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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk

Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk

Result • Premier League·Polessya·Zorya Luhansk

Premier League
Premier League
Aug 17, 2026
15:00
high Confidence
Polessya

Polessya

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.40
X4.20
26.50
Stadium
Tsentralnyi Stadion
high Confidence
WINNER
Zorya Luhansk

Zorya Luhansk

Away
Odds
11.40
X4.20
26.50
Stadium
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Win Probabilities
64%
Polessya
24%
Draw
12%
Zorya Luhansk
Home1.4064%
Draw4.2024%
Away6.5012%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Polessya are clear favourites, backed by a perfect start and a dominant head-to-head record over Zorya. The main risk is their leaky defence, which could allow Zorya to score and make the match tighter than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Polessya and Zorya Luhansk using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Polessya a 64% win probability, a 24% chance of a draw, and Zorya Luhansk a 12% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 63%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 63%

Match Events

  1. Goal: O. Fedor
    16'
    Goal: O. FedorPolessya
  2. 46'
    Substitution: A. MachelyukZorya Luhansk · Out: V. Kravets
    Substitution: A. MachelyukOut: V. Kravets
  3. Yellow Card: R. Babenko
    54'
    Yellow Card: R. BabenkoPolessya
  4. 59'
    Goal: A. GlushchenkoZorya Luhansk
    Goal: A. Glushchenko
  5. Substitution: M. BragaruOut: Leandro Andrade
    60'
    Substitution: M. BragaruPolessya · Out: Leandro Andrade
  6. Substitution: O. FilippovOut: O. Fedor
    60'
    Substitution: O. FilippovPolessya · Out: O. Fedor
  7. 63'
    Goal: I. NesterenkoZorya Luhansk · Assist: J. Basic
    Goal: I. NesterenkoAssist: J. Basic
  8. Substitution: L. EmerllahuOut: O. Andriyevski
    68'
    Substitution: L. EmerllahuPolessya · Out: O. Andriyevski
  9. Substitution: O. NazarenkoOut: V. Veleten
    68'
    Substitution: O. NazarenkoPolessya · Out: V. Veleten
  10. Substitution: M. GayduchykOut: I. Krasnopir
    72'
    Substitution: M. GayduchykPolessya · Out: I. Krasnopir
  11. 73'
    Yellow Card: I. NesterenkoZorya Luhansk
    Yellow Card: I. Nesterenko
  12. Yellow Card: R. Rotan
    78'
    Yellow Card: R. RotanPolessya
  13. 78'
    Substitution: K. DryshlyukZorya Luhansk · Out: J. Basic
    Substitution: K. DryshlyukOut: J. Basic
  14. 78'
    Substitution: Italo HenriqueZorya Luhansk · Out: D. Jelavic
    Substitution: Italo HenriqueOut: D. Jelavic
  15. 78'
    Substitution: JuninhoZorya Luhansk · Out: I. Perduta
    Substitution: JuninhoOut: I. Perduta
  16. 78'
    Substitution: P. BudkivskyiZorya Luhansk · Out: A. Glushchenko
    Substitution: P. BudkivskyiOut: A. Glushchenko
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Polessya

  • Strong attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per game
  • Excellent head-to-head record against Zorya
  • No clean sheets in recent matches
  • Conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game

Zorya Luhansk

  • Decent attacking output with 1.2 goals per game
  • Managed a clean sheet in one of their last five matches
  • Inconsistent form, with a loss in their most recent match
  • Poor head-to-head record against Polessya

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
50%
57%
Polessya57376

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (57%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Polessya enter this Premier League clash as clear favourites, backed by a strong start to the season and a dominant head-to-head record against Zorya Luhansk. The market and the statistical model align on a home victory, giving us high confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Polessya have won both of their opening matches, scoring five goals and conceding two, while Zorya have split their two games, losing their most recent outing. Polessya's 100% win rate and superior attacking output (1.8 goals per game) contrast with Zorya's inconsistency (1.2 goals per game). Defensively, Polessya have been slightly more solid, though neither side has kept a clean sheet recently.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Polessya, who have won three of the last five meetings and drawn three (note: the data shows 3 wins and 3 draws, which sums to 6, but we use the given numbers). Zorya have only one win in that span. Polessya also sit third in the table with a +3 goal difference, while Zorya are eighth with a level goal difference. Home advantage is strong, with Polessya winning their only home game so far. The weather (hot, overcast, with light rain and wind) may favour a physical approach, which suits Polessya's style.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a Polessya victory. Their superior form, historical dominance, and home comfort give them a decisive edge. Zorya will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat, but the data suggests Polessya should secure the three points.

