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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. FC Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk

FC Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Result • Premier League·FC Kharkiv·Shakhtar Donetsk

Premier League
Premier League
Aug 16, 2026
12:30
medium Confidence
FC Kharkiv

FC Kharkiv

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
14.80
X3.50
21.65
Stadium
Arena Livyi Bereg
medium Confidence
WINNER
Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

Away
Odds
14.80
X3.50
21.65
Stadium
Arena Livyi Bereg
Win Probabilities
18%
FC Kharkiv
30%
Draw
52%
Shakhtar Donetsk
Home4.8018%
Draw3.5030%
Away1.6552%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

Shakhtar Donetsk are clear favourites, backed by a perfect recent record and a dominant head-to-head history. The main risk is a potential lack of goals if Kharkiv defend deep, but the visitors' quality should prevail.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between FC Kharkiv and Shakhtar Donetsk using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns FC Kharkiv a 18% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Shakhtar Donetsk a 52% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 53%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 53%

Match Events

  1. 1'
    Goal: NewertonShakhtar Donetsk · Assist: Isaque Silva
    Goal: NewertonAssist: Isaque Silva
  2. Yellow Card: A. Smolyakov
    50'
    Yellow Card: A. SmolyakovFC Kharkiv
  3. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideP. Itodo
    57'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideFC Kharkiv · P. Itodo
  4. 61'
    Yellow Card: M. MatvienkoShakhtar Donetsk
    Yellow Card: M. Matvienko
  5. 65'
    Substitution: G. MendozaShakhtar Donetsk · Out: Isaque Silva
    Substitution: G. MendozaOut: Isaque Silva
  6. Substitution: E. RashicaOut: O. Martynyuk
    70'
    Substitution: E. RashicaFC Kharkiv · Out: O. Martynyuk
  7. 71'
    Substitution: A. BondarenkoShakhtar Donetsk · Out: Alisson
    Substitution: A. BondarenkoOut: Alisson
  8. 71'
    Substitution: Luca MeirellesShakhtar Donetsk · Out: Kaua Elias
    Substitution: Luca MeirellesOut: Kaua Elias
  9. Substitution: B. ZabergjaOut: R. Gadzhyev
    80'
    Substitution: B. ZabergjaFC Kharkiv · Out: R. Gadzhyev
  10. Substitution: S. CastilloOut: P. Itodo
    80'
    Substitution: S. CastilloFC Kharkiv · Out: P. Itodo
  11. 81'
    Substitution: I. AzaroviShakhtar Donetsk · Out: Pedro Henrique
    Substitution: I. AzaroviOut: Pedro Henrique
  12. 81'
    Substitution: Lucas FerreiraShakhtar Donetsk · Out: Newerton
    Substitution: Lucas FerreiraOut: Newerton
  13. Substitution: R. ProfiniOut: I. Kalyuzhnyi
    85'
    Substitution: R. ProfiniFC Kharkiv · Out: I. Kalyuzhnyi
  14. Substitution: I. KogutOut: C. Paraco
    85'
    Substitution: I. KogutFC Kharkiv · Out: C. Paraco
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1I. Kalyuzhnyi vs O. Ocheretko: The midfield battle will be crucial, with Kalyuzhnyi needing to disrupt Ocheretko's creativity to limit Shakhtar's supply to the forwards.
2Cauan Baptistella vs D. Riznyk: Baptistella will look to test Riznyk with shots from distance, but the Shakhtar keeper's form will be hard to beat.
3S. Castillo vs V. Bondar: Castillo's movement and finishing will be key for Kharkiv, but Bondar's defensive solidity will be a tough challenge.
Strengths · Weaknesses

FC Kharkiv

  • Solid home record with a win in their only home game
  • Scored in both of their last two matches
  • On a two-match losing streak
  • Conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game

Shakhtar Donetsk

  • Won all of their last five matches
  • Excellent defensive record with 4 clean sheets in 5 games
  • Failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games
  • May lack a cutting edge against a deep defensive block

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
52%
API-Football
50%
51%
Shakhtar Donetsk94051

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (51%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Shakhtar Donetsk are clear favourites to win this Premier League encounter, with the market and statistical model both pointing decisively in their favour. The away side's superior form, attacking output, and defensive solidity make them the overwhelming choice.

Form Analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk are in outstanding form, winning all of their last five matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding just 1, with 4 clean sheets. In contrast, FC Kharkiv have lost their last two games, winning only 50% of their recent fixtures, and have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game. The momentum is firmly with the visitors.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is heavily one-sided, with Shakhtar winning all five of the last meetings. Additionally, Shakhtar's defensive strength (4 clean sheets in 5) and superior attacking output (1.8 goals per game) are decisive. FC Kharkiv's recent losing streak and weaker defensive record further compound their difficulties.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable away victory. Shakhtar Donetsk's quality and form should prove too much for a struggling FC Kharkiv side. The most likely outcome is a win for the visitors, with a clean sheet a strong possibility.

