A-League · 2026/27
A-League Matchday 1 predictions
6 fixtures from October 16 to December 15. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, October 17 · 08:40
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 16
1X2
Saturday, October 17
1X2
Sunday, October 18
1X2
Tuesday, December 15
1X2
A-League Matchday 1 runs from October 16 to December 15 with 6 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
Match by match
- Sydney 0–0 Western Sydney Wanderers, October 16: the model's pick was Sydney to win (41%) and it missed.
- Auckland 3–1 Melbourne City, October 17: the model's pick was Auckland to win (40%) and it came in.
- Macarthur 2–1 Perth Glory, October 17: the model's pick was Macarthur to win (49%) and it came in.
- Central Coast Mariners 2–2 Newcastle Jets, October 17: the model's pick was Newcastle Jets to win (51%) and it missed.
- Wellington Phoenix 2–1 Melbourne Victory, October 18: the model's pick was Melbourne Victory to win (41%) and it missed.
- Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar, December 15: the model's pick is Adelaide United to win (45%).
Matchday 1 FAQ
When is A-League Matchday 1 played?
From October 16 to December 15. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?
Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar: Adelaide United to win at 45% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.