyüpspor
11.2282%
X7.6913%
220.005%
Süper LigTurkey
Erzurumspor FK
Sep 2014:00
Samsunspor
12.7037%
X3.4529%
22.9434%
Süper LigTurkey
Göztepe
Sep 2017:00
Rizespor
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Süper LigTurkey
Amed
Sep 2017:00
Beşiktaş
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Süper LigTurkey
Galatasaray
Oct 917:00
Kasımpaşa
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Süper LigTurkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Oct 1010:30
Amed
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Süper LigTurkey
Alanyaspor
Oct 1013:00
Erzurumspor FK
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
Süper LigTurkey
Samsunspor
Oct 1013:00
Trabzonspor
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Süper LigTurkey
Rizespor
Oct 1016:00
Fenerbahçe
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
Süper LigTurkey
Konyaspor
Oct 1110:30
Başakşehir
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%

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