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  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado

Result • Primera División·Defensor Sporting·Deportivo Maldonado

Primera División
Primera División
Sep 13, 2026
19:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
12.70
X3.00
22.50
Stadium
Estadio Luis Franzini
medium Confidence
Deportivo Maldonado

Deportivo Maldonado

Away
Odds
12.70
X3.00
22.50
Stadium
Estadio Luis Franzini
Win Probabilities
29%
Defensor Sporting
26%
Draw
45%
Deportivo Maldonado
Home2.7029%
Draw3.0026%
Away2.5045%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Deportivo Maldonado are favoured at 48%; our projected score is 0-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera División fixture between Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Defensor Sporting a 29% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Deportivo Maldonado a 45% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 46%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 46%

Match Events

  1. 18'
    Yellow Card: M. GonzalezDeportivo Maldonado
    Yellow Card: M. Gonzalez
  2. 21'
    Yellow Card: C. TaboDeportivo Maldonado
    Yellow Card: C. Tabo
  3. 38'
    Yellow Card: G. LarrazabalDeportivo Maldonado
    Yellow Card: G. Larrazabal
  4. 46'
    Substitution: N. FuicaDeportivo Maldonado · Out: H. Menosse
    Substitution: N. FuicaOut: H. Menosse
  5. Substitution: N. ScottiOut: A. Torterolo
    64'
    Substitution: N. ScottiDefensor Sporting · Out: A. Torterolo
  6. Substitution: T. A. PozzoOut: N. Wunsch
    70'
    Substitution: T. A. PozzoDefensor Sporting · Out: N. Wunsch
  7. Substitution: E. CuelloOut: G. Barrios
    70'
    Substitution: E. CuelloDefensor Sporting · Out: G. Barrios
  8. 73'
    Substitution: L. NunezDeportivo Maldonado · Out: G. Larrazabal
    Substitution: L. NunezOut: G. Larrazabal
  9. 73'
    Substitution: C. MayadaDeportivo Maldonado · Out: M. Gonzalez
    Substitution: C. MayadaOut: M. Gonzalez
  10. 80'
    Yellow Card: S. CartagenaDeportivo Maldonado
    Yellow Card: S. Cartagena
  11. Missed penalty: L. de los SantosMissed penalty
    80'
    Missed penalty: L. de los SantosDefensor Sporting · Missed penalty
  12. Goal: B. Montenegro
    80'
    Goal: B. MontenegroDefensor Sporting
  13. 80'
    Substitution: G. SosaDeportivo Maldonado · Out: C. Tabo
    Substitution: G. SosaOut: C. Tabo
  14. Yellow Card: E. Elizalde
    84'
    Yellow Card: E. ElizaldeDefensor Sporting
  15. Substitution: J. DiazOut: B. Montenegro
    88'
    Substitution: J. DiazDefensor Sporting · Out: B. Montenegro
  16. Substitution: M. RabunalOut: G. Rodriguez
    89'
    Substitution: M. RabunalDefensor Sporting · Out: G. Rodriguez
  17. 89'
    Substitution: L. IbanezDeportivo Maldonado · Out: S. Ramirez
    Substitution: L. IbanezOut: S. Ramirez
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · Defensor SportingInjuries · Deportivo MaldonadoLive scores →

Statistical Context

Defensor Sporting

DLLLW
  • DOct 24, 26H · Racing Montevideo3-3
  • LOct 17, 26A · Boston River1-0
  • LOct 10, 26H · Cerro2-3
  • LOct 3, 26A · Albion FC3-2
  • WSep 27, 26H · Danubio1-0

Deportivo Maldonado

WLDWW
  • WOct 24, 26H · Danubio2-1
  • LOct 19, 26A · Club Nacional3-2
  • DOct 9, 26H · Liverpool Montevideo1-1
  • WOct 3, 26H · Central Espanol3-0
  • WSep 27, 26A · Atletico Torque0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Club Nacional12+523LWWWW
4Deportivo Maldonado12+821WLDWW
5Penarol12+821DLDWD
14Cerro Largo12-59WDLLL
15Defensor Sporting12-99DLLLW
16Central Espanol12-155LLLLL

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado — Match Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado are favoured at 48%; our projected score is 0-1.

Defensor Sporting host Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División on Sunday, 13 September 2026. Our model makes Deportivo Maldonado the favourite at 48%, with the draw at 26% and Defensor Sporting at 26%.

Form and league position

Defensor Sporting sit 15th of 16 with 2 points from 5 games (3 scored, 10 conceded). Deportivo Maldonado sit 6th of 16 with 8 points from 5 games (6 scored, 4 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.0–1.2, about 2.2 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 46%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Defensor Sporting at 2.92, the draw at 3.00 and Deportivo Maldonado at 2.35; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Deportivo Maldonado to win (48%), most likely score 0-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Defensor Sporting: 29% · Draw: 26% · Deportivo Maldonado: 45%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (11.5% chance)

Over 2.5: 38% · Under 2.5: 62% · BTTS: 46%

Form (latest first): Defensor Sporting: DLLLW · Deportivo Maldonado: WLDWW

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Primera División

Primera División

Uruguay8 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Racing Montevideo
Oct 3113:00
Cerro Largo
11.6162%
X4.7621%
25.8817%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Cerro
Oct 3116:00
Central Espanol
12.0050%
X3.8526%
24.1724%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Penarol
Oct 3119:30
Wanderers
11.4768%
X5.2619%
27.6913%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Progreso
Nov 113:00
Defensor Sporting
12.2744%
X3.8526%
23.3330%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Boston River
Nov 116:00
Atletico Torque
13.7027%
X3.7027%
22.1746%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Danubio
Nov 119:30
Club Nacional
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Albion FC
Nov 123:00
Deportivo Maldonado
13.2331%
X3.8526%
22.3343%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Liverpool Montevideo
Nov 223:00
Juventud
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%

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