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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

Result • La Liga·Celta Vigo·Sevilla

La Liga
La Liga
May 23, 2026
19:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.95
X3.50
23.90
Stadium
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
medium Confidence
Sevilla

Sevilla

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.50
23.90
Stadium
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Win Probabilities
48%
Celta Vigo
32%
Draw
20%
Sevilla
Home1.9548%
Draw3.5032%
Away3.9020%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Celta Vigo's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Sevilla, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this La Liga fixture between Celta Vigo and Sevilla using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Celta Vigo a 48% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Sevilla a 20% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Borja Iglesias vs Sevilla's depleted defense: The Celta striker will look to exploit the absence of Gudelj and Marcao.
2Iago Aspas vs José Ángel Carmona: Aspas' creativity against Carmona's defensive discipline will be crucial.
3W. Swedberg vs R. Vargas: Both midfielders are key to their team's attacking transitions.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Celta Vigo

  • Strong home form
  • Superior league position
  • Inconsistent recent form
  • One injury (Vecino)

Sevilla

  • Decent away form
  • Strong defensive record (1.2 goals conceded per game)
  • Three key absences (Gudelj, Bueno, Marcao)
  • Lower league position (13th)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
48%
API-Football
45%
47%
Celta Vigo473915

Moderate agreement on home win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Celta Vigo are predicted to win this La Liga clash against Sevilla at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, based on a combination of bookmaker odds, statistical models, and key factors.

Form Analysis: Celta Vigo have shown mixed form (DWLLW) but average 1.6 goals scored per game, while Sevilla (LWWWL) have been inconsistent and average 1.4 goals scored. Defensively, both teams have similar records, but Celta's home advantage is significant.

Key Factors: Celta Vigo have a strong head-to-head advantage (71% strength according to API comparison) and sit 6th in the league with 51 points, while Sevilla are 13th with 43 points. Sevilla have three key players out (Gudelj suspended, Bueno and Marcao injured), weakening their defense. The weather (patchy rain) favors a physical style, suiting Celta's home approach.

Conclusion: With odds and model both favoring Celta, and Sevilla's injury issues, a home win is the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextCelta Vigo

Double chance : Celta Vigo or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Celta VigoSevilla
54%Strength45%
53%Attacking Potential47%
46%Defensive Potential54%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
58%Goals H2H42%
54%Wins the Game45%

Statistical Context

Celta Vigo

DLWWL
  • DMay 17, 26A · Athletic Club1-1
  • LMay 12, 26H · Levante2-3
  • WMay 9, 26A · Atletico Madrid0-1
  • WMay 3, 26H · Elche3-1
  • LApr 26, 26A · Villarreal2-1

Sevilla

WLWWW
  • WAug 15, 26H · Rayo Vallecano2-1
  • LMay 17, 26H · Real Madrid0-1
  • WMay 13, 26A · Villarreal2-3
  • WMay 9, 26H · Espanyol2-1
  • WMay 4, 26H · Real Sociedad1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Atletico Madrid1+23W
4Sevilla1+13W
5Racing Santander101D
16Osasuna000—
17Celta Vigo000—
18Malaga1-20L

Head to Head

3
Celta Vigo
4
Draws
3
Sevilla
  • Jan 12, 26Sevilla – Celta Vigo0-1
  • May 10, 25Celta Vigo – Sevilla3-2
  • Dec 14, 24Sevilla – Celta Vigo1-0
  • Mar 17, 24Sevilla – Celta Vigo1-2
  • Nov 4, 23Celta Vigo – Sevilla1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Celta VigoSevilla
Played—1
Goals Scored—2
Goals Conceded—1
Avg Scored—2.0
Avg Conceded—1.0
Clean Sheets—0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Celta VigoSevilla
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets4/10—

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Celta Vigo's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Sevilla, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Celta Vigo are predicted to win this La Liga clash against Sevilla at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, based on a combination of bookmaker odds, statistical models, and key factors.

Form Analysis: Celta Vigo have shown mixed form (DWLLW) but average 1.6 goals scored per game, while Sevilla (LWWWL) have been inconsistent and average 1.4 goals scored. Defensively, both teams have similar records, but Celta's home advantage is significant.

Key Factors: Celta Vigo have a strong head-to-head advantage (71% strength according to API comparison) and sit 6th in the league with 51 points, while Sevilla are 13th with 43 points. Sevilla have three key players out (Gudelj suspended, Bueno and Marcao injured), weakening their defense. The weather (patchy rain) favors a physical style, suiting Celta's home approach.

Conclusion: With odds and model both favoring Celta, and Sevilla's injury issues, a home win is the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Celta Vigo: 48% · Draw: 32% · Sevilla: 20%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Celta Vigo wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · Sevilla wins: 3

Form (latest first): Celta Vigo: DLWWL · Sevilla: WLWWW

  • Borja Iglesias vs Sevilla's depleted defense: The Celta striker will look to exploit the absence of Gudelj and Marcao.
  • Iago Aspas vs José Ángel Carmona: Aspas' creativity against Carmona's defensive discipline will be crucial.
  • W. Swedberg vs R. Vargas: Both midfielders are key to their team's attacking transitions.

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Aug 2119:00
Real Sociedad
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Aug 2215:00
Sevilla
11.8953%
X3.3330%
25.8817%
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Aug 2217:30
Celta Vigo
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Aug 2219:30
Real Madrid
18.3312%
X4.0025%
21.5963%
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Aug 2315:00
Villarreal
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
La LigaSpain
Getafe
Aug 2317:30
Racing Santander
12.0848%
X3.1332%
25.0020%
La LigaSpain
Elche
Aug 2319:30
Barcelona
111.119%
X5.0020%
21.4171%
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Aug 2417:30
Levante
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Aug 2419:30
Deportivo La Coruna
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Aug 2519:00
Real Betis
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
La LigaSpain
Real Madrid
Aug 2619:00
Real Sociedad
11.5465%
X4.3523%
28.3312%
La LigaSpain
Celta Vigo
Aug 2718:30
Osasuna
12.1347%
X3.2331%
24.5522%
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Aug 2719:00
Athletic Club
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
La LigaSpain
Racing Santander
Aug 2817:00
Elche
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
La LigaSpain
Alaves
Aug 2819:30
Villarreal
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%