Primera Nacional · 2026
Primera Nacional Matchday 33 predictions
18 fixtures from October 10 to October 12. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, October 10 · 18:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, October 10
1X2
Sunday, October 11
1X2- 1–2
Deportivo Madryn#4
Chaco For Ever#961%22%17%✗ Miss - 1–0
Atlanta#2
San Martin Tucuman#1046%29%25%✓ Hit - 0–3
Defensores De Belgrano#12
Acassuso#1760%23%17%✗ Miss - 2–0
CA Estudiantes#8
Deportivo Moron#331%38%31%✗ Miss - 1–1
Almirante Brown#6
San Miguel#1857%20%23%✗ Miss - 2–0
Patronato#16
Club Atlético Güemes#1866%21%13%✓ Hit - 2–1
Temperley#3
Nueva Chicago#1753%28%19%✓ Hit - 0–0
Atletico Mitre#13
Colon Santa Fe#533%36%31%✓ Hit - 2–2
Gimnasia Jujuy#4
Gimnasia Y Tiro#650%26%24%✗ Miss - 1–1
Central Norte#14
Ferro Carril Oeste#126%22%52%✗ Miss - 1–1
Deportivo Maipu#7
San Martin S.J.#943%31%26%✗ Miss - 1–0
Ciudad de Bolívar#7
San Telmo#1652%27%21%✓ Hit
Monday, October 12
1X2
Primera Nacional Matchday 33 runs from October 10 to October 12 with 18 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Patronato - Club Atlético Güemes: Patronato to win at 66%. The tightest match is Atletico Mitre - Colon Santa Fe, where no outcome clears 36%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Colegiales 0–0 Tristan Suarez, October 10: the model's pick was Draw (38%) and it came in.
- Almagro 2–1 Chacarita Juniors, October 10: the model's pick was Almagro to win (40%) and it came in.
- Quilmes 0–1 Agropecuario, October 10: the model's pick was Quilmes to win (52%) and it missed.
- Deportivo Madryn 1–2 Chaco For Ever, October 11: the model's pick was Deportivo Madryn to win (61%) and it missed.
- Atlanta 1–0 San Martin Tucuman, October 11: the model's pick was Atlanta to win (46%) and it came in.
- Defensores De Belgrano 0–3 Acassuso, October 11: the model's pick was Defensores De Belgrano to win (60%) and it missed.
- CA Estudiantes 2–0 Deportivo Moron, October 11: the model's pick was Draw (38%) and it missed.
- Almirante Brown 1–1 San Miguel, October 11: the model's pick was Almirante Brown to win (57%) and it missed.
- Patronato 2–0 Club Atlético Güemes, October 11: the model's pick was Patronato to win (66%) and it came in.
- Temperley 2–1 Nueva Chicago, October 11: the model's pick was Temperley to win (53%) and it came in.
- Atletico Mitre 0–0 Colon Santa Fe, October 11: the model's pick was Draw (36%) and it came in.
- Gimnasia Jujuy 2–2 Gimnasia Y Tiro, October 11: the model's pick was Gimnasia Jujuy to win (50%) and it missed.
- Central Norte 1–1 Ferro Carril Oeste, October 11: the model's pick was Ferro Carril Oeste to win (52%) and it missed.
- Deportivo Maipu 1–1 San Martin S.J., October 11: the model's pick was Deportivo Maipu to win (43%) and it missed.
- Ciudad de Bolívar 1–0 San Telmo, October 11: the model's pick was Ciudad de Bolívar to win (52%) and it came in.
- Racing Cordoba 1–0 Los Andes, October 12: the model's pick was Racing Cordoba to win (40%) and it came in.
Matchday 33 FAQ
When is Primera Nacional Matchday 33 played?
From October 10 to October 12. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 33?
Patronato - Club Atlético Güemes: Patronato to win at 66% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.