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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Universitario vs FBC Melgar

Universitario vs FBC Melgar

Prediction • Liga 1·Universitario·FBC Melgar

Liga 1
Liga 1
Oct 10, 2026
20:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Universitario

Universitario

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Monumental
Early projection · Odds pending
FBC Melgar

FBC Melgar

Away
Stadium
Estadio Monumental
Win Probabilities
54%
Universitario
21%
Draw
25%
FBC Melgar
Home1.8554%
Draw4.7621%
Away4.0025%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Universitario are narrow favourites at the Estadio Monumental, supported by a five-match unbeaten run, a strong home record and head-to-head superiority over FBC Melgar. The main risk is Melgar's defensive resilience and the scoring threat of B. Cuesta and J. Vidales, which could turn this into a tight, low-margin contest.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Universitario vs FBC Melgar.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0Universitario
/10
6.0FBC Melgar
Universitario
FormLatest first
WDWWW
Win Rate80%
FBC Melgar
FormLatest first
WWLDW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageUniversitario+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Universitario
Home

Universitario

Form
WWWDW
Latest first
1
Pos
39
Pts
+15
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 25 matches)

Clean Sheets832%
Goal Diff+15
  • Five-match unbeaten streak with 2.6 goals scored per game
  • Strong home record of 9W-2D-2L across 13 home fixtures
  • Head-to-head superiority over FBC Melgar in recent meetings

Key Players

A. Valera
A. Valera
6.9
Goals
9
Assists
1
J. Concha
J. Concha
7.5
Goals
2
Assists
5
W. Riveros
W. Riveros
6.7
Goals
1
Assists
0

Head to Head

Last 10
Universitario
Universitario
6Wins
1
Draws
FBC Melgar
3Wins
FBC Melgar
60%10%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr192026
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
2-1
Loss
UniversitarioUniversitario
Jan202026
UniversitarioUniversitario
3-2
Win
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
Sep142025
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
1-2
Win
UniversitarioUniversitario
Apr142025
UniversitarioUniversitario
4-1
Win
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
Aug12024
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
1-0
Loss
UniversitarioUniversitario
Feb182024
UniversitarioUniversitario
2-0
Win
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
Aug62023
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
0-1
Win
UniversitarioUniversitario
Mar52023
UniversitarioUniversitario
1-0
Win
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
Oct162022
UniversitarioUniversitario
1-1
Draw
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
May292022
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
2-0
Loss
UniversitarioUniversitario

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

FBC Melgar 2 - 1 Universitario

Apr 19, 2026

34% / 33% / 33%

Universitario3-5-2vs4-2-3-1FBC MelgarPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Midfield battle favors home. Back three vs lone striker advantage.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga 1

League Statistics

Liga 1 • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Universitario
UniversitarioHome
96211912+720
2
Deportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo Garcilaso
9612146+819
3
FBC Melgar
FBC MelgarAway
9522158+717
4
Sport Boys
Sport Boys
9522136+717
5
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
9513179+816
6
Atletico Grau
Atletico Grau
95131310+316
7
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico
95131816+216
8
Sport Huancayo
Sport Huancayo
95131311+216
9
Cusco
Cusco
95041713+415
10
Juan Pablo II College
Juan Pablo II College
94321612+415
11
Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
93421210+213
12
FC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
93151722-510
13
Comerciantes Unidos
Comerciantes Unidos
9234161609
14
Cienciano
Cienciano
82151015-57
15
UCV Moquegua
UCV Moquegua
9144713-67
16
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
92161023-137
17
UTC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
9027921-122
18
ADT
ADT
8026518-132
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Universitario

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

54%Universitario
21%Draw
25%FBC Melgar

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 10 · 20:00
StadiumEstadio Monumental
League StatsLiga 1
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · UniversitarioInjuries · FBC Melgar

Statistical Context

Universitario

WDWWW
  • WSep 13, 26A · Alianza Lima1-2
  • DSep 6, 26H · Comerciantes Unidos2-2
  • WAug 29, 26A · UTC Cajamarca2-4
  • WAug 23, 26H · Club Deportivo Los Chankas3-0
  • WAug 16, 26A · FC Cajamarca2-3

