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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC

Prediction • MLS·Philadelphia Union·Orlando City SC

MLS
MLS
Sep 26, 2026
23:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Subaru Park
Early projection · Odds pending
Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC

Away
Stadium
Subaru Park
Win Probabilities
46%
Philadelphia Union
24%
Draw
30%
Orlando City SC
Home2.1746%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.3330%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Philadelphia Union are the favourites, backed by better recent form and a slight overall edge, but Orlando City have won all five of the last meetings. The main risk is that Orlando's head-to-head dominance and Philadelphia's key absences could lead to an upset.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Philadelphia Union
/10
2.0Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
FormLatest first
WDDWW
Win Rate60%
Orlando City SC
FormLatest first
DWLDL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantagePhiladelphia Union+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Philadelphia Union
Home

Philadelphia Union

Form
WWDDW
Latest first
1
Pos
66
Pts
-7
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 21 matches)

Clean Sheets314%
Goal Diff-7
  • Unbeaten in last 3 matches
  • Scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game in recent form
  • Slight overall team strength advantage

Key Players

J. Sery Larsen
J. Sery Larsen
6.8
Goals
1
Assists
0
O. Makhanya
O. Makhanya
6.7
Goals
0
Assists
0
E. Alladoh
E. Alladoh
6.6
Goals
0
Assists
0
J. Lukic
Yellow Cards
Suspended
O. Makhanya
Yellow Cards
Suspended
C. Sullivan
Red Card
Suspended
J. Bueno
Leg Injury
Injured
P. Ndinga
Hamstring Injury
Injured
A. Blake
Knee Injury
Injured
F. Westfield
Hip Injury
Injured
E. Davis III
Injury
Injured
Q. Sullivan
Leg Injury
Injured
S. Korzeniowski
Knee Injury
Injured
I. Vassilev
Concussion
Injured
B. Bender
Groin Injury
Injured
E. Alladoh
Personal Reasons
Injured
G. Martinez
Injury
Injured
A. Anello
Muscle Injury
Injured
D. Jean Jacques
Knee Injury
Injured
A. Bedoya
Knee Injury
Injured
R. Uzcategui
Hamstring Injury
Injured
S. Olivas
Ankle Injury
Injured
J. Sery Larsen
Shoulder Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
3Wins
2
Draws
Orlando City SC
5Wins
Orlando City SC
30%20%50%

Recent Matches

Last 10
May132026
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
4-3
Loss
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
Apr52025
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
0-0
Draw
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
Feb232025
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
2-4
Win
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
Oct22024
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
2-1
Loss
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
May112024
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
2-3
Loss
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
Jun212023
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
2-2
Draw
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
Mar252023
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
1-2
Loss
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
Sep102022
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
5-1
Win
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
Jul232022
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
0-1
Win
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
May102022
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
2-1
Loss
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Orlando City SC 4 - 3 Philadelphia Union

May 13, 2026

38% / 31% / 31%

Philadelphia Union4-4-2vs4-2-3-1Orlando City SCPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Two strikers vs one holding midfielder. Physical battle expected.

Orlando City SCOrlando City SC4-2-3-1
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union4-4-2
Orlando City SCBenchOrlando City SC7
Philadelphia UnionBenchPhiladelphia Union7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Philadelphia Union

20Out

17 key players

Orlando City SC

19Out

17 key players

Philadelphia Union

Team

Philadelphia Union

Players Out

20(17 key)
J. Lukic

J. Lukic

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
O. Makhanya

O. Makhanya

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
C. Sullivan

C. Sullivan

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
J. Bueno

J. Bueno

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

P. Ndinga

P. Ndinga

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Blake

A. Blake

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

F. Westfield

F. Westfield

MODERATE
Injury:Hip Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Davis III

E. Davis III

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Q. Sullivan

Q. Sullivan

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

S. Korzeniowski

S. Korzeniowski

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

I. Vassilev

I. Vassilev

MODERATE
Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

B. Bender

B. Bender

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

E. Alladoh

E. Alladoh

MODERATE
Injury:Personal Reasons

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

G. Martinez

G. Martinez

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Anello

A. Anello

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

D. Jean Jacques

D. Jean Jacques

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

A. Bedoya

A. Bedoya

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

R. Uzcategui

R. Uzcategui

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. Olivas

S. Olivas

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

J. Sery Larsen

J. Sery Larsen

MODERATE
Injury:Shoulder Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Orlando City SC

