Alebrijes de Oaxaca host Durango in the Liga de Expansión MX on Friday, 11 September 2026. Our model makes Alebrijes de Oaxaca the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 26% and Durango at 34%.
Form and league position
Alebrijes de Oaxaca sit 13th of 16 with 7 points from 7 games (6 scored, 12 conceded). Durango sit 12th of 16 with 8 points from 7 games (4 scored, 8 conceded).
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.1–1.0, about 2.1 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 44%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
The market has not priced this fixture yet. Until odds arrive the probabilities come from the team-strength model and are re-anchored automatically once bookmakers open the match.
Prediction
Alebrijes de Oaxaca to win (40%), most likely score 1-0.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
