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  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. Atletico Torque vs Penarol

Atletico Torque vs Penarol

Result • Primera División·Atletico Torque·Penarol

Primera División
Primera División
Sep 30, 2026
23:00
low Confidence
DRAW
Atletico Torque

Atletico Torque

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.70
X3.60
22.20
Stadium
Estadio Centenario
low Confidence
DRAW
Penarol

Penarol

Away
Odds
12.70
X3.60
22.20
Stadium
Estadio Centenario
Win Probabilities
37%
Atletico Torque
24%
Draw
39%
Penarol
Home2.7037%
Draw3.6024%
Away2.2039%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Atletico Torque are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera División fixture between Atletico Torque and Penarol using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Atletico Torque a 37% win probability, a 24% chance of a draw, and Penarol a 39% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 63%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 63%

Match Events

  1. 10'
    Yellow Card: Eric RemediPenarol
    Yellow Card: Eric Remedi
  2. 21'
    Goal: Matías ArezoPenarol
    Goal: Matías Arezo
  3. Goal: E. Obregón
    23'
    Goal: E. ObregónAtletico Torque
  4. Yellow Card: Brian Gutiérrez
    27'
    Yellow Card: Brian GutiérrezAtletico Torque
  5. 32'
    Substitution: Thiago EspinosaPenarol · Out: Maximiliano Olivera
    Substitution: Thiago EspinosaOut: Maximiliano Olivera
  6. 32'
    Substitution: Ignacio alegrePenarol · Out: Franco Romero
    Substitution: Ignacio alegreOut: Franco Romero
  7. Substitution: Alexander Nahuel da Silva RiveroOut: Diogo Guzmán
    53'
    Substitution: Alexander Nahuel da Silva RiveroAtletico Torque · Out: Diogo Guzmán
  8. 58'
    Substitution: Jesús TrindadePenarol · Out: Javier Cabrera
    Substitution: Jesús TrindadeOut: Javier Cabrera
  9. 61'
    Yellow Card: Jesús TrindadePenarol
    Yellow Card: Jesús Trindade
  10. 73'
    Substitution: Abel HernándezPenarol · Out: Roberto Fernández
    Substitution: Abel HernándezOut: Roberto Fernández
  11. 73'
    Substitution: Lucas HernándezPenarol · Out: Matías Arezo
    Substitution: Lucas HernándezOut: Matías Arezo
  12. Substitution: Lucas DuréOut: Luka Andrade
    79'
    Substitution: Lucas DuréAtletico Torque · Out: Luka Andrade
  13. 87'
    Yellow Card: Lucas Agustin Ferreira ZagasPenarol
    Yellow Card: Lucas Agustin Ferreira Zagas
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · Atletico TorqueInjuries · PenarolLive scores →

Statistical Context

Atletico Torque

WWLLW
  • WOct 25, 26H · Cerro3-1
  • WOct 21, 26H · Atletico-MG2-0
  • LOct 18, 26A · Albion FC2-1
  • LOct 14, 26A · Atletico-MG3-0
  • WOct 9, 26H · Danubio1-0

Penarol

DLDWW
  • DOct 23, 26A · Juventud0-0
  • LOct 18, 26A · Liverpool Montevideo1-0
  • DOct 10, 26H · Progreso1-1
  • WOct 4, 26A · Racing Montevideo0-1
  • WSep 26, 26H · Boston River2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Liverpool Montevideo12+1227WWDWW
2Atletico Torque12+1125WLWLD
3Club Nacional12+523LWWWW
4Deportivo Maldonado12+821WLDWW
5Penarol12+821DLDWD
6Progreso12019WWDLW

Season Statistics — 2026

Atletico TorquePenarol
Played123
Goals Scored182
Goals Conceded115
Avg Scored1.50.7
Avg Conceded0.91.7
Clean Sheets60

Atletico Torque vs Penarol — Match Analysis

Atletico Torque are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 2-1.

Atletico Torque host Penarol in the Primera División on Wednesday, 30 September 2026. Our model makes Atletico Torque the favourite at 41%, with the draw at 26% and Penarol at 33%.

Form and league position

Atletico Torque sit 1st of 16 with 18 points from 7 games (18 scored, 7 conceded), recent form W-W-L-W-L. Penarol sit 3rd of 16 with 15 points from 7 games (13 scored, 5 conceded), recent form L-W-W-W-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–1.5, about 3.1 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 63%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Atletico Torque at 2.50, the draw at 3.30 and Penarol at 2.52; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Atletico Torque to win (41%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Atletico Torque: 37% · Draw: 24% · Penarol: 39%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 63%

Form (latest first): Atletico Torque: WWLLW · Penarol: DLDWW

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Primera División

Primera División

Uruguay8 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Racing Montevideo
Oct 3113:00
Cerro Largo
11.6162%
X4.7621%
25.8817%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Cerro
Oct 3116:00
Central Espanol
12.0050%
X3.8526%
24.1724%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Penarol
Oct 3119:30
Wanderers
11.4768%
X5.2619%
27.6913%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Progreso
Nov 113:00
Defensor Sporting
12.2744%
X3.8526%
23.3330%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Boston River
Nov 116:00
Atletico Torque
13.7027%
X3.7027%
22.1746%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Danubio
Nov 119:30
Club Nacional
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Albion FC
Nov 123:00
Deportivo Maldonado
13.2331%
X3.8526%
22.3343%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Liverpool Montevideo
Nov 223:00
Juventud
11.9651%
X4.0025%
24.1724%

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