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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense

Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense

Result • Série A·Vasco DA Gama·Atletico Paranaense

Série A
Série A
May 10, 2026
23:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.83
X3.40
24.50
Stadium
Estádio São Januário
high Confidence
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense

Away
Odds
11.83
X3.40
24.50
Stadium
Estádio São Januário
Win Probabilities
46%
Vasco DA Gama
30%
Draw
24%
Atletico Paranaense
Home1.8346%
Draw3.4030%
Away4.5024%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a tight contest where Vasco's home fires burn brighter than Atletico's defensive wall. A single goal may decide the fate.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Vasco DA Gama and Atletico Paranaense using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Vasco DA Gama a 46% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Atletico Paranaense a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. 7'
    Yellow Card: J. PortillaAtletico Paranaense
    Yellow Card: J. Portilla
  2. Yellow Card: Thiago Mendes
    7'
    Yellow Card: Thiago MendesVasco DA Gama
  3. 11'
    Substitution: Leo DerikAtletico Paranaense · Out: C. Teran
    Substitution: Leo DerikOut: C. Teran
  4. Goal: Thiago MendesAssist: J. Rodriguez
    37'
    Goal: Thiago MendesVasco DA Gama · Assist: J. Rodriguez
  5. Yellow Card: J. Rojas
    63'
    Yellow Card: J. RojasVasco DA Gama
  6. 63'
    Substitution: FelipinhoAtletico Paranaense · Out: Luiz Gustavo
    Substitution: FelipinhoOut: Luiz Gustavo
  7. Substitution: Tche TcheOut: J. Rojas
    69'
    Substitution: Tche TcheVasco DA Gama · Out: J. Rojas
  8. Yellow Card: Robert Renan
    69'
    Yellow Card: Robert RenanVasco DA Gama
  9. 72'
    Substitution: ChiquetiAtletico Paranaense · Out: Bruninho
    Substitution: ChiquetiOut: Bruninho
  10. 73'
    Substitution: B. ZapelliAtletico Paranaense · Out: Joao Cruz
    Substitution: B. ZapelliOut: Joao Cruz
  11. 73'
    Substitution: IsaacAtletico Paranaense · Out: Renan Peixoto
    Substitution: IsaacOut: Renan Peixoto
  12. Substitution: N. MoreiraOut: Adson
    77'
    Substitution: N. MoreiraVasco DA Gama · Out: Adson
  13. Substitution: BrennerOut: C. Spinelli
    77'
    Substitution: BrennerVasco DA Gama · Out: C. Spinelli
  14. Yellow Card: Andres Gomez
    90'
    Yellow Card: Andres GomezVasco DA Gama
  15. Substitution: Lucas FreitasOut: Lucas Piton
    90+1'
    Substitution: Lucas FreitasVasco DA Gama · Out: Lucas Piton
  16. Substitution: Ramon RiqueOut: Andres Gomez
    90+1'
    Substitution: Ramon RiqueVasco DA Gama · Out: Andres Gomez
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Cauan Barros vs Atletico defense: Vasco's top scorer faces a defense that has kept 3 clean sheets recently.
2K. Viveros vs Vasco defense: Atletico's leading scorer must break through a Vasco defense that has conceded 0.8 per game.
3Adson vs Atletico midfield: Vasco's creative midfielder will look to unlock a compact Atletico setup.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Vasco DA Gama

  • Consistent scoring (1.8 avg goals)
  • Unbeaten in last 3
  • Defensive lapses (0.8 conceded avg)
  • Low league position (14th)

Atletico Paranaense

  • Strong defense (3 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Higher league position (5th)
  • Struggles to score (failed to score in 3 of last 5)
  • Inconsistent results

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
46%
API-Football
35%
41%
Vasco DA Gama413327

Moderate agreement on home win (41%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Vasco DA Gama is predicted to win or draw based on market odds and API model advice.

Form Analysis: Vasco DA Gama has a 3-match unbeaten streak with 2 clean sheets, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. Atletico Paranaense also has a 3-match unbeaten streak but has failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, despite 3 clean sheets. Vasco's attack is more consistent.

