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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Luxembourg vs Malta

Luxembourg vs Malta

Result • UEFA Nations League·Luxembourg·Malta

UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League
Mar 31, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Luxembourg

Luxembourg

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.67
X3.80
25.25
Stadium
Stade de Luxembourg
high Confidence
Malta

Malta

Away
Odds
11.67
X3.80
25.25
Stadium
Stade de Luxembourg
Win Probabilities
57%
Luxembourg
25%
Draw
18%
Malta
Home1.6757%
Draw3.8025%
Away5.2518%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Luxembourg's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Malta, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this UEFA Nations League fixture between Luxembourg and Malta using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Luxembourg a 57% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Malta a 18% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. Goal: V. ThillAssist: D. Sinani
    20'
    Goal: V. ThillLuxembourg · Assist: D. Sinani
  2. Yellow Card: D. Sinani
    27'
    Yellow Card: D. SinaniLuxembourg
  3. 29'
    Yellow Card: J. MbongMalta
    Yellow Card: J. Mbong
  4. Missed penalty: D. SinaniMissed penalty
    45+3'
    Missed penalty: D. SinaniLuxembourg · Missed penalty
  5. 46'
    Substitution: J. C. CorbalanMalta · Out: R. Camenzuli
    Substitution: J. C. CorbalanOut: R. Camenzuli
  6. Yellow Card: F. Bohnert
    46'
    Yellow Card: F. BohnertLuxembourg
  7. Goal: D. SinaniAssist: L. Barreiro
    51'
    Goal: D. SinaniLuxembourg · Assist: L. Barreiro
  8. Substitution: E. MahmutovicOut: F. Bohnert
    57'
    Substitution: E. MahmutovicLuxembourg · Out: F. Bohnert
  9. Substitution: S. ThillOut: L. Barreiro
    57'
    Substitution: S. ThillLuxembourg · Out: L. Barreiro
  10. 62'
    Substitution: J. BorgMalta · Out: E. Pepe
    Substitution: J. BorgOut: E. Pepe
  11. 62'
    Substitution: K. EwurumMalta · Out: P. Mbong
    Substitution: K. EwurumOut: P. Mbong
  12. 64'
    Yellow Card: J. MbongMalta
    Yellow Card: J. Mbong
  13. 64'
    Red Card: J. MbongMalta
    Red Card: J. Mbong
  14. Yellow Card: M. Olesen
    66'
    Yellow Card: M. OlesenLuxembourg
  15. Substitution: Y. Borges SanchesOut: M. Olesen
    68'
    Substitution: Y. Borges SanchesLuxembourg · Out: M. Olesen
  16. Substitution: T. de SousaOut: V. Thill
    68'
    Substitution: T. de SousaLuxembourg · Out: V. Thill
  17. Goal: T. de SousaAssist: S. Korac
    70'
    Goal: T. de SousaLuxembourg · Assist: S. Korac
  18. 74'
    Substitution: M. BeermanMalta · Out: Z. Muscat
    Substitution: M. BeermanOut: Z. Muscat
  19. Substitution: J. VideiraOut: A. Dardari
    78'
    Substitution: J. VideiraLuxembourg · Out: A. Dardari
  20. 82'
    Substitution: A. OverendMalta · Out: Y. Chouaref
    Substitution: A. OverendOut: Y. Chouaref
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N/A vs N/A: Key midfield battle in a 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1 setup, with Luxembourg's midfield trio aiming to control possession against Malta's double pivot.
2N/A vs N/A: Defensive matchup where Luxembourg's backline must contain Malta's lone striker in a 4-2-3-1, given Malta's offensive struggles.
3N/A vs N/A: Wing play battle, as Luxembourg's 4-3-3 wide attackers face Malta's full-backs in a system that may prioritize defensive solidity.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Luxembourg

  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Current win streak of 1
  • Poor offensive output, failing to score in 4 of last 5 games
  • Low average goals scored at 0.4 per game

Malta

  • Slightly higher average goals scored at 0.8 per game compared to Luxembourg
  • Defensive resilience with 1 clean sheet in last 5 games
  • Current 2-loss streak indicating poor momentum
  • High average goals conceded at 2.6 per game
Head-to-head →Injuries · LuxembourgInjuries · MaltaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Luxembourg

W
  • WMar 26, 26A · Malta0-2

Malta

L
  • LMar 26, 26H · Luxembourg0-2

Head to Head

1
Luxembourg
0
Draws
1
Malta
  • Jun 9, 23Luxembourg – Malta0-1
  • Mar 22, 18Malta – Luxembourg0-1

Luxembourg vs Malta — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Luxembourg's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Malta, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Luxembourg is predicted to win this match, with a 57% probability from bookmaker odds and support from the API-Football model's predicted winner. The market and model align on Luxembourg as the favorite, though with some disagreement on exact probabilities.

Form Analysis: Luxembourg shows a current win streak of 1, with an average of 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per game over their last 5 matches, including 1 clean sheet. Malta is on a 2-loss streak, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded per game, with 1 clean sheet. Both teams have struggled offensively, with Luxembourg failing to score in 4 of their last 5 games and Malta in 2 of their last 5.

Key Factors: 1. Luxembourg's home advantage with a rating of 0.55 provides a slight edge. 2. Malta's poor form with consecutive losses and higher defensive vulnerability. 3. The head-to-head record is balanced at 1 win each, but current momentum favors Luxembourg.

Conclusion: The data indicates Luxembourg is more likely to secure a victory, supported by home advantage and Malta's recent struggles, though offensive inefficiencies from both sides suggest a low-scoring affair.

Win Probabilities: Luxembourg: 57% · Draw: 25% · Malta: 18%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 30% · Under 2.5: 70% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Luxembourg wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Malta wins: 1

Form (latest first): Luxembourg: W · Malta: L

  • N/A vs N/A: Key midfield battle in a 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1 setup, with Luxembourg's midfield trio aiming to control possession against Malta's double pivot.
  • N/A vs N/A: Defensive matchup where Luxembourg's backline must contain Malta's lone striker in a 4-2-3-1, given Malta's offensive struggles.
  • N/A vs N/A: Wing play battle, as Luxembourg's 4-3-3 wide attackers face Malta's full-backs in a system that may prioritize defensive solidity.

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UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

World15 · Upcoming Fixtures
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Andorra
Sep 2416:00
Malta
13.5728%
X2.9434%
22.6338%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Serbia
Sep 2418:45
Greece
12.7037%
X3.4529%
22.9434%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Portugal
Sep 2418:45
Wales
11.3574%
X5.2619%
214.297%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Austria
Sep 2418:45
Israel
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Norway
Sep 2418:45
Denmark
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Liechtenstein
Sep 2418:45
Lithuania
19.0911%
X5.2619%
21.4370%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Kosovo
Sep 2418:45
Rep. Of Ireland
13.1332%
X3.3330%
22.6338%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Netherlands
Sep 2418:45
Germany
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Armenia
Sep 2516:00
Latvia
11.9651%
X3.3330%
25.2619%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Georgia
Sep 2516:00
Northern Ireland
12.1746%
X3.4529%
24.0025%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Sweden
Sep 2518:45
Romania
11.6760%
X4.0025%
26.6715%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Poland
Sep 2518:45
Bosnia & Herzegovina
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Italy
Sep 2518:45
Belgium
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Hungary
Sep 2518:45
Ukraine
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Türkiye
Sep 2518:45
France
14.5522%
X4.0025%
21.8953%

Betting Tips

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