Tottenham are clear favourites for this EFL Cup tie, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities heavily favouring the home side. Despite a recent loss, their overall squad quality and home advantage at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium give them a decisive edge.
Form Analysis: Charlton arrive on a three-match winning streak, scoring 3 goals and conceding 1 in their last two outings, with a 100% win rate in that period. Tottenham, however, have lost their most recent match and have only kept one clean sheet in their last five. While Charlton's momentum is notable, the gap in league level and squad depth is significant.
Key Factors: Tottenham's injury list is extensive, with eight players unavailable, including key figures like M. van de Ven, P. M. Sarr, P. Porro, D. Solanke, and D. Kulusevski. This could disrupt their usual rhythm. Charlton also have five injuries, but their squad is less affected relative to their depth. Home advantage, with a rating of 0.55, further tilts the balance in Tottenham's favour.
Conclusion: Despite Charlton's form and Tottenham's injury woes, the quality gap and home advantage should see Tottenham through. The most likely outcome is a home win, though Charlton's resilience could make it a competitive contest.