Key Factors: Atletico Paranaense's strong defense (3 clean sheets) is offset by their scoring struggles. Vasco has home advantage and a slight edge in H2H (3 wins in last 10). Both teams have minor injury doubts, but no key players confirmed out.

Conclusion: Market odds favor Vasco (49% home win), and the API model suggests a double chance on Vasco. With Atletico's defensive solidity but offensive issues, a low-scoring home win or draw is most likely.

Statistical ContextVasco DA Gama

Double chance : Vasco DA Gama or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense
48%Strength51%
50%Attacking Potential50%
36%Defensive Potential64%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
48%Wins the Game51%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Vasco DA GamaInjuries · Atletico Paranaense

Statistical Context

Vasco DA Gama

WDLWW
  • WSep 12, 26A · Gremio1-2
  • DSep 8, 26A · Santa Fe0-0
  • LSep 6, 26A · Fluminense1-0
  • WSep 3, 26A · Vitoria0-2
  • WAug 30, 26H · Cruzeiro3-1

Atletico Paranaense

DLDWD
  • DSep 12, 26A · Coritiba3-3
  • LSep 6, 26A · Cruzeiro3-1
  • DAug 30, 26H · Fluminense3-3
  • WAug 24, 26A · Botafogo2-3
  • DAug 15, 26H · RB Bragantino1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Palmeiras27+2656WDDWL
3Atletico Paranaense27+1046DLDWD
4Bahia27+946WWWWD
16Gremio26-728LLWLL
17Vasco DA Gama26-1228WLWLL
18Internacional27-528WLLDD

Head to Head

3
Vasco DA Gama
2
Draws
5
Atletico Paranaense
  • Sep 12, 24Atletico Paranaense – Vasco DA Gama2-1
  • Aug 29, 24Vasco DA Gama – Atletico Paranaense2-1
  • Aug 27, 24Vasco DA Gama – Atletico Paranaense2-1
  • May 5, 24Atletico Paranaense – Vasco DA Gama1-0
  • Nov 25, 23Atletico Paranaense – Vasco DA Gama0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense
Played2526
Goals Scored2738
Goals Conceded4028
Avg Scored1.11.5
Avg Conceded1.61.1
Clean Sheets28

Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico Paranaense — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a tight contest where Vasco's home fires burn brighter than Atletico's defensive wall. A single goal may decide the fate.

Vasco DA Gama is predicted to win or draw based on market odds and API model advice.

Form Analysis: Vasco DA Gama has a 3-match unbeaten streak with 2 clean sheets, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. Atletico Paranaense also has a 3-match unbeaten streak but has failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, despite 3 clean sheets. Vasco's attack is more consistent.

Key Factors: Atletico Paranaense's strong defense (3 clean sheets) is offset by their scoring struggles. Vasco has home advantage and a slight edge in H2H (3 wins in last 10). Both teams have minor injury doubts, but no key players confirmed out.

Conclusion: Market odds favor Vasco (49% home win), and the API model suggests a double chance on Vasco. With Atletico's defensive solidity but offensive issues, a low-scoring home win or draw is most likely.

Win Probabilities: Vasco DA Gama: 46% · Draw: 30% · Atletico Paranaense: 24%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Vasco DA Gama wins: 3 · Draws: 2 · Atletico Paranaense wins: 5

Form (latest first): Vasco DA Gama: WDLWW · Atletico Paranaense: DLDWD

  • Cauan Barros vs Atletico defense: Vasco's top scorer faces a defense that has kept 3 clean sheets recently.
  • K. Viveros vs Vasco defense: Atletico's leading scorer must break through a Vasco defense that has conceded 0.8 per game.
  • Adson vs Atletico midfield: Vasco's creative midfielder will look to unlock a compact Atletico setup.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 2014:00
Palmeiras
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 2019:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 2019:00
Cruzeiro
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 2021:30
RB Bragantino
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Sep 2022:30
Bahia
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Oct 722:30
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 722:30
Gremio
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Oct 723:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%

Betting Tips

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