Based on the data, Shakhtar Donetsk is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a slight edge for Shakhtar (34% away win vs. 33% home win and draw), and the API-Football model predicts Shakhtar as the winner with a 50% win probability. While the odds are close, statistical analysis and form strongly support Shakhtar.
Form Analysis: Kudrivka has struggled recently with a 2-loss streak, failing to score in 4 of their last 5 games, and averaging only 0.2 goals scored per match. In contrast, Shakhtar Donetsk is on a 5-game winning streak, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded, with 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games. The API-Football comparison shows Shakhtar dominating in form (75% vs. 25%), attack (75% vs. 25%), defense (100% vs. 0%), and overall strength (77% vs. 23%).
Key Factors: 1) Shakhtar's superior form and statistical dominance across all metrics. 2) Kudrivka's offensive struggles, with low goal-scoring and recent losses. 3) The standings context: Shakhtar is 2nd with 50 points and +39 GD, while Kudrivka is 13th with 21 points and -12 GD, indicating a significant quality gap.
Conclusion: The data consistently points to Shakhtar Donetsk as the stronger team, with better recent performance, defensive solidity, and attacking threat. Despite close odds, the statistical evidence supports a Shakhtar victory.
