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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya

Result • Premier League·Shakhtar Donetsk·Polessya

Premier League
Premier League
Aug 29, 2026
15:00
medium Confidence
Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.67
X3.50
24.60
Stadium
Arena Lviv
medium Confidence
WINNER
Polessya

Polessya

Away
Odds
11.67
X3.50
24.60
Stadium
Arena Lviv
Win Probabilities
54%
Shakhtar Donetsk
29%
Draw
17%
Polessya
Home1.6754%
Draw3.5029%
Away4.6017%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Shakhtar Donetsk are clear favourites, backed by a formidable defensive record of four clean sheets in five games and home advantage. The main risk is Polessya's attacking threat, as they have scored in every match this season and could exploit any complacency.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Shakhtar Donetsk and Polessya using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Shakhtar Donetsk a 54% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Polessya a 17% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 61%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 61%
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Kauã Elias vs H. Bushchan: Shakhtar's main striker will test Polessya's goalkeeper with his finishing ability, and his movement could be key to breaking down the defense.
2Lucas Ferreira vs S. Chobotenko: The battle on the right flank will be crucial, as Lucas Ferreira's pace and dribbling could create chances, while Chobotenko will need to stay disciplined defensively.
3O. Ocheretko vs L. Emërllahu: The midfield duel will determine control of the game, with Ocheretko's creativity against Emërllahu's defensive work rate.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Shakhtar Donetsk

  • Excellent defensive record with 4 clean sheets in last 5
  • Strong home form with a win in their only home game
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Potential over-reliance on key players

Polessya

  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches with 2 wins
  • Scoring consistently with 5 goals in last 5
  • No clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
54%
API-Football
45%
50%
Shakhtar Donetsk503714

Moderate agreement on home win (50%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Shakhtar Donetsk enter this match as the clear favourites, backed by a superior defensive record and a strong home advantage. The team has kept four clean sheets in their last five outings, conceding just one goal in that span, which underscores their defensive solidity. Their attacking output is also impressive, averaging 1.8 goals per game, and they have won both matches this season, sitting second in the table with a +6 goal difference.

Form Analysis: Both teams have won their last two matches, but Shakhtar's form is more convincing. They have scored seven goals and conceded only one, while Polessya have scored five and conceded two. Shakhtar's defensive resilience is a key differentiator, as they have kept four clean sheets compared to Polessya's none. This suggests Shakhtar are more likely to control the game and limit their opponent's chances.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Shakhtar's defensive strength, which has been outstanding recently. Additionally, they have home advantage, having won their only home game this season. While the head-to-head record is evenly split (three wins each and two draws), Shakhtar's current form and defensive stability give them a clear edge. Polessya have shown they can score, but their inability to keep clean sheets could prove costly against a team with Shakhtar's attacking quality.

Conclusion: Based on the data, Shakhtar Donetsk are the clear favourites to win this match. Their defensive solidity, combined with home advantage and a strong attacking record, makes them the most likely victors. Polessya will pose a threat, but Shakhtar's overall superiority should see them through.

Statistical ContextShakhtar Donetsk

Combo Double chance : Shakhtar Donetsk or draw and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Shakhtar DonetskPolessya
56%Strength43%
58%Attacking Potential42%
67%Defensive Potential33%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
56%Wins the Game43%

Statistical Context

Shakhtar Donetsk

WWWLW
  • WAug 16, 26A · FC Kharkiv0-1
  • WAug 9, 26A · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0-2
  • WAug 3, 26H · Kudrivka5-1
  • LMay 21, 26H · Kolos Kovalivka0-1
  • WMay 17, 26A · Kryvbas KR2-3

Polessya

LWWWD
  • LAug 17, 26H · Zorya Luhansk1-2
  • WAug 10, 26H · FC Kharkiv3-1
  • WAug 2, 26A · Chornomorets1-2
  • WMay 24, 26H · Ruh Lviv2-0
  • DMay 18, 26A · Zorya Luhansk0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Karpaty4+910DWWW
2Polessya4+49WLWW
3Shakhtar Donetsk4+59LWWW
4Epitsentr Dunayivtsi4+47WDLW