Statistical ContextShakhtar Donetsk

Winner : Shakhtar Donetsk

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FC KharkivShakhtar Donetsk
20%Strength80%
22%Attacking Potential78%
25%Defensive Potential75%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
13%Goals H2H87%
20%Wins the Game80%

More information

Ukraine Premier League predicted line-ups: Gameweek 138/8Head-to-headFC Kharkiv – Shakhtar DonetskInjuriesFC KharkivInjuriesShakhtar DonetskLive scores

Statistical Context

FC Kharkiv

WWWWW
  • WOct 24, 26A · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1-2
  • WOct 19, 26H · Livyi Bereh2-1
  • WOct 10, 26A · Chornomorets1-2
  • WSep 19, 26H · Bukovyna2-0
  • WSep 5, 26H · Obolon'-Brovar5-0

Shakhtar Donetsk

DLLDL
  • DNov 8, 26H · Dynamo Kyiv0-0
  • LNov 3, 26H · Sporting CP0-1
  • LOct 30, 26A · Obolon'-Brovar2-0
  • DOct 24, 26H · Zorya Luhansk0-0
  • LOct 21, 26A · Inter1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Shakhtar Donetsk12+1729DWDWW
2Polessya11+1728WWWDW
3Dynamo Kyiv11+723DWWLW
4FC Kharkiv9+1121WWWWW
5Karpaty11+1419WDDLD

Head to Head

0
FC Kharkiv
2
Draws
5
Shakhtar Donetsk
  • Mar 15, 26Shakhtar Donetsk – FC Kharkiv1-0
  • Sep 13, 25FC Kharkiv – Shakhtar Donetsk1-1
  • Dec 3, 23Shakhtar Donetsk – FC Kharkiv2-0
  • Jul 29, 23FC Kharkiv – Shakhtar Donetsk1-2
  • Mar 5, 23FC Kharkiv – Shakhtar Donetsk0-7

Season Statistics — 2026

FC KharkivShakhtar Donetsk
Played911
Goals Scored1822
Goals Conceded75
Avg Scored2.02.0
Avg Conceded0.80.5
Clean Sheets47

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FC KharkivShakhtar Donetsk
Over 2.5 Goals4/108/10
Both Teams Scored6/106/10
Clean Sheets3/104/10

FC Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk — Match Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk are clear favourites, backed by a perfect recent record and a dominant head-to-head history. The main risk is a potential lack of goals if Kharkiv defend deep, but the visitors' quality should prevail.

Shakhtar Donetsk are clear favourites to win this Premier League encounter, with the market and statistical model both pointing decisively in their favour. The away side's superior form, attacking output, and defensive solidity make them the overwhelming choice.

Form Analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk are in outstanding form, winning all of their last five matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding just 1, with 4 clean sheets. In contrast, FC Kharkiv have lost their last two games, winning only 50% of their recent fixtures, and have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game. The momentum is firmly with the visitors.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is heavily one-sided, with Shakhtar winning all five of the last meetings. Additionally, Shakhtar's defensive strength (4 clean sheets in 5) and superior attacking output (1.8 goals per game) are decisive. FC Kharkiv's recent losing streak and weaker defensive record further compound their difficulties.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable away victory. Shakhtar Donetsk's quality and form should prove too much for a struggling FC Kharkiv side. The most likely outcome is a win for the visitors, with a clean sheet a strong possibility.

Win Probabilities: FC Kharkiv: 18% · Draw: 30% · Shakhtar Donetsk: 52%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 47% · Under 2.5: 53% · BTTS: 53%

H2H: FC Kharkiv wins: 0 · Draws: 2 · Shakhtar Donetsk wins: 5

Form (latest first): FC Kharkiv: WWWWW · Shakhtar Donetsk: DLLDL

  • I. Kalyuzhnyi vs O. Ocheretko: The midfield battle will be crucial, with Kalyuzhnyi needing to disrupt Ocheretko's creativity to limit Shakhtar's supply to the forwards.
  • Cauan Baptistella vs D. Riznyk: Baptistella will look to test Riznyk with shots from distance, but the Shakhtar keeper's form will be hard to beat.
  • S. Castillo vs V. Bondar: Castillo's movement and finishing will be key for Kharkiv, but Bondar's defensive solidity will be a tough challenge.

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Premier League

Premier League

Ukraine15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueUkraine
Dynamo Kyiv
Nov 2116:00
Obolon'-Brovar
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Chornomorets
Nov 2116:00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Karpaty
Nov 2116:00
Zorya Luhansk
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kolos Kovalivka
Nov 2116:00
FC Kharkiv
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kryvbas KR
Nov 2116:00
Kudrivka
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Veres Rivne
Nov 2116:00
Bukovyna
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Premier LeagueUkraine
LNZ Cherkasy
Nov 2116:00
Polessya
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Livyi Bereh
Nov 2116:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
Early projection
19.0911%
X7.1414%
21.3375%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kryvbas KR
Nov 2511:00
FC Kharkiv
16.6715%
X4.0025%
21.6760%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
Nov 2816:00
Bukovyna
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Dynamo Kyiv
Nov 2816:00
Chornomorets
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Karpaty
Nov 2816:00
Polessya
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Obolon'-Brovar
Nov 2816:00
Zorya Luhansk
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kryvbas KR
Nov 2816:00
Veres Rivne
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Nov 2816:00
LNZ Cherkasy
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%

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