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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Europa League
  3. AZ Alkmaar vs Sturm Graz

AZ Alkmaar vs Sturm Graz

Prediction • UEFA Europa League·AZ Alkmaar·Sturm Graz

UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League
Sep 16, 2026
19:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
AFAS Stadion
Early projection · Odds pending
Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

Away
Stadium
AFAS Stadion
Win Probabilities
63%
AZ Alkmaar
18%
Draw
19%
Sturm Graz
Home1.5963%
Draw5.5618%
Away5.2619%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

AZ Alkmaar are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a solid defence that has kept three clean sheets in their last five games. The main risk is their lengthy injury list, which could disrupt their usual cohesion and allow Sturm Graz to capitalise on any defensive lapses.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0AZ Alkmaar
/10
4.0Sturm Graz
AZ Alkmaar
FormLatest first
WWWDD
Win Rate60%
Sturm Graz
FormLatest first
DWLWL
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageAZ Alkmaar+2.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

D
Alexandre Penetra
7.5

Alexandre Penetra

AZ Alkmaar

VS
Tomi Horvat
8.6

Tomi Horvat

Sturm Graz

5ATT25
100TEC100
50TAC100
29DEF47
15CRE100

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
6/10
Over 2.5 Goals
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1.6
Avg Scored
1.0
Defense
3/10
Clean Sheets
2/10
1.6
Avg Conceded
1.7
Match Flow
6/10
Scored First
3/10
1.5
Avg Cards
1.8
6.6
Avg Corners
5.4

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

AZ Alkmaar
Home

AZ Alkmaar

Form
WWW
Latest first
19
Pos
11
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Five-match winning streak
  • Strong defensive record with three clean sheets in last five
  • High scoring average of three goals per game
M. de Wit
Injury
Injured
E. Dijkstra
Injury
Injured
J. Hornkamp
Ankle Injury
Injured
D. Kasius
Groin Injury
Injured
J. Clasie
Injury
Injured
M. Sin
Injury
Injured
S. Resink
Knee Injury
Injured
T. Parrott
Inactive
Injured
A. Natali
Inactive
Injured
R. Robbemond
Inactive
Injured

No Previous Meetings

These teams haven't faced each other in recent history

AZ Alkmaar4-2-3-1vs4-4-2Sturm GrazPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Holding midfielders vs two strikers. Defensive solidity tested.

Sturm GrazSturm Graz4-4-2
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar4-2-3-1
Sturm GrazBenchSturm Graz7
AZ AlkmaarBenchAZ Alkmaar7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

AZ Alkmaar

10Out

10 key players

AZ Alkmaar

Team

AZ Alkmaar

Players Out

10(10 key)
M. de Wit

M. de Wit

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Dijkstra

E. Dijkstra

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Hornkamp

J. Hornkamp

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

D. Kasius

D. Kasius

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Clasie

J. Clasie

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Sin

M. Sin

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Resink

S. Resink

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

T. Parrott

T. Parrott

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A. Natali

A. Natali

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

R. Robbemond

R. Robbemond

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

AZ Alkmaar

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

63%AZ Alkmaar
18%Draw
19%Sturm Graz

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffWed, Sep 16 · 19:00
StadiumAFAS Stadion
League StatsUEFA Europa League

Statistical Context

AZ Alkmaar

WWWDD
  • WAug 22, 26A · Fortuna Sittard0-2
  • WAug 15, 26A · Utrecht1-4
  • WAug 8, 26H · ADO Den Haag2-0
  • DMay 17, 26H · NAC Breda3-3
  • DMay 10, 26A · Feyenoord1-1

Sturm Graz

DWLWL
  • DAug 22, 26H · Austria Lustenau1-1
  • WAug 15, 26H · SCR Altach1-0
  • LAug 11, 26H · Fenerbahçe0-1
  • WAug 8, 26A · TSV Hartberg0-2
  • LAug 5, 26A · Fenerbahçe2-0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AZ AlkmaarSturm Graz
Over 2.5 Goals6/107/10
Both Teams Scored6/108/10
Clean Sheets3/102/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

AZ Alkmaar

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 28GJ. De Busser
  2. 5DM. Chávez
  3. 13DS. de Grand
  4. 3DW. Goes
  5. 31DR. Ichihara
  6. 6MP. Koopmeiners
  7. 21MD. Kwakman
  8. 10MK. Smit
  9. 75MH. de Wit
  10. 11MR. Daal
  11. 45AB. Kovacs

Coach: M. Martens

Sturm Graz

Formation 4-4-2
  1. 22GA. Helac
  2. 27DL. Balbo
  3. 30DP. Koller
  4. 23DA. Malic
  5. 21DP. Petrović
  6. 4MJ. Gorenc Stankovič
  7. 40MJ. Halwachs
  8. 43MJacob Peter Hödl
  9. 15MG. Mamageishvili
  10. 26AB. Beganović
  11. 20AS. Jatta

Coach: F. Ingolitsch

AZ Alkmaar vs Sturm Graz — Expert Prediction & Analysis

AZ Alkmaar are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a solid defence that has kept three clean sheets in their last five games. The main risk is their lengthy injury list, which could disrupt their usual cohesion and allow Sturm Graz to capitalise on any defensive lapses.

AZ Alkmaar enter this Europa League clash as clear favourites, backed by a formidable five-match winning streak and a solid defensive record. Sturm Graz, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency, with just one win in their last five outings and a worrying tendency to fail in front of goal.…

Win Probabilities: AZ Alkmaar: 63% · Draw: 18% · Sturm Graz: 19%

Form (latest first): AZ Alkmaar: WWWDD · Sturm Graz: DWLWL

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