Ntugasaze host Mbarara City in the Premier League on Wednesday, 7 October 2026. Our model makes Mbarara City the favourite at 52%, with the draw at 22% and Ntugasaze at 26%.
Form and league position
Ntugasaze sit 18th of 18 with 0 points from 4 games (2 scored, 11 conceded), recent form L-L-L-L. Mbarara City sit 15th of 18 with 2 points from 3 games (0 scored, 1 conceded), recent form W-L-L-D-D.
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 0.8–0.9, about 1.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 25% and both teams to score at 34%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
The market has not priced this fixture yet. Until odds arrive the probabilities come from the team-strength model and are re-anchored automatically once bookmakers open the match.
Prediction
Mbarara City to win (52%), most likely score 0-1.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
