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Today's Tips
Matches
Live
Play
  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting

Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting

Result • Primera División·Club Nacional·Defensor Sporting

Primera División
Primera División
Sep 20, 2026
19:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Club Nacional

Club Nacional

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.62
X3.60
25.00
Stadium
Gran Parque Central
high Confidence
Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting

Away
Odds
11.62
X3.60
25.00
Stadium
Gran Parque Central
Win Probabilities
64%
Club Nacional
20%
Draw
16%
Defensor Sporting
Home1.6264%
Draw3.6020%
Away5.0016%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Club Nacional are favoured at 63%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera División fixture between Club Nacional and Defensor Sporting using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Club Nacional a 64% win probability, a 20% chance of a draw, and Defensor Sporting a 16% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 47%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 47%

Match Events

  1. 27'
    Goal: G. BarriosDefensor Sporting
    Goal: G. Barrios
  2. 33'
    Yellow Card: A. FrugoneDefensor Sporting
    Yellow Card: A. Frugone
  3. Yellow Card: F. Calvo
    35'
    Yellow Card: F. CalvoClub Nacional
  4. Yellow Card: R. Botta
    37'
    Yellow Card: R. BottaClub Nacional
  5. Substitution: M. GomezOut: M. Silvera
    57'
    Substitution: M. GomezClub Nacional · Out: M. Silvera
  6. Substitution: R. MartinezOut: C. Candido
    57'
    Substitution: R. MartinezClub Nacional · Out: C. Candido
  7. Substitution: A. MartinezOut: R. Botta
    57'
    Substitution: A. MartinezClub Nacional · Out: R. Botta
  8. 61'
    Substitution: N. MedinaDefensor Sporting · Out: A. Frugone
    Substitution: N. MedinaOut: A. Frugone
  9. 61'
    Substitution: E. CuelloDefensor Sporting · Out: A. Torterolo
    Substitution: E. CuelloOut: A. Torterolo
  10. 63'
    Yellow Card: G. De los SantosDefensor Sporting
    Yellow Card: G. De los Santos
  11. 68'
    Substitution: M. RabunalDefensor Sporting · Out: G. Barrios
    Substitution: M. RabunalOut: G. Barrios
  12. 72'
    Goal: N. MedinaDefensor Sporting
    Goal: N. Medina
  13. Substitution: L. GonzalezOut: L. Boggio
    74'
    Substitution: L. GonzalezClub Nacional · Out: L. Boggio
  14. 79'
    Substitution: M. CaballeroDefensor Sporting · Out: G. Rodriguez
    Substitution: M. CaballeroOut: G. Rodriguez
  15. 79'
    Substitution: N. ScottiDefensor Sporting · Out: L. Agazzi
    Substitution: N. ScottiOut: L. Agazzi
  16. Yellow Card: L. Rodriguez
    84'
    Yellow Card: L. RodriguezClub Nacional
  17. Penalty: M. Gomez (Penalty)
    89'
    Penalty: M. Gomez (Penalty)Club Nacional
  18. Goal: M. Gomez
    90+2'
    Goal: M. GomezClub Nacional
  19. Goal: F. Calvo
    90+4'
    Goal: F. CalvoClub Nacional
  20. 90+6'
    Red Card: A. FrugoneDefensor Sporting
    Red Card: A. Frugone
  21. Substitution: S. SilvaOut: T. Correa
    90+6'
    Substitution: S. SilvaClub Nacional · Out: T. Correa
  22. Yellow Card: M. Gomez
    90+7'
    Yellow Card: M. GomezClub Nacional
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headClub Nacional – Defensor SportingInjuriesClub NacionalInjuriesDefensor SportingLive scores

Statistical Context

Club Nacional

WLWWW
  • WNov 1, 26A · Danubio1-2
  • LOct 25, 26H · Liverpool Montevideo0-1
  • WOct 19, 26H · Deportivo Maldonado3-2
  • WOct 11, 26A · Central Espanol0-1
  • WOct 5, 26H · Atletico Torque2-0

Defensor Sporting

WDLLL
  • WNov 1, 26A · Progreso0-2
  • DOct 24, 26H · Racing Montevideo3-3
  • LOct 17, 26A · Boston River1-0
  • LOct 10, 26H · Cerro2-3
  • LOct 3, 26A · Albion FC3-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Atletico Torque13+1228WWLWL
3Club Nacional13+626WLWWW
4Deportivo Maldonado13+822DWLDW
12Albion FC13-513DWWWW
13Defensor Sporting13-712WDLLL
14Danubio13-810LLWLW

Season Statistics — 2026

Club NacionalDefensor Sporting
Played1—
Goals Scored0—
Goals Conceded3—
Avg Scored0.0—
Avg Conceded3.0—
Clean Sheets0—

Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting — Match Analysis

Club Nacional are favoured at 63%; our projected score is 1-0.

Club Nacional host Defensor Sporting in the Primera División on Sunday, 20 September 2026. Our model makes Club Nacional the favourite at 63%, with the draw at 20% and Defensor Sporting at 17%.

Form and league position

Club Nacional sit 10th of 16 with 8 points from 6 games (6 scored, 7 conceded), recent form W-L-W-D-D. Defensor Sporting sit 14th of 16 with 5 points from 6 games (4 scored, 10 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.0, about 2.3 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 47%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Club Nacional at 1.65, the draw at 3.60 and Defensor Sporting at 4.55; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Club Nacional to win (63%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Club Nacional: 64% · Draw: 20% · Defensor Sporting: 16%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.1% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 47%

Form (latest first): Club Nacional: WLWWW · Defensor Sporting: WDLLL

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