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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Toluca vs Santos Laguna

Toluca vs Santos Laguna

Prediction • Liga MX·Toluca·Santos Laguna

Liga MX
Liga MX
Sep 21, 2026
00:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Toluca

Toluca

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

Away
Win Probabilities
83%
Toluca
12%
Draw
5%
Santos Laguna
Home1.2083%
Draw8.3312%
Away20.005%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Toluca are clear favourites, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a 12-place gap in the standings. Santos Laguna's five-game losing streak and poor defensive record make an upset highly unlikely.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Toluca
/10
0.0Santos Laguna
Toluca
FormLatest first
WWDWL
Win Rate60%
Santos Laguna
FormLatest first
DLLLL
Win Rate0%
Momentum AdvantageToluca+6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Toluca
Home

Toluca

Form
LWDWW
Latest first
2
Pos
35
Pts
+4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 5 matches)

Clean Sheets240%
Goal Diff+4
  • Strong recent form with 60% win rate
  • Solid defense conceding only 0.6 goals per game
  • Dominant head-to-head record against Santos Laguna

Key Players

J. Gallardo
J. Gallardo
7.2
Goals
1
Assists
0
Helinho
Helinho
7.9
Goals
0
Assists
1

Head to Head

Last 10
Toluca
Toluca
8Wins
0
Draws
Santos Laguna
2Wins
Santos Laguna
80%0%20%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan152026
TolucaToluca
3-1
Win
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
Jul172025
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
2-4
Win
TolucaToluca
Apr72025
TolucaToluca
2-1
Win
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
Sep232024
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
2-0
Loss
TolucaToluca
Feb222024
TolucaToluca
1-0
Win
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
Nov62023
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
3-1
Loss
TolucaToluca
Feb242023
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
0-5
Win
TolucaToluca
Oct172022
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
1-2
Win
TolucaToluca
Oct142022
TolucaToluca
4-3
Win
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
Jul232022
TolucaToluca
2-1
Win
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Toluca 3 - 1 Santos Laguna

Jan 15, 2026

35% / 33% / 32%

Toluca4-2-3-1vs3-4-1-2Santos LagunaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna3-4-1-2
TolucaToluca4-2-3-1
Santos LagunaBenchSantos Laguna7
TolucaBenchToluca7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga MX

League Statistics

Liga MX • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Club America
Club America
6510122+1016
2
Toluca
TolucaHome
6411124+813
3
Club Tijuana
Club Tijuana
6411107+313
4
Atlas
Atlas
640298+112
5
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas
632196+311
6
Club Queretaro
Club Queretaro
631297+210
7
Leon
Leon
631286+210
8
Puebla
Puebla
631299010
9
Monterrey
Monterrey
63031310+39
10
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
6303111109
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
62228808
12
Necaxa
Necaxa
6213811-37
13
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
6132810-26
14
Atlante FC
Atlante FC
613268-26
15
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
61238805
16
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
6123810-25
17
Santos Laguna
Santos LagunaAway
6015411-71
18
FC Juarez
FC Juarez
6006319-160
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Toluca

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

83%Toluca
12%Draw
5%Santos Laguna

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffMon, Sep 21 · 00:00
League StatsLiga MX

Statistical Context

Toluca

WWDWL
  • WAug 31, 26H · FC Juarez4-0
  • WAug 22, 26A · Club Queretaro1-2
  • DAug 15, 26A · Atlante FC0-0
  • WAug 3, 26H · Necaxa3-1
  • LJul 22, 26H · U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-2

Santos Laguna

DLLLL
  • DAug 30, 26H · Tigres UANL0-0
  • LAug 23, 26A · Puebla3-2
  • LAug 17, 26H · Guadalajara Chivas0-1
  • LAug 2, 26A · Club America3-0
  • LJul 26, 26H · Atlas0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Club America6+1016WWWWD
2Toluca6+813WWDWL
3Club Tijuana6+313WLWDW
16Tigres UANL6-25DWLLD
17Santos Laguna6-71DLLLL
18FC Juarez6-160LLLLL

Head to Head

8
Toluca
0
Draws
2
Santos Laguna
  • Jan 15, 26Toluca – Santos Laguna3-1
  • Jul 17, 25Santos Laguna – Toluca2-4
  • Apr 7, 25Toluca – Santos Laguna2-1
  • Sep 23, 24Santos Laguna – Toluca2-0
  • Feb 22, 24Toluca – Santos Laguna1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

TolucaSantos Laguna
Played55
Goals Scored84
Goals Conceded411
Avg Scored1.60.8
Avg Conceded0.82.2
Clean Sheets20

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

TolucaSantos Laguna
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Toluca

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 12GR. Beltrán
  2. 184DSebastian Aceves
  3. 2DD. Barbosa
  4. 3DA. Briseño
  5. 4DB. Méndez
  6. 10MJ. Angulo
  7. 24MF. Arce
  8. 8MN. Castro
  9. 7MV. Guzmán
  10. 192ML. Navarrete
  11. 16AF. Viñas

Coach: R. La Volpe

Santos Laguna

Formation 3-4-1-2
  1. 1GC. Acevedo
  2. 4DJ. Abella
  3. 3DM. Cuevas
  4. 17DE. Echeverría
  5. 14ME. Orona
  6. 10ME. Bullaude
  7. 193MLuis Gómez
  8. 6MJ. Güémez
  9. 5MA. López
  10. 19AE. Aguirre
  11. 24AD. Medina

Coach: I. Ambriz

Toluca vs Santos Laguna — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Toluca are clear favourites, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a 12-place gap in the standings. Santos Laguna's five-game losing streak and poor defensive record make an upset highly unlikely.

Toluca enter this match as clear favourites, backed by a dominant league position, superior form, and a strong head-to-head record. The data points overwhelmingly in their favour, with the API model and team comparison both reinforcing their status.…

Win Probabilities: Toluca: 83% · Draw: 12% · Santos Laguna: 5%

H2H: Toluca wins: 8 · Draws: 0 · Santos Laguna wins: 2

Form (latest first): Toluca: WWDWL · Santos Laguna: DLLLL

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Sep 501:00
Toluca
15.8817%
X3.7027%
21.7956%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Sep 503:00
CF Pachuca
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Queretaro
Sep 523:00
Monterrey
14.0025%
X3.3330%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Sep 523:00
Guadalajara Chivas
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Sep 601:00
Necaxa
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Sep 601:00
Club Tijuana
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Sep 603:00
Atlante FC
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Sep 618:00
Leon
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Sep 702:00
Santos Laguna
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Sep 1201:00
Puebla
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Sep 1203:00
Club Queretaro
Early projection
11.7557%
X4.7621%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Sep 1203:00
CF Pachuca
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Leon
Sep 1223:00
Atletico San Luis
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Sep 1301:00
Atlas
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Sep 1301:00
Club America
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.5618%
21.5963%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access