FBC Melgar

WWLDW
  • WSep 12, 26A · Cusco0-1
  • WSep 6, 26H · ADT3-0
  • LSep 1, 26A · Atletico Grau1-0
  • DAug 23, 26H · Alianza Lima1-1
  • WAug 15, 26A · Club Deportivo Los Chankas0-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Universitario9+720WDWWW
2Deportivo Garcilaso9+819LWWWD
3FBC Melgar9+717WWLDW
4Sport Boys9+717WLWWD

Head to Head

6
Universitario
1
Draws
3
FBC Melgar
  • Apr 19, 26FBC Melgar – Universitario2-1
  • Jan 20, 26Universitario – FBC Melgar3-2
  • Sep 14, 25FBC Melgar – Universitario1-2
  • Apr 14, 25Universitario – FBC Melgar4-1
  • Aug 1, 24FBC Melgar – Universitario1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

UniversitarioFBC Melgar
Played2525
Goals Scored4143
Goals Conceded2628
Avg Scored1.61.7
Avg Conceded1.01.1
Clean Sheets87

Predicted line-ups: Universitario vs FBC Melgar

Predicted XI

Universitario

3-5-2Formation· Coach: J. Fossati

FBC Melgar

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: M. Valencia

  1. 21J. Cabezudo
  1. 27N. Cabanillas
  2. 5A. Deneumostier
  3. 23J. Escobar
  4. 3L. González
  1. 25K. Minda
  2. 26M. Portillo
  1. 24W. Tandazo
  2. 7C. Bordacahar
  3. 16J. Cáceres
  1. 9B. Cuesta
  1. 30Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
  2. 18G. Lapadula
  1. 33C. Inga
  2. 10H. Calcaterra
  3. 17J. Concha
  4. 23J. Murrugarra
  5. 28A. Quiróz
  1. 5M. Di Benedetto
  2. 2C. Fara
  3. 70J. Gutiérrez
  1. 1D. Romero

Bench

  • 25M. Vargas
  • 3W. Riveros
  • 4A. Santamaría
  • 39P. Quispe
  • 15J. Requena
  • 8H. Fértoli
  • 24A. Polo

Bench

  • 12C. Cáceda
  • 90J. Alcántar
  • 33M. Lazo
  • 45Matias Zegarra
  • 80J. D´Arrigo
  • 10N. Quagliata
  • 11J. Vidales

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Universitario vs FBC Melgar — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Universitario are narrow favourites at the Estadio Monumental, supported by a five-match unbeaten run, a strong home record and head-to-head superiority over FBC Melgar. The main risk is Melgar's defensive resilience and the scoring threat of B. Cuesta and J. Vidales, which could turn this into a tight, low-margin contest.

Universitario enter this Liga 1 clash at the Estadio Monumental as the narrow favourites, backed by a five-match unbeaten run, a strong home record and a clear edge in the head-to-head series. The statistical model also leans toward the home side, though it flags the contest as tighter than the raw form lines suggest.…

Win Probabilities: Universitario: 54% · Draw: 21% · FBC Melgar: 25%

H2H: Universitario wins: 6 · Draws: 1 · FBC Melgar wins: 3

Form (latest first): Universitario: WDWWW · FBC Melgar: WWLDW

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Sep 1820:00
Comerciantes Unidos
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Sep 1901:00
ADT
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Sep 1918:00
Cusco
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Sep 1920:30
Atletico Grau
11.5664%
X3.8526%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sep 1923:00
Universitario
12.7836%
X3.3330%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Sep 2001:15
Sport Boys
11.6162%
X3.8526%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Sep 2018:00
UTC Cajamarca
11.5465%
X4.1724%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Sep 2020:30
UCV Moquegua
11.7557%
X3.5728%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Sep 2023:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.7027%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Oct 1020:00
Sporting Cristal
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Oct 1020:00
Alianza Atletico
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Oct 1020:00
Juan Pablo II College
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Oct 1020:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.6715%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Oct 1020:00
Alianza Lima
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Oct 1020:00
FC Cajamarca
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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