Statistical ContextPolessya

Double chance : Polessya or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PolessyaZorya Luhansk
67%Strength33%
63%Attacking Potential38%
60%Defensive Potential40%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
75%H2H Strength25%
71%Goals H2H29%
67%Wins the Game33%

More information

Ukraine Premier League predicted line-ups: Gameweek 118/8Head-to-headPolessya – Zorya LuhanskInjuriesPolessyaInjuriesZorya LuhanskLive scores

Statistical Context

Polessya

WWWDW
  • WNov 6, 26H · Veres Rivne2-0
  • WOct 23, 26H · Obolon'-Brovar3-0
  • WOct 18, 26H · Dynamo Kyiv3-1
  • DOct 11, 26A · Bukovyna2-2
  • WSep 18, 26H · Kryvbas KR1-0

Zorya Luhansk

LWDWW
  • LNov 8, 26H · LNZ Cherkasy1-2
  • WNov 2, 26H · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1-0
  • DOct 24, 26A · Shakhtar Donetsk0-0
  • WOct 17, 26H · Chornomorets2-1
  • WOct 12, 26A · Livyi Bereh1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Shakhtar Donetsk12+1729DWDWW
2Polessya11+1728WWWDW
3Dynamo Kyiv11+723DWWLW
4FC Kharkiv9+1121WWWWW
5Karpaty11+1419WDDLD
6LNZ Cherkasy11+218WDWWL
7Zorya Luhansk12-118LWDWW
8Kolos Kovalivka10-112DWLWW

Head to Head

3
Polessya
3
Draws
1
Zorya Luhansk
  • May 18, 26Zorya Luhansk – Polessya0-0
  • Nov 30, 25Polessya – Zorya Luhansk2-0
  • May 17, 25Zorya Luhansk – Polessya0-1
  • Nov 25, 24Polessya – Zorya Luhansk1-1
  • May 5, 24Polessya – Zorya Luhansk1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

PolessyaZorya Luhansk
Played1112
Goals Scored2514
Goals Conceded815
Avg Scored2.31.2
Avg Conceded0.71.3
Clean Sheets53

Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk — Match Analysis

Polessya are clear favourites, backed by a perfect start and a dominant head-to-head record over Zorya. The main risk is their leaky defence, which could allow Zorya to score and make the match tighter than expected.

Polessya enter this Premier League clash as clear favourites, backed by a strong start to the season and a dominant head-to-head record against Zorya Luhansk. The market and the statistical model align on a home victory, giving us high confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Polessya have won both of their opening matches, scoring five goals and conceding two, while Zorya have split their two games, losing their most recent outing. Polessya's 100% win rate and superior attacking output (1.8 goals per game) contrast with Zorya's inconsistency (1.2 goals per game). Defensively, Polessya have been slightly more solid, though neither side has kept a clean sheet recently.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Polessya, who have won three of the last five meetings and drawn three (note: the data shows 3 wins and 3 draws, which sums to 6, but we use the given numbers). Zorya have only one win in that span. Polessya also sit third in the table with a +3 goal difference, while Zorya are eighth with a level goal difference. Home advantage is strong, with Polessya winning their only home game so far. The weather (hot, overcast, with light rain and wind) may favour a physical approach, which suits Polessya's style.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a Polessya victory. Their superior form, historical dominance, and home comfort give them a decisive edge. Zorya will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat, but the data suggests Polessya should secure the three points.

Win Probabilities: Polessya: 64% · Draw: 24% · Zorya Luhansk: 12%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 61% · Under 2.5: 39% · BTTS: 63%

H2H: Polessya wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Zorya Luhansk wins: 1

Form (latest first): Polessya: WWWDW · Zorya Luhansk: LWDWW

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Premier League

Premier League

Ukraine15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueUkraine
Livyi Bereh
Nov 2016:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kolos Kovalivka
Nov 2111:00
FC Kharkiv
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kryvbas KR
Nov 2111:00
Kudrivka
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Karpaty
Nov 2116:00
Zorya Luhansk
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Dynamo Kyiv
Nov 2211:00
Obolon'-Brovar
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Veres Rivne
Nov 2211:00
Bukovyna
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Chornomorets
Nov 2311:00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Premier LeagueUkraine
LNZ Cherkasy
Nov 2311:00
Polessya
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kryvbas KR
Nov 2511:00
FC Kharkiv
16.6715%
X4.0025%
21.6760%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Livyi Bereh
Nov 2711:00
Kolos Kovalivka
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Dynamo Kyiv
Nov 2811:00
Chornomorets
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Obolon'-Brovar
Nov 2811:00
Zorya Luhansk
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kryvbas KR
Nov 2911:00
Veres Rivne
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Nov 2911:00
LNZ Cherkasy
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Karpaty
Nov 2916:00
Polessya
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%

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