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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. SK Poltava vs Kryvbas KR

SK Poltava vs Kryvbas KR

Result • Premier League·SK Poltava·Kryvbas KR

Premier League
Premier League
May 1, 2026
12:30
high Confidence
DRAW
SK Poltava

SK Poltava

Home
Final Score
3-3
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
3-3
Predicted: 0-2
Odds
15.50
X4.33
21.42
Stadium
Zirka Stadium
high Confidence
DRAW
Kryvbas KR

Kryvbas KR

Away
Odds
15.50
X4.33
21.42
Stadium
Zirka Stadium
Win Probabilities
15%
SK Poltava
27%
Draw
58%
Kryvbas KR
Home5.5015%
Draw4.3327%
Away1.4258%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Kryvbas KR's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between SK Poltava and Kryvbas KR using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns SK Poltava a 15% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Kryvbas KR a 58% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 2'
    Goal: C. ParacoKryvbas KR
    Goal: C. Paraco
  2. 7'
    Goal: A. SeckKryvbas KR · Assist: G. Mendoza
    Goal: A. SeckAssist: G. Mendoza
  3. Goal: I. KotsyumakaAssist: V. Odaryuk
    8'
    Goal: I. KotsyumakaSK Poltava · Assist: V. Odaryuk
  4. Goal: D. SukhoruchkoAssist: V. Sad
    11'
    Goal: D. SukhoruchkoSK Poltava · Assist: V. Sad
  5. Yellow Card: V. Danylenko
    12'
    Yellow Card: V. DanylenkoSK Poltava
  6. Goal: V. Sad
    16'
    Goal: V. SadSK Poltava
  7. 29'
    Yellow Card: J. JurcecKryvbas KR
    Yellow Card: J. Jurcec
  8. 67'
    Substitution: G. HerbertKryvbas KR · Out: A. Seck
    Substitution: G. HerbertOut: A. Seck
  9. 70'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideKryvbas KR · C. Rojas
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideC. Rojas
  10. Substitution: M. MarusychOut: D. Sukhoruchko
    81'
    Substitution: M. MarusychSK Poltava · Out: D. Sukhoruchko
  11. Substitution: B. KobzarOut: V. Sad
    81'
    Substitution: B. KobzarSK Poltava · Out: V. Sad
  12. 85'
    Goal: B. LinKryvbas KR · Assist: G. Mendoza
    Goal: B. LinAssist: G. Mendoza
  13. 86'
    Substitution: V. MulykKryvbas KR · Out: Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych
    Substitution: V. MulykOut: Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych
  14. Substitution: D. PlakhtyrOut: A. Doroshenko
    88'
    Substitution: D. PlakhtyrSK Poltava · Out: A. Doroshenko
  15. Yellow Card: M. Minchev
    90+1'
    Yellow Card: M. MinchevSK Poltava
  16. Yellow Card: B. Kobzar
    90+3'
    Yellow Card: B. KobzarSK Poltava
  17. 90+5'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - video reviewKryvbas KR · V. Vilivald
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - video reviewV. Vilivald
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1G. Mendoza vs SK Poltava defense: The away team's top scorer will look to exploit the home side's defensive vulnerabilities.
2M. Zaderaka vs SK Poltava midfield: Zaderaka's creativity and movement will test the home midfield's discipline.
3SK Poltava's lone striker vs Kryvbas KR backline: The home team's attack will struggle against a well-organized away defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

SK Poltava

  • Defensive organization in a 4-2-3-1 shape
  • Set-piece threat from corners
  • Poor recent form with 1 win in last 5
  • Low scoring average (0.8 goals per game)

Kryvbas KR

  • Strong attacking form (2.4 goals per game)
  • High pressing and quick transitions
  • Defensive inconsistency (2.2 goals conceded per game)
  • Occasional lapses in concentration

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
58%
API-Football
45%
52%
Kryvbas KR133651

Moderate agreement on away win (52%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Kryvbas KR is the clear favorite to win based on both bookmaker odds (63% implied probability) and the API-Football model (predicted winner: Kryvbas KR). The odds and model agree, giving high confidence.

Form Analysis: Kryvbas KR has strong recent form (LWWLW) with an average of 2.4 goals scored per game, while SK Poltava is in poor form (LDLDL) with only 0.8 goals scored per game and no clean sheets in the last five matches. SK Poltava also failed to score in three of their last five games.

