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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Arouca vs Estrela

Arouca vs Estrela

Prediction • Primeira Liga·Arouca·Estrela

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Oct 11, 2026
19:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Arouca

Arouca

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Estrela

Estrela

Away
Win Probabilities
53%
Arouca
21%
Draw
26%
Estrela
Home1.8953%
Draw4.7621%
Away3.8526%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Arouca are favored at 53% to win at home against Estrela. The draw is rated 21% and the away win 26%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Arouca vs Estrela.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Arouca
/10
4.0Estrela
Arouca
FormLatest first
LDWLW
Win Rate40%
Estrela
FormLatest first
DWDWD
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Arouca
Home

Arouca

Form
WLWDL
Latest first
12
Pos
38
Pts
+4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 5 matches)

Clean Sheets360%
Goal Diff+4
  • Excellent defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Strong home form: 2 wins from 2 home league games
  • Solid overall form: 3 wins in last 5 (DWLWW)

Head to Head

Last 6
Arouca
Arouca
3Wins
1
Draws
Estrela
2Wins
Estrela
50%17%33%

Recent Matches

Last 6
Apr192026
AroucaArouca
1-0
Win
EstrelaEstrela
Dec72025
EstrelaEstrela
3-1
Loss
AroucaArouca
Apr192025
AroucaArouca
1-0
Win
EstrelaEstrela
Dec92024
EstrelaEstrela
2-1
Loss
AroucaArouca
May52024
AroucaArouca
0-0
Draw
EstrelaEstrela
Dec282023
EstrelaEstrela
1-4
Win
AroucaArouca

Past Predictions

100%2/2 correct

Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela

Apr 19, 2026

44% / 35% / 21%

Estrela 3 - 1 Arouca

Dec 7, 2025

55% / 30% / 15%

Arouca4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1EstrelaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Primeira Liga

League Statistics

Primeira Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Porto
FC Porto
6600152+1318
2
Benfica
Benfica
6510214+1716
3
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
6420156+914
4
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
6420114+714
5
Arouca
AroucaHome
631285+310
6
Estrela
EstrelaAway
62401412+210
7
SC Braga
SC Braga
531175+210
8
Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu
622279-28
9
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
52124407
10
Maritimo
Maritimo
6213711-47
11
Moreirense
Moreirense
6213713-67
12
Alverca
Alverca
6123811-35
13
Famalicao
Famalicao
604257-24
14
Vitória SC
Vitória SC
611447-34
15
Nacional
Nacional
6114711-44
16
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
6114514-94
17
Estoril
Estoril
602428-62
18
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
6015115-141
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Arouca

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

53%Arouca
21%Draw
26%Estrela

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 11 · 19:30
League StatsPrimeira Liga
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · AroucaInjuries · EstrelaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Arouca

LDWLW
  • LSep 13, 26H · Santa Clara1-2
  • DSep 7, 26A · Estoril0-0
  • WAug 29, 26H · Maritimo2-1
  • LAug 23, 26A · FC Porto2-0
  • WAug 16, 26H · Moreirense4-0

Estrela

DWDWD
  • DSep 14, 26A · Rio Ave3-3
  • WSep 10, 26H · SC Braga2-1
  • DSep 5, 26H · Famalicao2-2
  • WAug 30, 26A · Nacional2-3
  • DAug 15, 26A · Alverca2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Santa Clara6+714WWDWW
5Arouca6+310LDWLW
6Estrela6+210DWDWD
7SC Braga5+210WLWWD

Head to Head

3
Arouca
1
Draws
2
Estrela
  • Apr 19, 26Arouca – Estrela1-0
  • Dec 7, 25Estrela – Arouca3-1
  • Apr 19, 25Arouca – Estrela1-0
  • Dec 9, 24Estrela – Arouca2-1
  • May 5, 24Arouca – Estrela0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

AroucaEstrela
Played55
Goals Scored711
Goals Conceded39
Avg Scored1.42.2
Avg Conceded0.61.8
Clean Sheets30

Predicted line-ups: Arouca vs Estrela

Predicted XI

Arouca

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Vasco Seabra

Estrela

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: C. Bacci

  1. 22David Grilo
  1. 4Bernardo Schappo
  2. 5S. Leković
  3. 3L. Mincarelli Davin
  4. 55Rafa Soares
  1. 39Eddy Doue
  2. 6K. Höög Jansson
  1. 19Joan Jordán
  2. 71E. Pedro Vanga
  3. 8Robinho
  1. 80Alisson
  1. 17Barbero
  1. 10Pablo Gozálbez
  2. 89Pedro Santos
  3. 6E. van Ee
  1. 21Mateo Flores
  2. 8T. Fukui
  1. 37Mario Climent
  2. 3José Fontán
  3. 18O. Lebedenko
  4. 4Diogo Monteiro
  1. 12I. de Arruabarrena

Bench

  • 71M. Duarte
  • 1J. Vinarčík
  • 5B. Popović
  • 28Tiago Esgaio
  • 7N. Djouahra
  • 19A. Trezza
  • 24B. Mansilla

Bench

  • 24Léo Linck
  • 51Diogo Pinto
  • 21M. Scholze
  • 17Jefferson Encada
  • 78Santiago Serra
  • 93B. Souza
  • 14L. Zvonarek

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Arouca vs Estrela — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Arouca are favored at 53% to win at home against Estrela. The draw is rated 21% and the away win 26%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Arouca enter this Primeira Liga clash as narrow favourites, backed by a solid home record and a defence that has been difficult to break down. Estrela arrive on a five-match unbeaten run, but their tendency to draw games and leak goals makes them vulnerable on the road.…

Win Probabilities: Arouca: 53% · Draw: 21% · Estrela: 26%

H2H: Arouca wins: 3 · Draws: 1 · Estrela wins: 2

Form (latest first): Arouca: LDWLW · Estrela: DWDWD

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Sep 1914:30
Famalicao
14.0025%
X3.0333%
22.3842%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Sep 1914:30
Maritimo
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Sep 1917:00
Rio Ave
12.7037%
X3.2331%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Sporting CP
Sep 1919:30
Arouca
11.2878%
X6.2516%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Vitória SC
Sep 2014:30
Moreirense
11.7258%
X3.7027%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estrela
Sep 2014:30
Academico Viseu
12.0848%
X3.2331%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Santa Clara
Sep 2017:00
SC Braga
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Sep 2017:00
Casa Pia
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
FC Porto
Sep 2019:30
Benfica
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Moreirense
Oct 917:45
GIL Vicente
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
SC Braga
Oct 919:15
Sporting CP
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Oct 1014:30
Santa Clara
Early projection
112.508%
X7.6913%
21.2779%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Oct 1017:00
FC Porto
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.2516%
21.3972%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Oct 1019:30
Estoril
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Oct 1114:30
Nacional
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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