Team

Orlando City SC

Players Out

19(17 key)
M. Crepeau

M. Crepeau

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
E. Atuesta

E. Atuesta

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
C. Guske

C. Guske

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

N. Miller

N. Miller

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

M. Ojeda

M. Ojeda

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

B. Rhein

B. Rhein

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

J. Gerbet

J. Gerbet

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

R. Jansson

R. Jansson

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Luis Otavio

Luis Otavio

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Ojeda

B. Ojeda

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

W. Cartagena

W. Cartagena

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Marin

A. Marin

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Tiago

Tiago

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

A. Gomez

A. Gomez

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

D. Brekalo

D. Brekalo

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

T. Spicer

T. Spicer

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

D. McGuire

D. McGuire

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

G. Dorsey

G. Dorsey

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Pasalic

M. Pasalic

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

MLS

League Statistics

MLS • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
2113444818+3043
1
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
2216424717+3052
2
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
2212373026+439
2
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
2212645641+1542
3
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC
2310673622+1436
3
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
2111463928+1137
4
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
2210483933+634
4
Charlotte
Charlotte
2210574032+835
5
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
219663834+433
5
New England Revolution
New England Revolution
2110473326+734
6
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
219663027+333
6
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
228774951-231
7
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
22101113128+331
7
New York City FC
New York City FC
227783631+528
8
San Diego
San Diego
228684033+730
8
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
2275103246-1426
9
Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
227873032-229
9
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SCAway
2274113754-1725
10
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
218493433+128
10
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
2251073238-625
11
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
2284103939028
11
DC United
DC United
2251072836-825
12
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
217592429-526
12
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia UnionHome
2266103439-524
13
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
236892835-726
13
Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC
2263132538-1321
14
Austin
Austin
2266102841-1324
14
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
2256113046-1621
15
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
2243152054-3415
15
Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew
2155113036-620
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Philadelphia Union

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

46%Philadelphia Union
24%Draw
30%Orlando City SC

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Sep 26 · 23:30
StadiumSubaru Park
League StatsMLS

Statistical Context

Philadelphia Union

WDDWW
  • WAug 29, 26A · New York Red Bulls1-3
  • DAug 23, 26A · Austin1-1
  • DAug 19, 26H · Inter Miami2-2
  • WAug 16, 26A · New York City FC2-3
  • WAug 1, 26H · Atlanta United FC3-2

Orlando City SC

DWLDL
  • DAug 30, 26A · Minnesota United FC3-3
  • WAug 22, 26H · Real Salt Lake2-1
  • LAug 19, 26H · Chicago Fire1-2
  • DAug 15, 26H · FC Cincinnati1-1
  • LAug 1, 26A · New York Red Bulls3-2

Head to Head

3
Philadelphia Union
2
Draws
5
Orlando City SC
  • May 13, 26Orlando City SC – Philadelphia Union4-3
  • Apr 5, 25Philadelphia Union – Orlando City SC0-0
  • Feb 23, 25Orlando City SC – Philadelphia Union2-4
  • Oct 2, 24Orlando City SC – Philadelphia Union2-1
  • May 11, 24Philadelphia Union – Orlando City SC2-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Philadelphia UnionOrlando City SC
Played2121
Goals Scored3134
Goals Conceded3851
Avg Scored1.51.6
Avg Conceded1.82.4
Clean Sheets32

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Philadelphia Union

Formation 4-4-2
  1. 76GA. Rick
  2. 26DN. Harriel
  3. 44DNeil Pierre
  4. 27DK. Wagner
  5. 2DG. Martínez
  6. 11MA. Bedoya
  7. 21MD. Jean-Jacques
  8. 4MJ. Lukić
  9. 6MCavan Sullivan
  10. 9AB. Damiani
  11. 10AM. Iloski

Coach: J. Curtin

Orlando City SC

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 71GM. Crépeau
  2. 57DIago
  3. 19DZ. Taifi
  4. 3DAdrián Marín
  5. 35MJoran Gerbet
  6. 5MLuis Otávio
  7. 77MI. Angulo
  8. 65MGustavo Caraballo Delgado
  9. 7MA. Griezmann
  10. 80MI. Gómez
  11. 9AD. Dike

Coach: Ó. Pareja

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Philadelphia Union are the favourites, backed by better recent form and a slight overall edge, but Orlando City have won all five of the last meetings. The main risk is that Orlando's head-to-head dominance and Philadelphia's key absences could lead to an upset.

Philadelphia Union enter this match as the favourites, with the baseline and model probabilities both pointing to a home win. Their recent form (DDWWW) shows an unbeaten run of three matches, and they have a slight edge in overall team strength (52% vs 48%).…

Win Probabilities: Philadelphia Union: 46% · Draw: 24% · Orlando City SC: 30%

H2H: Philadelphia Union wins: 3 · Draws: 2 · Orlando City SC wins: 5

Form (latest first): Philadelphia Union: WDDWW · Orlando City SC: DWLDL

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USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Columbus Crew
Aug 3020:30
New England Revolution
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
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Aug 3023:00
FC Dallas
12.1347%
X3.8526%
23.7027%
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New York City FC
Sep 423:30
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12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
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Orlando City SC
Sep 523:30
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12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
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Philadelphia Union
Sep 523:30
CF Montreal
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
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Toronto FC
Sep 523:30
Chicago Fire
13.8526%
X3.5728%
22.1746%
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Columbus Crew
Sep 523:30
Colorado Rapids
12.2245%
X3.4529%
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FC Cincinnati
Sep 523:30
DC United
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
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Inter Miami
Sep 523:30
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11.5465%
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27.6913%
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12.2744%
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Sep 600:30
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12.3343%
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Sep 600:30
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11.5664%
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Sep 600:30
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12.2744%
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Sep 601:30
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12.0848%
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12.5040%
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