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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas

Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas

Result • Liga MX·Monterrey·Guadalajara Chivas

Liga MX
Liga MX
Mar 22, 2026
01:05
low Confidence
Monterrey

Monterrey

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.40
X3.50
22.10
Stadium
Estadio BBVA
low Confidence
WINNER
Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas

Away
Odds
13.40
X3.50
22.10
Stadium
Estadio BBVA
Win Probabilities
28%
Monterrey
27%
Draw
45%
Guadalajara Chivas
Home3.4028%
Draw3.5027%
Away2.1045%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Guadalajara Chivas's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga MX fixture between Monterrey and Guadalajara Chivas using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Monterrey a 28% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Guadalajara Chivas a 45% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 18'
    Goal: A. GonzalezGuadalajara Chivas · Assist: A. Sepulveda
    Goal: A. GonzalezAssist: A. Sepulveda
  2. 37'
    Yellow Card: O. GoveaGuadalajara Chivas
    Yellow Card: O. Govea
  3. Yellow Card: C. Salcedo
    45+3'
    Yellow Card: C. SalcedoMonterrey
  4. 46'
    Goal: J. CastilloGuadalajara Chivas · Assist: B. Gonzalez
    Goal: J. CastilloAssist: B. Gonzalez
  5. 55'
    Goal: B. GonzalezGuadalajara Chivas · Assist: R. Ledezma
    Goal: B. GonzalezAssist: R. Ledezma
  6. Substitution: O. TorresOut: F. Ambriz
    59'
    Substitution: O. TorresMonterrey · Out: F. Ambriz
  7. Substitution: C. BustosOut: C. Reyes
    59'
    Substitution: C. BustosMonterrey · Out: C. Reyes
  8. 61'
    Substitution: B. GutierrezGuadalajara Chivas · Out: R. Alvarado
    Substitution: B. GutierrezOut: R. Alvarado
  9. 61'
    Substitution: R. MarinGuadalajara Chivas · Out: A. Sepulveda
    Substitution: R. MarinOut: A. Sepulveda
  10. 68'
    Substitution: M. GomezGuadalajara Chivas · Out: R. Ledezma
    Substitution: M. GomezOut: R. Ledezma
  11. 68'
    Substitution: S. SandovalGuadalajara Chivas · Out: A. Gonzalez
    Substitution: S. SandovalOut: A. Gonzalez
  12. Substitution: O. GalvezOut: R. de la Rosa
    76'
    Substitution: O. GalvezMonterrey · Out: R. de la Rosa
  13. Substitution: J. MoxicaOut: L. Orellano
    76'
    Substitution: J. MoxicaMonterrey · Out: L. Orellano
  14. 76'
    Substitution: E. AlvarezGuadalajara Chivas · Out: O. Govea
    Substitution: E. AlvarezOut: O. Govea
  15. 84'
    Yellow Card: D. AguirreGuadalajara Chivas
    Yellow Card: D. Aguirre
  16. Goal: U. DjurdjevicAssist: R. Chavez
    88'
    Goal: U. DjurdjevicMonterrey · Assist: R. Chavez
  17. Goal: R. ChavezAssist: O. Torres
    90+4'
    Goal: R. ChavezMonterrey · Assist: O. Torres
  18. 90+5'
    Yellow Card: B. GutierrezGuadalajara Chivas
    Yellow Card: B. Gutierrez
  19. Missed penalty: U. DjurdjevicMissed penalty
    90+8'
    Missed penalty: U. DjurdjevicMonterrey · Missed penalty
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1G. Berterame vs Guadalajara Chivas defense: Berterame's scoring ability against a strong defensive unit
2Sergio Canales vs Guadalajara Chivas midfield: Canales' creativity in midfield battle
3Monterrey defense vs Guadalajara Chivas attack: Monterrey's defensive weaknesses against high-scoring opponent
Strengths · Weaknesses

Monterrey

  • Strong home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Key players like G. Berterame and Sergio Canales with high goal contributions
  • Poor recent form with DLWLL and a 2-draw streak
  • Lower league standing at 9th place with 14 points