Head to Head

3
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
Draws
3
Polessya
  • Apr 20, 26Shakhtar Donetsk – Polessya1-0
  • Oct 18, 25Polessya – Shakhtar Donetsk0-0
  • Apr 23, 25Polessya – Shakhtar Donetsk0-1
  • Dec 15, 24Polessya – Shakhtar Donetsk1-0
  • Aug 11, 24Shakhtar Donetsk – Polessya0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Shakhtar DonetskPolessya
Played—4
Goals Scored—8
Goals Conceded—4
Avg Scored—2.0
Avg Conceded—1.0
Clean Sheets—1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Shakhtar DonetskPolessya
Over 2.5 Goals8/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya — Match Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk are clear favourites, backed by a formidable defensive record of four clean sheets in five games and home advantage. The main risk is Polessya's attacking threat, as they have scored in every match this season and could exploit any complacency.

Shakhtar Donetsk enter this match as the clear favourites, backed by a superior defensive record and a strong home advantage. The team has kept four clean sheets in their last five outings, conceding just one goal in that span, which underscores their defensive solidity. Their attacking output is also impressive, averaging 1.8 goals per game, and they have won both matches this season, sitting second in the table with a +6 goal difference.

Form Analysis: Both teams have won their last two matches, but Shakhtar's form is more convincing. They have scored seven goals and conceded only one, while Polessya have scored five and conceded two. Shakhtar's defensive resilience is a key differentiator, as they have kept four clean sheets compared to Polessya's none. This suggests Shakhtar are more likely to control the game and limit their opponent's chances.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Shakhtar's defensive strength, which has been outstanding recently. Additionally, they have home advantage, having won their only home game this season. While the head-to-head record is evenly split (three wins each and two draws), Shakhtar's current form and defensive stability give them a clear edge. Polessya have shown they can score, but their inability to keep clean sheets could prove costly against a team with Shakhtar's attacking quality.

Conclusion: Based on the data, Shakhtar Donetsk are the clear favourites to win this match. Their defensive solidity, combined with home advantage and a strong attacking record, makes them the most likely victors. Polessya will pose a threat, but Shakhtar's overall superiority should see them through.

Win Probabilities: Shakhtar Donetsk: 54% · Draw: 29% · Polessya: 17%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 57% · Under 2.5: 43% · BTTS: 61%

H2H: Shakhtar Donetsk wins: 3 · Draws: 2 · Polessya wins: 3

Form (latest first): Shakhtar Donetsk: WWWLW · Polessya: LWWWD

  • Kauã Elias vs H. Bushchan: Shakhtar's main striker will test Polessya's goalkeeper with his finishing ability, and his movement could be key to breaking down the defense.
  • Lucas Ferreira vs S. Chobotenko: The battle on the right flank will be crucial, as Lucas Ferreira's pace and dribbling could create chances, while Chobotenko will need to stay disciplined defensively.
  • O. Ocheretko vs L. Emërllahu: The midfield duel will determine control of the game, with Ocheretko's creativity against Emërllahu's defensive work rate.

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Premier League

Premier League

Ukraine15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueUkraine
Zorya Luhansk
Aug 3015:00
FC Kharkiv
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Bukovyna
Aug 3115:00
Dynamo Kyiv
18.3312%
X4.1724%
21.5664%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Chornomorets
Sep 410:00
Livyi Bereh
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Polessya
Sep 415:00
Kudrivka
Early projection
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kryvbas KR
Sep 510:00
Kolos Kovalivka
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Premier LeagueUkraine
FC Kharkiv
Sep 512:30
Obolon'-Brovar
11.4768%
X4.5522%
210.0010%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Karpaty
Sep 515:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
17.6913%
X4.1724%
21.5963%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Sep 610:00
Bukovyna
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Veres Rivne
Sep 612:30
Zorya Luhansk
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.1724%
22.2245%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Dynamo Kyiv
Sep 615:00
LNZ Cherkasy
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sep 1215:00
Chornomorets
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Dynamo Kyiv
Sep 1215:00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kolos Kovalivka
Sep 1215:00
Karpaty
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Bukovyna
Sep 1215:00
Zorya Luhansk
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kryvbas KR
Sep 1215:00
FC Kharkiv
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%