Progreso host Cerro in the Primera División on Sunday, 13 September 2026. Our model makes Cerro the favourite at 36%, with the draw at 30% and Progreso at 34%.
Form and league position
Progreso sit 11th of 16 with 6 points from 5 games (2 scored, 4 conceded). Cerro sit 4th of 16 with 10 points from 5 games (5 scored, 6 conceded).
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 0.8–0.9, about 1.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 24% and both teams to score at 34%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Progreso at 2.62, the draw at 2.92 and Cerro at 2.67; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Cerro to win (36%), most likely score 0-1.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