Guadalajara Chivas

  • Top of the league with 27 points and +13 GD
  • Excellent recent form with a 3-win streak
  • Balanced head-to-head record with 4 wins each
  • No significant injuries reported, but form includes 2 losses in last 5
Head-to-head →Injuries · MonterreyInjuries · Guadalajara Chivas

Statistical Context

Monterrey

DLLWW
  • DSep 13, 26H · Tigres UANL0-0
  • LAug 31, 26H · Atletico San Luis1-3
  • LAug 22, 26A · Leon2-0
  • WAug 16, 26H · FC Juarez6-1
  • WAug 2, 26A · Atlas0-2

Guadalajara Chivas

WWDWW
  • WSep 14, 26H · U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · Atletico San Luis0-3
  • DAug 29, 26A · CF Pachuca1-1
  • WAug 22, 26H · Club Tijuana5-2
  • WAug 17, 26A · Santos Laguna0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Guadalajara Chivas8+917WWDWW
2Toluca7+1116WWWDW
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas8-111LWLDD
12Monterrey7+310DLLWW
13Necaxa8-48LDLDL

Head to Head

4
Monterrey
2
Draws
4
Guadalajara Chivas
  • Nov 8, 25Guadalajara Chivas – Monterrey4-2
  • Apr 6, 25Monterrey – Guadalajara Chivas3-1
  • Sep 29, 24Guadalajara Chivas – Monterrey1-1
  • Mar 31, 24Monterrey – Guadalajara Chivas0-2
  • Sep 3, 23Guadalajara Chivas – Monterrey1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

MonterreyGuadalajara Chivas
Played67
Goals Scored1312
Goals Conceded106
Avg Scored2.21.7
Avg Conceded1.70.9
Clean Sheets13

Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Guadalajara Chivas's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the structured data, Guadalajara Chivas is predicted to win this match, with a 45% probability, aligning with both market and model probabilities.

Form Analysis: Monterrey has a form of DLWLL, with a 2-draw streak, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, and 1 clean sheet in the last 5. Guadalajara Chivas has a form of WWWLL, with a 3-win streak, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, and 2 clean sheets in the last 5.

Key Factors: 1. Guadalajara Chivas leads the league standings in 1st place with 27 points and a +13 GD, compared to Monterrey in 9th place with 14 points and a +4 GD, indicating a significant quality difference. 2. Guadalajara Chivas is on a 3-win streak, showing strong recent momentum. 3. The head-to-head record is balanced with 4 wins each and 2 draws, but current form and standings favor Guadalajara Chivas.

Conclusion: The data supports Guadalajara Chivas as the favorite due to superior league position, better recent form, and momentum, despite Monterrey's home advantage and historical head-to-head parity.

Win Probabilities: Monterrey: 28% · Draw: 27% · Guadalajara Chivas: 45%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Monterrey wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Guadalajara Chivas wins: 4

Form (latest first): Monterrey: DLLWW · Guadalajara Chivas: WWDWW

  • G. Berterame vs Guadalajara Chivas defense: Berterame's scoring ability against a strong defensive unit
  • Sergio Canales vs Guadalajara Chivas midfield: Canales' creativity in midfield battle
  • Monterrey defense vs Guadalajara Chivas attack: Monterrey's defensive weaknesses against high-scoring opponent

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Sep 1601:00
Toluca
16.2516%
X3.7027%
21.7557%
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Sep 1901:00
Atlante FC
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Sep 1903:00
Tigres UANL
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Sep 1923:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Sep 1923:00
Necaxa
12.8635%
X3.1332%
23.0333%
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Sep 2001:00
Cruz Azul
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Sep 2003:00
Guadalajara Chivas
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Sep 2100:00
Santos Laguna
11.3276%
X5.5618%
216.676%
Liga MXMexico
CF Pachuca
Sep 2100:00
Club Tijuana
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
Liga MXMexico
Club Queretaro
Sep 2102:00
Leon
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Sep 2601:00
Monterrey
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Sep 2603:00
Atlas
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Sep 2623:00
Toluca
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Sep 2623:07
Club Queretaro
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Sep 2701:00
Puebla
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%

Betting Tips

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