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  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. Albion FC vs Progreso

Albion FC vs Progreso

Result • Primera División·Albion FC·Progreso

Primera División
Primera División
Sep 7, 2026
18:00
medium Confidence
Albion FC

Albion FC

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.00
X3.30
23.40
Stadium
Estadio Luis Franzini
medium Confidence
WINNER
Progreso

Progreso

Away
Odds
12.00
X3.30
23.40
Stadium
Estadio Luis Franzini
Win Probabilities
43%
Albion FC
27%
Draw
30%
Progreso
Home2.0043%
Draw3.3027%
Away3.4030%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Albion FC are favoured at 43%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera División fixture between Albion FC and Progreso using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Albion FC a 43% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Progreso a 30% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 38%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 38%

Match Events

  1. 2'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - FoulProgreso · A. Ocampo
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - FoulA. Ocampo
  2. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideA. Lopez
    4'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideAlbion FC · A. Lopez
  3. 21'
    Goal: N. LopezProgreso
    Goal: N. Lopez
  4. 36'
    Yellow Card: E. AlvarezProgreso
    Yellow Card: E. Alvarez
  5. Yellow Card: F. Ginella
    45+2'
    Yellow Card: F. GinellaAlbion FC
  6. Substitution: B. LlanaOut: M. de los Santos
    46'
    Substitution: B. LlanaAlbion FC · Out: M. de los Santos
  7. Substitution: F. PuenteOut: R. Gutierrez
    46'
    Substitution: F. PuenteAlbion FC · Out: R. Gutierrez
  8. Substitution: A. VeraOut: S. Costa
    59'
    Substitution: A. VeraAlbion FC · Out: S. Costa
  9. Substitution: B. AcostaOut: J. Alvarez
    59'
    Substitution: B. AcostaAlbion FC · Out: J. Alvarez
  10. Substitution: N. NeiraOut: F. Ginella
    70'
    Substitution: N. NeiraAlbion FC · Out: F. Ginella
  11. 75'
    Substitution: N. AcostaProgreso · Out: A. Ocampo
    Substitution: N. AcostaOut: A. Ocampo
  12. 84'
    Substitution: L. CoutureProgreso · Out: N. Lopez
    Substitution: L. CoutureOut: N. Lopez
  13. 84'
    Substitution: A. CodagnoneProgreso · Out: R. Cristobal
    Substitution: A. CodagnoneOut: R. Cristobal
  14. 84'
    Substitution: G. TrasanteProgreso · Out: E. Alvarez
    Substitution: G. TrasanteOut: E. Alvarez
  15. 84'
    Substitution: M. JuambeltzProgreso · Out: L. Viana
    Substitution: M. JuambeltzOut: L. Viana
  16. Yellow Card: P. Lacoste
    90'
    Yellow Card: P. LacosteAlbion FC
  17. Missed penalty: A. LopezMissed penalty
    90+8'
    Missed penalty: A. LopezAlbion FC · Missed penalty
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headAlbion FC – ProgresoInjuriesAlbion FCInjuriesProgresoLive scores

Statistical Context

Albion FC

WWWWL
  • WOct 24, 26A · Central Espanol1-3
  • WOct 18, 26H · Atletico Torque2-1
  • WOct 11, 26A · Cerro Largo0-1
  • WOct 3, 26H · Defensor Sporting3-2
  • LSep 28, 26A · Wanderers2-1

Progreso

WWDLW
  • WOct 25, 26A · Wanderers0-1
  • WOct 17, 26H · Juventud2-0
  • DOct 10, 26A · Penarol1-1
  • LOct 3, 26A · Liverpool Montevideo3-2
  • WSep 26, 26H · Racing Montevideo2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Penarol12+821DLDWD
6Progreso12019WWDLW
7Juventud12+418DLWDD
8Cerro12-318LDWLD
9Racing Montevideo12+216DWLLL
10Boston River12-115LWWDL
11Wanderers12-515LLLWW
12Albion FC12-512WWWWL
13Danubio12-710LWLWL

Albion FC vs Progreso — Match Analysis

Albion FC are favoured at 43%; our projected score is 1-0.

Albion FC host Progreso in the Primera División on Monday, 7 September 2026. Our model makes Albion FC the favourite at 43%, with the draw at 27% and Progreso at 30%.

Form and league position

Albion FC sit 16th of 16 with 0 points from 4 games (3 scored, 7 conceded), recent form L-L-L-L. Progreso sit 13th of 16 with 3 points from 4 games (1 scored, 4 conceded), recent form W-L-L-L.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.0–0.9, about 1.9 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 29% and both teams to score at 38%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Albion FC at 1.99, the draw at 3.32 and Progreso at 3.38; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Albion FC to win (43%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Albion FC: 43% · Draw: 27% · Progreso: 30%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (13.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 29% · Under 2.5: 71% · BTTS: 38%

Form (latest first): Albion FC: WWWWL · Progreso: WWDLW

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Primera División

Primera División

Uruguay8 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Racing Montevideo
Oct 3113:00
Cerro Largo
11.6162%
X4.7621%
25.8817%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Cerro
Oct 3116:00
Central Espanol
12.0050%
X3.8526%
24.1724%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Penarol
Oct 3119:30
Wanderers
11.4768%
X5.2619%
27.6913%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Progreso
Nov 113:00
Defensor Sporting
12.2744%
X3.8526%
23.3330%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Boston River
Nov 116:00
Atletico Torque
13.7027%
X3.7027%
22.1746%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Danubio
Nov 119:30
Club Nacional
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Albion FC
Nov 123:00
Deportivo Maldonado
13.2331%
X3.8526%
22.3343%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Liverpool Montevideo
Nov 123:00
Juventud
11.9651%
X4.0025%
24.1724%

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