Key Factors: The league standings show a massive gap: Kryvbas KR is 7th with 40 points and a +5 goal difference, while SK Poltava is 16th with 11 points and a -43 goal difference. The API comparison gives Kryvbas KR 63.7% overall strength vs 36.3% for SK Poltava. Additionally, Kryvbas KR's attack is rated 75% vs 25% for SK Poltava.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable away win for Kryvbas KR. SK Poltava's defensive frailties and lack of scoring form make it unlikely they can contain Kryvbas KR's attack.

Statistical ContextKryvbas KR

Winner : Kryvbas KR

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SK PoltavaKryvbas KR
36%Strength63%
25%Attacking Potential75%
48%Defensive Potential52%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
36%Wins the Game63%

More information

Ukraine Premier League predicted line-ups: Gameweek 118/8Head-to-headSK Poltava – Kryvbas KRInjuriesSK PoltavaInjuriesKryvbas KRLive scores

Statistical Context

SK Poltava

DLLLL
  • DMay 23, 26A · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0-0
  • LMay 16, 26H · Dynamo Kyiv0-2
  • LMay 13, 26A · LNZ Cherkasy2-0
  • LMay 10, 26H · Shakhtar Donetsk0-4
  • LApr 24, 26A · Kolos Kovalivka2-0

Kryvbas KR

DLLDL
  • DOct 25, 26A · Bukovyna0-0
  • LOct 18, 26H · LNZ Cherkasy0-3
  • LSep 18, 26A · Polessya1-0
  • DSep 5, 26H · Kolos Kovalivka2-2
  • LAug 30, 26A · Chornomorets1-0

Head to Head

0
SK Poltava
1
Draws
0
Kryvbas KR
  • Nov 1, 25Kryvbas KR – SK Poltava2-2

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

SK PoltavaKryvbas KR
Played298
Goals Scored237
Goals Conceded7413
Avg Scored0.80.9
Avg Conceded2.51.6
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SK PoltavaKryvbas KR
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets0/10—

SK Poltava vs Kryvbas KR — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Kryvbas KR's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Kryvbas KR is the clear favorite to win based on both bookmaker odds (63% implied probability) and the API-Football model (predicted winner: Kryvbas KR). The odds and model agree, giving high confidence.

Form Analysis: Kryvbas KR has strong recent form (LWWLW) with an average of 2.4 goals scored per game, while SK Poltava is in poor form (LDLDL) with only 0.8 goals scored per game and no clean sheets in the last five matches. SK Poltava also failed to score in three of their last five games.

Key Factors: The league standings show a massive gap: Kryvbas KR is 7th with 40 points and a +5 goal difference, while SK Poltava is 16th with 11 points and a -43 goal difference. The API comparison gives Kryvbas KR 63.7% overall strength vs 36.3% for SK Poltava. Additionally, Kryvbas KR's attack is rated 75% vs 25% for SK Poltava.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable away win for Kryvbas KR. SK Poltava's defensive frailties and lack of scoring form make it unlikely they can contain Kryvbas KR's attack.

Win Probabilities: SK Poltava: 15% · Draw: 27% · Kryvbas KR: 58%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: SK Poltava wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Kryvbas KR wins: 0

Form (latest first): SK Poltava: DLLLL · Kryvbas KR: DLLDL

  • G. Mendoza vs SK Poltava defense: The away team's top scorer will look to exploit the home side's defensive vulnerabilities.
  • M. Zaderaka vs SK Poltava midfield: Zaderaka's creativity and movement will test the home midfield's discipline.
  • SK Poltava's lone striker vs Kryvbas KR backline: The home team's attack will struggle against a well-organized away defense.

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Premier League

Premier League

Ukraine15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueUkraine
Zorya Luhansk
Nov 211:00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kryvbas KR
Nov 211:00
Dynamo Kyiv
19.0911%
X4.3523%
21.5266%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Karpaty
Nov 216:00
Kudrivka
11.4967%
X4.7621%
28.3312%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
Nov 716:00
Dynamo Kyiv
11.7557%
X3.7027%
26.2516%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Zorya Luhansk
Nov 716:00
LNZ Cherkasy
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Premier LeagueUkraine
FC Kharkiv
Nov 716:00
Karpaty
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Obolon'-Brovar
Nov 716:00
Livyi Bereh
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Bukovyna
Nov 716:00
Kolos Kovalivka
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Polessya
Nov 716:00
Veres Rivne
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Nov 716:00
Kryvbas KR
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kudrivka
Nov 716:00
Chornomorets
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Dynamo Kyiv
Nov 2116:00
Obolon'-Brovar
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Chornomorets
Nov 2116:00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Karpaty
Nov 2116:00
Zorya Luhansk
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kolos Kovalivka
Nov 2116:00
FC Kharkiv
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%

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